Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary FlamesNov 1, 2018

FinalThursday, Nov 1, 2018· Scotiabank Saddledome

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	4	1	5		COL	4	10	12	26
CGY	0	1	5	6		CGY	13	13	11	37

: COL 39CGY 74
: COL 2.42CGY 4.37
PP goals: COL 0CGY 1
Hits: COL 32CGY 12
Blocks: COL 15CGY 5
PIM: COL 24CGY 21
: COL 51%CGY 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Colorado Avalanche 6–5

Calgary Flames beat Colorado Avalanche 6–5 at home. Mark Giordano (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 3A. CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:52 together.

Points
Mark Giordano had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 7 shots in 26:15.Giordano
Points
Matthew Tkachuk had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 18:25.Tkachuk
Points
Colin Wilson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:25.Wilson
Points
Mikael Backlund had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:41.Backlund
Points
Sean Monahan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:03.Monahan
Points
Sheldon Dries had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 10:11.Dries
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:26.Kerfoot
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:52 together.Giordano Gaudreau Lindholm Monahan Tkachuk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · CGY 74 · COL 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 12% of the game, CGY 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CGY
	38	71
	2.22	3.75
	2.13	3.53
	10	23
	10	4
	23	34
	+0.039	−0.038
	12%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
14:4628% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
5:2840% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Kamenev
3:230% CF
L4Bourque – Dano – Dries
3:1513% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
12:0729% CF
D2Barberio – Zadorov
8:2341% CF
D3Cole – Barrie
8:2233% CF

PP1Calvert – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
0:50
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Kamenev – Girard
0:48
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
2:33
PK2FCalvert – Bourque
1:55
PK1DJohnson – Cole
1:52
PK2DBarberio – Zadorov
0:56

Current COL line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Frolik – Backlund – Tkachuk
11:3476% CF
L2Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
9:0547% CF
L3Neal – Jankowski – Bennett
5:2480% CF
L4Hathaway – Ryan – Dube
3:5473% CF
D1Giordano – Brodie
15:2066% CF
D2Hamonic – Hanifin
13:1271% CF
D3Andersson – Välimäki
12:0547% CF

PP1Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
3:5286% CF
PP2Neal – Backlund – Bennett – Hanifin – Ryan
1:52100% CF
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
0:55
PK2FHathaway – Ryan
0:45
PK1DGiordano – Hamonic
1:04
PK2DBrodie – Välimäki
0:48

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:22
COLVladislav KamenevSHslap0.01 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Bourque, KamenevCGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
COL 1 – 0 CGY
5:12
COLSheldon Dries (Tyson Barrie, Alexander Kerfoot)tip-in0.03 xG
COL: Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Girard, DriesCGY: Hathaway, Andersson, Ryan, Dube, Välimäki
COL 2 – 0 CGY
6:34
CGYMikael Backlund (Matthew Tkachuk, Mark Giordano)snap0.23 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk
COL 2 – 1 CGY
11:04
COLColin Wilson (Sheldon Dries, Ian Cole)snap0.10 xG
COL: Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, DriesCGY: Hamonic, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Hanifin
COL 3 – 1 CGY
16:41
COLCarl Soderberg (Gabriel Bourque)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Barrie, BourqueCGY: Neal, Hamonic, Gaudreau, Jankowski, Hanifin
COL 4 – 1 CGY

3rd period

0:47
CGYElias LindholmPP (Mark Giordano, Sean Monahan)wrist0.04 xG
COL: Johnson, Calvert, Bourque, ZadorovCGY: Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk
COL 4 – 2 CGY
5:21
CGYSean Monahan (Noah Hanifin, Derek Ryan)tip-in0.07 xG
COL: Wilson, Barberio, Kerfoot, Kamenev, GirardCGY: Hamonic, Monahan, Hanifin, Ryan, Dube
COL 4 – 3 CGY
10:52
CGYJames Neal (Johnny Gaudreau, Juuso Välimäki)snap0.12 xG
COL: Johnson, Calvert, Barberio, Nieto, KerfootCGY: Neal, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Andersson, Välimäki
COL 4 – 4 CGY
13:47
CGYMark Giordano (Mikael Backlund, Matthew Tkachuk)wrist0.03 xG
COL: Barberio, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk
COL 4 – 5 CGY
14:54
CGYMichael Frolik (Matthew Tkachuk, Mark Giordano)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardCGY: Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Tkachuk
COL 4 – 6 CGY
18:57
COLGabriel Landeskog (Colin Wilson, Alexander Kerfoot)unknown0.38 xG
COL: Wilson, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen, GirardCGY: Giordano, Hamonic, Lindholm, Ryan
COL 5 – 6 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-3	4	0.61	0	0	0	23:18	—	—	30	30
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	-3	1	0.38	6	3	0	21:21	—	—	28	30
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.17	3	0	2	20:49	—	—	29	31
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	14:49	—	—	46	53
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.41	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	46	52
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	4	1	0	13:26	—	—	32	37
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	2	2	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	47	48
Colin Wilson C	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.14	0	1	0	15:25	—	—	40	37
Vladislav Kamenev C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:56	—	—	31	36
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.10	2	1	0	10:58	—	—	44	48
Sheldon Dries C	L4	1	1	2	+2	1	0.03	0	0	0	10:11	—	—	42	43
Marko Dano C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	6:48	—	—	14	9
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	2	0	25:03	—	—	40	41
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	0	1	0	19:23	—	—	30	27
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:43	—	—	38	27
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	5	0	0	17:25	—	—	42	44
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	0	1	0	21:50	—	—	28	30
Ian Cole D	D3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.01	1	2	20	13:14	—	—	32	57

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	37	31	6	.838	3.81	57:11

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.42	0	0	2	20:41	—	—	77	78
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	3	3	+2	2	0.09	2	0	0	18:25	—	—	74	79
Michael Frolik R	L1	1	0	1	+3	3	0.41	0	0	2	15:59	—	—	71	71
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	1	1	-2	4	0.99	0	0	0	23:53	—	—	51	43
Elias Lindholm C	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.27	1	1	0	23:42	—	—	50	52
Sean Monahan C	L2	1	1	2	-1	2	0.31	0	0	0	20:03	—	—	53	39
James Neal L	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.24	1	0	0	16:17	—	—	71	78
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	2	0	17	8:54	—	—	75	72
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	6:47	—	—	79	74
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	12:39	—	—	68	79
Dillon Dube C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	0	0	0	9:52	—	—	68	62
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.32	2	1	0	5:41	—	—	73	91
Mark Giordano D	D1	1	3	4	+2	7	0.26	0	1	0	26:15	—	—	68	63
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.03	1	1	0	21:07	—	—	63	58
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	70	61
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.02	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	76	70
Rasmus Andersson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	57	64
Juuso Välimäki D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	46	55

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	W	26	21	5	.808	2.42	59:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.