Colorado Avalanche vs. Washington CapitalsOct 14, 2019

FinalMonday, Oct 14, 2019· Capital One Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

6

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	4	0	2	6		COL	10	7	8	25
WSH	0	2	1	3		WSH	4	16	12	32

: COL 55WSH 61
: COL 2.85WSH 2.88
PP goals: COL 1WSH 0
Hits: COL 11WSH 29
Blocks: COL 16WSH 19
PIM: COL 11WSH 25
: COL 42%WSH 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Washington Capitals 6–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Washington Capitals 6–3 at WSH. Nazem Kadri (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL's first power-play unit (Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:23 together.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 22:10.Rantanen
Points
Nazem Kadri had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:34.Kadri
Points
Alex Ovechkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 21:42.Ovechkin
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:28.MacKinnon
Points
Evgeny Kuznetsov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:44.Kuznetsov
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:04.Landeskog
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:23 together.Kadri Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Makar
Luck
COL scored 6 goals on 2.85 expected goals (55 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · WSH 61 · COL 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 37% of the game, WSH 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	WSH
	53	55
	1.93	2.41
	1.87	2.30
	7	8
	5	5
	24	16
	−0.092	+0.092
	37%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:2268% CF
L2Wilson – Nieto – Jost
8:3450% CF
L3Kadri – Donskoi – Burakovsky
8:2939% CF
L4Calvert – Nichushkin – Bellemare
7:3538% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:1242% CF
D2Cole – Graves
7:3555% CF
D3Zadorov – Makar
7:3162% CF

PP1Kadri – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
4:2371% CF
PP2Wilson – Donskoi – Burakovsky – Jost – Girard
0:59100% CF
PK1FCalvert – Bellemare
0:50
PK2FNieto – Nichushkin
0:18
PK1DJohnson – Graves
1:08

Current COL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
12:4955% CF
L2Dowd – Leipsic – Hathaway
5:5222% CF
L3Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
5:4945% CF
L4Hagelin – Eller – Panik
4:1871% CF
D1Orlov – Gudas
13:0659% CF
D2Carlson – Siegenthaler
9:2946% CF
D3Jensen – Lewington
6:0356% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
1:08
PK1FHagelin – Dowd
2:16
PK2FEller – Wilson
2:06
PK1DGudas – Siegenthaler
3:43
PK2DCarlson – Jensen
1:12

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:42
COLErik Johnson (Nazem Kadri, Andre Burakovsky)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Kadri, Donskoi, BurakovskyWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Lewington
COL 1 – 0 WSH
6:00
COLNikita Zadorov (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.19 xG
COL: Cole, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Zadorov, RantanenWSH: Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Siegenthaler
COL 2 – 0 WSH
7:54
COLNazem Kadri (Joonas Donskoi, Cale Makar)wrist0.09 xG
COL: Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Zadorov, MakarWSH: Hagelin, Eller, Panik, Jensen, Lewington
COL 3 – 0 WSH
9:25
COLMikko RantanenPP (Gabriel Landeskog, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.06 xG
COL: Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, MakarWSH: Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Gudas
COL 4 – 0 WSH

2nd period

6:56
WSHLars Eller (Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.23 xG
COL: Landeskog, Graves, Zadorov, RantanenWSH: Ovechkin, Eller, Jensen, Siegenthaler
COL 4 – 1 WSH
15:28
WSHT.J. Oshie (Dmitry Orlov, Evgeny Kuznetsov)backhand0.13 xG
COL: Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Zadorov, MakarWSH: Oshie, Orlov, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Leipsic
COL 4 – 2 WSH

3rd period

4:24
COLMatt Nieto (Tyson Jost)backhand0.14 xG
COL: Wilson, Nieto, Zadorov, Jost, MakarWSH: Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Leipsic, Hathaway
COL 5 – 2 WSH
17:39
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Evgeny Kuznetsov, John Carlson)slap0.06 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Landeskog, BellemareWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson
COL 5 – 3 WSH
19:20
COLNathan MacKinnonEN (Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.37 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson
COL 6 – 3 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.67	0	1	0	23:28	—	—	56	55
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	2	2	-1	2	0.13	0	0	2	23:04	—	—	56	48
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.14	0	2	0	22:10	—	—	62	58
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:15	—	—	56	44
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	0	0	12:33	—	—	54	46
Matt Nieto L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	11:33	—	—	45	32
Nazem Kadri C	L3	1	2	3	+1	3	0.68	2	0	0	16:34	—	—	28	28
Joonas Donskoi R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	46	45
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.28	0	3	0	13:02	—	—	44	48
Matt Calvert L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:46	—	—	37	25
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:40	—	—	44	31
Valeri Nichushkin R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	0	5	9:19	—	—	50	50
Erik Johnson D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.08	2	0	0	26:06	—	—	40	33
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	2	2	22:28	—	—	50	42
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	3	0	18:18	—	—	39	34
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.07	0	1	0	15:57	—	—	60	72
Cale Makar D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:02	—	—	48	41
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.22	0	2	2	13:55	—	—	65	79

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	2.88	59:16

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	1	2	0	6	0.58	2	0	2	21:42	—	—	57	81
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	1	0	21:20	—	—	54	67
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.31	7	3	2	20:09	—	—	53	72
Garnet Hathaway R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	3	1	0	12:47	—	—	38	52
Brendan Leipsic L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	39	42
Nic Dowd C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	10:01	—	—	15	8
T.J. Oshie R	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	1	1	0	19:04	—	—	64	54
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L3	0	2	2	-1	3	0.19	0	0	2	18:44	—	—	38	31
Jakub Vrana L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	10:07	—	—	35	24
Lars Eller C	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.28	1	1	0	14:09	—	—	73	60
Carl Hagelin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	1	0	0	11:53	—	—	65	54
Richard Panik R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.32	1	0	0	7:28	—	—	64	71
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	3	3	0	23:25	—	—	68	77
Radko Gudas D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	5	4	0	23:10	—	—	50	68
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.09	1	3	0	25:32	—	—	56	50
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	2	18:22	—	—	48	49
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	33	27
Tyler Lewington D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	17	9:19	—	—	29	27

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov	L	21	19	2	.905	2.19	48:48
Braden Holtby(start)	—	3	0	3	.000	0.29	7:54

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.