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NHL Stack Finder: Monday, Oct 26

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Monday, Oct 26 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: EDM L1 (Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin) vs DET.

Data updated: Oct 4, 5:50 AM ET

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

#1EDML1vs DET0.77 xG
Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin70%
13.2 min/game · 4.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET 5v5 xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
#2TORPP1vs CGY0.67 xG
John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Darren Raddysh99%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko98%
5.6 min/game · 7.84 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY shorthanded time +37%
- CGY PK xGA/60 −4%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#3LAKL1vs NYR0.51 xG
Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%
12.5 min/game · 3.41 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
#4NYRL2vs LAK0.47 xG
J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%
8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#5CGYL1vs TOR0.47 xG
Morgan Frost23%, Matt Coronato40%, Matvei Gridin40%
10.6 min/game · 2.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#6TORL1vs CGY0.46 xG
Jack Roslovic34%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko98%
10.1 min/game · 2.75 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +5%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#7NYRL1vs LAK0.42 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%
10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
#8CGYL2vs TOR0.36 xG
Mikael Backlund14%, Joel Farabee11%, Samuel Honzek15%
8.3 min/game · 2.66 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
#9EDMPP1vs DET0.36 xG
Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen9.2%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%, Vasily Podkolzin70%
3.0 min/game · 8.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET shorthanded time −13%
- DET PK xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
#10LAKPP1vs NYR0.32 xG
Mats Zuccarello51%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%, Brandt Clarke96%
3.5 min/game · 7.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- NYR shorthanded time +4%
- NYR PK xGA/60 +1%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3

By game

LAK @ NYR

LAKL1vs NYR0.51 xG
Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%
12.5 min/game · 3.41 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
NYRL2vs LAK0.47 xG
J.T. Miller92%, Oliver Bjorkstrand20%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%
8.9 min/game · 3.59 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
NYRL1vs LAK0.42 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, Alexis Lafrenière82%, Gabe Perreault53%
10.8 min/game · 2.64 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
LAKPP1vs NYR0.32 xG
Mats Zuccarello51%, Adrian Kempe97%, Artemi Panarin97%, Quinton Byfield86%, Brandt Clarke96%
3.5 min/game · 7.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- NYR shorthanded time +4%
- NYR PK xGA/60 +1%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
NYRL3vs LAK0.28 xG
Eeli Tolvanen35%, Will Cuylle64%, Noah Laba11%
8.0 min/game · 2.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
LAKL2vs NYR0.21 xG
Mats Zuccarello51%, Alex Turcotte8.8%, Alex Laferriere68%
10.5 min/game · 1.68 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
LAKL3vs NYR0.20 xG
Erik Haula12%, Joel Armia3.3%, Trevor Moore9.1%
10.1 min/game · 1.97 xGF/60 · P(intact) 68%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3
NYRPP1vs LAK0.19 xG
Mika Zibanejad98%, J.T. Miller92%, Adam Fox99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%, Alexis Lafrenière82%
2.1 min/game · 6.34 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- LAK shorthanded time −11%
- LAK PK xGA/60 −14%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
NYRL4vs LAK0.13 xG
Joseph Veleno4.1%, Tye Kartye7.2%, Jaroslav Chmelar3.2%
5.3 min/game · 1.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- LAK 5v5 xGA/60 −11%
- vs Darcy Kuemper .888 (66% to start)
- Kuemper .864 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
LAKL4vs NYR0.01 xG
Jeff Malott3.2%, Samuel Helenius3.2%, Taylor Ward0.0%
3.1 min/game · 2.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- NYR 5v5 xGA/60 −6%
- vs Igor Shesterkin .912 (73% to start)
- Shesterkin .846 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3

