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NHL Stack Finder: Friday, Oct 9

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Friday, Oct 9 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: PIT L1 (Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov) vs CBJ.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1PITL1vs CBJ0.53 xG

    Evgeni Malkin82%, Tommy Novak11%, Egor Chinakhov48%

    10.1 min/game · 3.58 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • CBJ 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 3 of last 3
  2. #2ANAL1vs WPG0.51 xG

    Alex Killorn5.1%, Mikael Granlund52%, Beckett Sennecke94%

    10.5 min/game · 2.89 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Stuart Skinner .887 (61% to start)
    • Skinner .807 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  3. #3NYRL2vs WSH0.49 xG

    J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  4. #4NYRL1vs WSH0.43 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%

    10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  5. #5PITPP1vs CBJ0.43 xG

    Sidney Crosby100%, Erik Karlsson95%, Rickard Rakell83%, Tommy Novak11%, Egor Chinakhov48%

    3.8 min/game · 9.42 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • CBJ shorthanded time +6%
    • CBJ PK xGA/60 +9%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 1 of last 3
  6. #6ANAL2vs WPG0.42 xG

    A.J. Greer7.5%, Cutter Gauthier98%, Leo Carlsson94%

    9.9 min/game · 3.57 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Stuart Skinner .887 (61% to start)
    • Skinner .807 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
  7. #7WPGL1vs ANA0.30 xG

    Mark Scheifele99%, Kyle Connor99%, Gabriel Vilardi80%

    5.6 min/game · 3.10 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • ANA 5v5 xGA/60 +0%
    • vs Lukas Dostal .889 (85% to start)
    • Dostal .875 on cycle shots
    • Together 3 of last 3
  8. #8NYRL3vs WSH0.30 xG

    Eeli Tolvanen35%, Will Cuylle64%, Noah Laba11%

    8.0 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  9. #9ANAL4vs WPG0.27 xG

    Frank Vatrano6.4%, Ryan Poehling6.7%, Nikita Nesterenko4.8%

    7.8 min/game · 2.86 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • WPG 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
    • vs Stuart Skinner .887 (61% to start)
    • Skinner .807 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
  10. #10NYRPP1vs WSH0.25 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, J.T. Miller92%, Adam Fox99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%, Alexis Lafrenière82%

    2.5 min/game · 6.34 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH shorthanded time +7%
    • WSH PK xGA/60 +5%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3

By game

SEA @ DET

NYR @ WSH

  • NYRL2vs WSH0.49 xG

    J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • NYRL1vs WSH0.43 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%

    10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • NYRL3vs WSH0.30 xG

    Eeli Tolvanen35%, Will Cuylle64%, Noah Laba11%

    8.0 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • NYRPP1vs WSH0.25 xG

    Mika Zibanejad98%, J.T. Miller92%, Adam Fox99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%, Alexis Lafrenière82%

    2.5 min/game · 6.34 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • WSH shorthanded time +7%
    • WSH PK xGA/60 +5%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • NYRL4vs WSH0.13 xG

    Joseph Veleno4.1%, Tye Kartye7.2%, Jaroslav Chmelar3.2%

    5.3 min/game · 1.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%

    • WSH 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Logan Thompson .912 (81% to start)
    • Thompson .858 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • WSHL1vs NYR0.09 xG

    Alex Ovechkin96%, Dylan Strome83%, Anthony Beauvillier4.0%

    9.4 min/game · 2.75 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
    • vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (83% to start)
    • Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • WSHL4vs NYR0.07 xG

    Pierre-Luc Dubois42%, Connor McMichael34%, Ryan Leonard66%

    10.0 min/game · 3.81 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%

    • NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
    • vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (83% to start)
    • Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
    • Together 1 of last 3
  • WSHPP1vs NYR0.07 xG

    Alex Ovechkin96%, Dylan Strome83%, Justin Sourdif17%, Cole Hutson87%, Ilya Protas44%

    2.2 min/game · 8.32 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • NYR shorthanded time +7%
    • NYR PK xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (83% to start)
    • Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • WSHL2vs NYR0.06 xG

    Tom Wilson94%, Aliaksei Protas59%, Ilya Protas44%

    9.3 min/game · 2.05 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
    • vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (83% to start)
    • Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • WSHL3vs NYR0.04 xG

    Brandon Duhaime3.2%, Justin Sourdif17%, Ivan Miroshnichenko15%

    6.8 min/game · 1.86 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −5%
    • vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (83% to start)
    • Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3

PIT @ CBJ

  • PITL1vs CBJ0.53 xG

    Evgeni Malkin82%, Tommy Novak11%, Egor Chinakhov48%

    10.1 min/game · 3.58 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%

    • CBJ 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 3 of last 3
  • PITPP1vs CBJ0.43 xG

    Sidney Crosby100%, Erik Karlsson95%, Rickard Rakell83%, Tommy Novak11%, Egor Chinakhov48%

    3.8 min/game · 9.42 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%

    • CBJ shorthanded time +6%
    • CBJ PK xGA/60 +9%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 1 of last 3
  • PITL2vs CBJ0.14 xG

    Sidney Crosby100%, Bryan Rust85%, Rickard Rakell83%

    13.9 min/game · 2.79 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • CBJ 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • CBJL1vs PIT0.10 xG

    Isac Lundeström0.0%, Kirill Marchenko98%, Adam Fantilli92%

    10.7 min/game · 2.26 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Arturs Silovs .890 (93% to start)
    • Silovs .767 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • CBJPP1vs PIT0.10 xG

    Charlie Coyle49%, Zach Werenski100%, Mason Marchment47%, Kirill Marchenko98%, Adam Fantilli92%

    3.2 min/game · 8.49 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • PIT shorthanded time +7%
    • PIT PK xGA/60 −13%
    • vs Arturs Silovs .890 (93% to start)
    • Silovs .767 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • PITL4vs CBJ0.09 xG

    Anthony Mantha52%, Elmer Soderblom4.8%, Ben Kindel40%

    9.8 min/game · 2.72 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • CBJ 5v5 xGA/60 −4%
    • vs Jet Greaves .907 (95% to start)
    • Greaves .901 on cycle shots
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • CBJL2vs PIT0.09 xG

    Charlie Coyle49%, Conor Garland10%, Cole Sillinger12%

    7.9 min/game · 2.61 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Arturs Silovs .890 (93% to start)
    • Silovs .767 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3
  • CBJL4vs PIT0.07 xG

    Miles Wood0.1%, Sean Monahan19%, Kent Johnson30%

    6.7 min/game · 2.62 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%

    • PIT 5v5 xGA/60 +2%
    • vs Arturs Silovs .890 (93% to start)
    • Silovs .767 on rebounds
    • Together 2 of last 3

ANA @ WPG

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.