Colorado Avalanche vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 28, 2020

FinalFriday, Feb 28, 2020· PNC Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	1	3		COL	12	12	8	32
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	13	18	16	47

: COL 52CAR 81
: COL 3.46CAR 5.31
PP goals: COL 0CAR 0
Hits: COL 20CAR 27
Blocks: COL 14CAR 10
PIM: COL 6CAR 4
: COL 38%CAR 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 at CAR. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Pavel Francouz (COL) faced 47 shots and stopped 45 (.957), +17 against a season average of 30.2; the win.

Points
Teuvo Teravainen had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:35.Teravainen
Points
Tyson Jost had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:53.Jost
Points
Samuel Girard had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:11.Girard
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:54.Aho
Goalie
Pavel Francouz (COL) faced 47 shots and stopped 45 (.957), +17 against a season average of 30.2; the win.Francouz
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 5.31 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for COL: Nichushkin–Bellemare–Kaut skated 4:39 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nichushkin Bellemare Kaut
Usage
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) played 27:58, +4:38 up on his 23:20 season average over 67 games.Slavin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · CAR 81 · COL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 24% of the game, CAR 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CAR
	48	71
	2.94	3.45
	2.85	3.35
	10	13
	8	8
	22	20
	−0.121	+0.121
	24%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Donskoi – Compher – Jost
7:2937% CF
L2Landeskog – Burakovsky – MacKinnon
7:1738% CF
L3Nichushkin – Bellemare – Kaut
4:3963% CF
L4Nieto – Namestnikov – Kamenev
2:3950% CF
D1Graves – Makar
12:4439% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
12:0540% CF
D3Cole – Zadorov
11:3453% CF

PP1Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Jost – Makar
3:0580% CF
PP2Burakovsky – Nichushkin – Kamenev – Girard – Kaut
2:19100% CF
PK1FBellemare – Jost
1:25
PK2FNieto – Compher
1:24
PK1DJohnson – Graves
2:22
PK2DCole – Zadorov
0:29

Current COL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
11:3176% CF
L2Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
10:2656% CF
L3Williams – Staal – Foegele
8:5863% CF
L4Dzingel – Martinook – McGinn
6:4261% CF
D1Edmundson – Slavin
17:3261% CF
D2Skjei – Fleury
16:0556% CF
D3Gardiner – van Riemsdyk
9:1458% CF

PP1Williams – Teravainen – Slavin – Aho – Svechnikov
3:05100% CF
PP2Gardiner – Niederreiter – Dzingel – Trocheck – Necas
2:49100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
2:12
PK2FStaal – McGinn
1:23
PK1DEdmundson – Slavin
2:00
PK2DSkjei – van Riemsdyk
1:25

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:34
COLTyson Jost (Erik Johnson, Samuel Girard)snap0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Donskoi, Compher, Jost, GirardCAR: Gardiner, Niederreiter, Trocheck, van Riemsdyk, Necas
COL 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

12:51
COLTyson Jost (Cale Makar)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Namestnikov, Graves, Compher, Jost, MakarCAR: Williams, Staal, Skjei, Fleury, Svechnikov
COL 2 – 0 CAR

3rd period

5:54
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Sebastian Aho, Brady Skjei)slap0.02 xG
COL: Cole, Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, ZadorovCAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho, Svechnikov
COL 2 – 1 CAR
7:55
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Jaccob Slavin, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.12 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, Namestnikov, KamenevCAR: Dzingel, Teravainen, Slavin, Fleury, Aho
COL 2 – 2 CAR
17:23
COLSamuel Girard (Gabriel Landeskog, Vladislav Namestnikov)snap0.17 xG
COL: Johnson, Landeskog, Namestnikov, MacKinnon, GirardCAR: Edmundson, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
COL 3 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	1	0	19:10	—	—	37	54
Tyson Jost C	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.44	2	2	0	14:53	—	—	39	63
Joonas Donskoi R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	2	12:38	—	—	41	35
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	0	0	0	+1	6	0.62	0	0	0	22:55	—	—	35	42
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	39	46
Andre Burakovsky L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	1	0	14:52	—	—	32	37
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	4	0	0	14:43	—	—	61	75
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.64	0	1	0	14:22	—	—	40	44
Martin Kaut R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	0	11:52	—	—	43	27
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.13	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	52	65
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:13	—	—	38	45
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:51	—	—	38	10
Ryan Graves D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.49	1	0	0	21:57	—	—	33	48
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	3	0	20:53	—	—	41	54
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.01	3	0	0	20:19	—	—	36	43
Samuel Girard D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.24	1	2	0	18:11	—	—	41	40
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	1	1	0	19:01	—	—	52	53
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	1	4	13:57	—	—	50	37

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	47	45	2	.957	5.31	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.56	0	1	0	21:54	—	—	68	66
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	2	0	2	+2	5	0.65	0	1	0	20:35	—	—	74	80
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.57	5	0	2	19:44	—	—	59	49
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:30	—	—	53	33
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.22	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	50	34
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.62	2	0	0	14:54	—	—	64	54
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	2	0	0	15:10	—	—	56	53
Justin Williams R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.76	1	1	0	14:17	—	—	50	36
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	61	50
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	52	55
Ryan Dzingel C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	10:30	—	—	60	74
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.68	4	0	2	9:22	—	—	60	61
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.25	2	2	0	27:58	—	—	63	66
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.28	5	2	0	20:38	—	—	62	58
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	20:10	—	—	57	48
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.13	1	0	0	16:35	—	—	56	50
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:52	—	—	67	55
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	1	0	0	12:48	—	—	58	13

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	32	29	3	.906	2.99	57:30

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.