TOR @ CGY

TORPP1vs CGY0.67 xG
John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Darren Raddysh99%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko98%
5.6 min/game · 7.84 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY shorthanded time +37%
- CGY PK xGA/60 −4%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
CGYL1vs TOR0.47 xG
Morgan Frost23%, Matt Coronato40%, Matvei Gridin40%
10.6 min/game · 2.31 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
TORL1vs CGY0.46 xG
Jack Roslovic34%, Auston Matthews99%, Kirill Marchenko98%
10.1 min/game · 2.75 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +5%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
CGYL2vs TOR0.36 xG
Mikael Backlund14%, Joel Farabee11%, Samuel Honzek15%
8.3 min/game · 2.66 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
TORL3vs CGY0.30 xG
Colton Sissons3.3%, Nick Paul8.1%, Easton Cowan52%
6.6 min/game · 2.74 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +5%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
CGYPP1vs TOR0.27 xG
Morgan Frost23%, Joel Farabee11%, Matt Coronato40%, Zayne Parekh68%, Matvei Gridin40%
2.2 min/game · 6.47 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- TOR shorthanded time +9%
- TOR PK xGA/60 +8%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
TORL2vs CGY0.25 xG
John Tavares96%, William Nylander99%, Gavin McKenna94%
7.8 min/game · 1.90 xGF/60 · P(intact) 95%
- CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +5%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 3 of last 3
CGYL3vs TOR0.21 xG
Martin Pospisil6.4%, Adam Klapka8.9%, Maxim Tsyplakov14%
7.6 min/game · 1.65 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
TORL4vs CGY0.14 xG
Teddy Blueger4.8%, Brandon Duhaime3.2%, Bo Groulx
5.7 min/game · 1.70 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- CGY 5v5 xGA/60 +5%
- vs Dustin Wolf .897 (77% to start)
- Wolf .842 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
CGYL4vs TOR0.07 xG
Ryan Strome4.0%, Yegor Sharangovich7.8%, Connor Zary10%
10.9 min/game · 2.45 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- TOR 5v5 xGA/60 +9%
- vs Sergei Bobrovsky .877 (49% to start)
- Bobrovsky .738 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3

DET @ EDM

EDML1vs DET0.77 xG
Leon Draisaitl100%, Connor McDavid100%, Vasily Podkolzin70%
13.2 min/game · 4.18 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET 5v5 xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
EDMPP1vs DET0.36 xG
Leon Draisaitl100%, Kasperi Kapanen9.2%, Connor McDavid100%, Evan Bouchard100%, Vasily Podkolzin70%
3.0 min/game · 8.43 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET shorthanded time −13%
- DET PK xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
EDML4vs DET0.24 xG
Trent Frederic4.0%, Isaac Howard30%, Josh Samanski3.2%
5.3 min/game · 3.23 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET 5v5 xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
EDML2vs DET0.23 xG
Mathieu Joseph0.1%, Alex Formenton9.6%, Owen Michaels3.2%
10.1 min/game · 1.65 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET 5v5 xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
EDML3vs DET0.15 xG
Kasperi Kapanen9.2%, Max Jones0.1%, Colton Dach11%
8.0 min/game · 1.34 xGF/60 · P(intact) 82%
- DET 5v5 xGA/60 +4%
- vs John Gibson .902 (81% to start)
- Gibson .870 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
DETL1vs EDM0.10 xG
Patrick Kane80%, Andrew Copp9.2%, Alex DeBrincat100%
8.5 min/game · 2.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
- vs Tristan Jarry .878 (45% to start)
- Jarry .833 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
DETL4vs EDM0.07 xG
Dylan Larkin96%, Lucas Raymond96%, Emmitt Finnie28%
12.6 min/game · 2.42 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
- vs Tristan Jarry .878 (45% to start)
- Jarry .833 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3
DETL2vs EDM0.06 xG
James van Riemsdyk0.3%, Marco Kasper28%, Michael Brandsegg-Nygård21%
8.0 min/game · 1.87 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
- vs Tristan Jarry .878 (45% to start)
- Jarry .833 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
DETL3vs EDM0.06 xG
David Perron0.2%, J.T. Compher4.0%, Carter Mazur4.0%
6.6 min/game · 2.26 xGF/60 · P(intact) 23%
- EDM 5v5 xGA/60 −1%
- vs Tristan Jarry .878 (45% to start)
- Jarry .833 on rebounds
- Together 2 of last 3
DETPP1vs EDM0.05 xG
Patrick Kane80%, Dylan Larkin96%, Alex DeBrincat100%, Moritz Seider100%, Lucas Raymond96%
2.3 min/game · 9.93 xGF/60 · P(intact) 12%
- EDM shorthanded time −14%
- EDM PK xGA/60 +5%
- vs Tristan Jarry .878 (45% to start)
- Jarry .833 on rebounds
- Together 1 of last 3

How it works

Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.