Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary FlamesOct 13, 2022

FinalThursday, Oct 13, 2022· Scotiabank Saddledome

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Calgary FlamesCGY

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	0	2	3		COL	3	10	12	25
CGY	1	2	2	5		CGY	14	8	5	27

: COL 49CGY 52
: COL 2.38CGY 2.88
PP goals: COL 1CGY 2
Hits: COL 17CGY 26
Blocks: COL 15CGY 10
PIM: COL 14CGY 10
: COL 42%CGY 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames beat Colorado Avalanche 5–3

Calgary Flames beat Colorado Avalanche 5–3 at home. Rasmus Andersson (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CGY's first power-play unit (Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm and Andersson) scored 2 power-play goals on 9 attempts in 4:54 together.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:52.MacKinnon
Points
Rasmus Andersson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:06.Andersson
Points
MacKenzie Weegar had 2 assists (2 points) in 20:43.Weegar
PP1
CGY's first power-play unit (Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm and Andersson) scored 2 power-play goals on 9 attempts in 4:54 together.Kadri Toffoli Huberdeau Lindholm Andersson
Luck
CGY scored 5 goals on 2.88 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Bowen Byram (COL) played 17:28, −4:31 down on his 21:59 season average over 41 games.Byram
Usage
Devon Toews (COL) played 21:46, −3:23 down on his 25:09 season average over 79 games.Toews
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 15:46, −5:48 down on his 21:34 season average over 75 games.Girard

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · CGY 52 · COL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 32% of the game, CGY 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CGY
	38	43
	1.67	1.92
	1.66	1.88
	7	10
	0	4
	16	22
	−0.041	+0.041
	32%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
8:4862% CF
L2Nichushkin – Rodrigues – Newhook
7:5229% CF
L3Cogliano – Compher – O'Connor
5:2563% CF
D1Toews – Makar
10:4756% CF
D2Manson – Byram
5:2638% CF
D3Johnson – Girard
4:5833% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Makar
6:0075% CF
PP2Compher – Toews – Rodrigues – Girard – Byram
1:05
PK1FCogliano – Compher
1:35
PK2FSedlak – Nichushkin
1:02
PK1DToews – Makar
2:53
PK2DJohnson – Manson
2:18

Current COL line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Toffoli – Huberdeau – Lindholm
8:5443% CF
L2Kadri – Mangiapane – Dube
8:5267% CF
L3Lucic – Ritchie – Rooney
8:2156% CF
L4Lewis – Backlund – Coleman
7:4257% CF
D1Hanifin – Andersson
13:3440% CF
D2Tanev – Weegar
12:1970% CF
D3Stone – Zadorov
9:0264% CF

PP1Kadri – Toffoli – Huberdeau – Lindholm – Andersson
4:5490% CF
PP2Backlund – Weegar – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Dube
2:05100% CF
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
2:12
PK2FLewis – Coleman
1:29
PK1DTanev – Zadorov
3:17
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
1:01

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:39
COLBowen Byram (Devon Toews, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.14 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, ByramCGY: Backlund, Toffoli, Hanifin, Andersson
COL 1 – 0 CGY
11:23
CGYBrett Ritchie (Milan Lucic, MacKenzie Weegar)snap0.02 xG
COL: Manson, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Byram, NewhookCGY: Lucic, Tanev, Ritchie, Weegar, Rooney
COL 1 – 1 CGY

2nd period

2:31
CGYDillon DubeSH (Andrew Mangiapane)snap0.11 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, NewhookCGY: Zadorov, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube
COL 1 – 2 CGY
14:52
CGYRasmus Andersson (MacKenzie Weegar)slap0.07 xG
COL: Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Rodrigues, MakarCGY: Kadri, Weegar, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson
COL 1 – 3 CGY

3rd period

1:12
CGYTyler ToffoliPP (Nazem Kadri, Rasmus Andersson)deflected0.05 xG
COL: Compher, Toews, Makar, O'ConnorCGY: Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Andersson
COL 1 – 4 CGY
2:47
CGYElias LindholmPP (Jonathan Huberdeau)snap0.12 xG
COL: Cogliano, Johnson, Sedlak, MansonCGY: Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Andersson
COL 1 – 5 CGY
3:08
COLNathan MacKinnon (Pavel Francouz)wrist0.18 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, ByramCGY: Lewis, Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Weegar
COL 2 – 5 CGY
11:01
COLValeri NichushkinPP (Mikko Rantanen, Artturi Lehkonen)tip-in0.12 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, RantanenCGY: Lewis, Tanev, Coleman, Zadorov
COL 3 – 5 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	1	0	0	21:57	—	—	59	58
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.60	0	0	2	21:52	—	—	59	57
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.28	2	0	2	21:50	—	—	62	59
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	1	0	1	-2	3	0.27	1	1	0	23:51	—	—	36	36
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.06	2	0	0	18:29	—	—	35	32
Alex Newhook C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	32	30
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	17:10	—	—	73	91
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	11:43	—	—	55	46
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	2	11:23	—	—	60	80
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	2	4	26:39	—	—	57	57
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	5	0	21:46	—	—	48	48
Bowen Byram D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	1	3	0	17:28	—	—	48	49
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	2	15:57	—	—	40	22
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.25	0	2	0	15:46	—	—	52	57
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	14:54	—	—	26	21
Ben Meyers C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:24	—	—	20	0
Lukas Sedlak C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:44	—	—	0	0
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	4:14	—	—	0	0

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	L	27	22	5	.815	2.31	57:38

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.51	1	0	0	21:19	—	—	44	71
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	38	65
Tyler Toffoli C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	17:07	—	—	38	67
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:43	—	—	56	68
Andrew Mangiapane L	L2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.34	0	0	0	16:58	—	—	61	73
Dillon Dube C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	1.14	2	0	2	15:58	—	—	69	83
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:38	—	—	55	12
Brett Ritchie R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	9:31	—	—	56	9
Kevin Rooney C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:27	—	—	58	38
Mikael Backlund C	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.20	1	0	2	16:00	—	—	58	39
Blake Coleman L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	3	1	0	12:11	—	—	52	39
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	0	0	12:01	—	—	52	39
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.19	1	1	2	25:06	—	—	39	44
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	0	2	21:17	—	—	42	46
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	20:43	—	—	65	63
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:29	—	—	65	64
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	4	0	2	16:32	—	—	56	49
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	11:13	—	—	64	62

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	W	25	22	3	.880	2.38	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.