Colorado Avalanche vs. Carolina HurricanesNov 17, 2022

Final / OTThursday, Nov 17, 2022· PNC Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
COL	1	1	0	1	3		COL	5	6	2	2	15
CAR	0	1	1	0	2		CAR	12	17	18	1	48

: COL 31CAR 83
: COL 1.58CAR 4.25
PP goals: COL 1CAR 0
Hits: COL 28CAR 18
Blocks: COL 15CAR 8
PIM: COL 10CAR 8
: COL 32%CAR 68%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 (OT)

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 in overtime at CAR. Martin Necas (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 4:13 together.

Points
Martin Necas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 18:21.Necas
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 4:13 together.Lehkonen MacKinnon Rantanen Rodrigues Makar
Goalie
Pavel Francouz (COL) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +17 against a season average of 30.8; the win.Francouz
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 4.25 expected goals (83 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Cale Makar (COL) played 32:48, +6:32 up on his 26:16 season average over 59 games.Makar
Usage
Devon Toews (COL) played 29:11, +4:08 up on his 25:03 season average over 79 games.Toews
Usage
Derek Stepan (CAR) played 4:40, −4:29 down on his 9:09 season average over 72 games.Stepan
Usage
Andreas Englund (COL) played 8:26, −3:45 down on his 12:11 season average over 46 games.Englund

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · CAR 83 · COL 31

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 14% of the game, CAR 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	CAR
	26	65
	1.43	2.64
	1.42	2.37
	8	13
	1	4
	12	26
	−0.189	+0.189
	14%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:5645% CF
L2Cogliano – Compher – O'Connor
8:4816% CF
L3Rodrigues – Kaut – Newhook
7:2444% CF
L4Megna – Blidh – Hunt
3:3417% CF
D1Toews – Makar
10:3650% CF
D2Manson – MacDonald
3:5517% CF
D3Johnson – Englund
2:230% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues – Makar
4:1375% CF
PP2Compher – Toews – MacDonald – Kaut – Newhook
0:37
PK1FCogliano – O'Connor
2:49
PK2FCompher – Lehkonen
1:51
PK1DToews – Makar
2:54
PK2DJohnson – Manson
1:42

Current COL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
13:0558% CF
L2Kotkaniemi – Svechnikov – Jarvis
10:1290% CF
L3Noesen – Aho – Necas
9:0068% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Drury
3:5083% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
15:1748% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
14:5386% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
9:0671% CF

PP1Burns – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov – Jarvis
5:2992% CF
PP2Stastny – Noesen – Pesce – Kotkaniemi – Drury
2:0475% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:17
PK2FFast – Aho
1:34
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:49
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:42

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:20
COLEvan RodriguesPPwrist0.06 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, MakarCAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Slavin
COL 1 – 0 CAR

2nd period

7:14
CARSebastian Aho (Martin Necas)wrist0.04 xG
COL: Manson, Rodrigues, MacDonald, Kaut, NewhookCAR: Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Aho, Necas
COL 1 – 1 CAR
14:20
COLAlex Newhook (Josh Manson, Erik Johnson)backhand0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Manson, Rodrigues, Kaut, NewhookCAR: Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Necas
COL 2 – 1 CAR

3rd period

10:23
CARMartin Necas (Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.19 xG
COL: Manson, MacKinnon, Englund, Rantanen, RodriguesCAR: Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Aho, Necas
COL 2 – 2 CAR

OT period

1:55
COLArtturi Lehkonen (J.T. Compher, Devon Toews)slap0.10 xG
COL: Compher, Lehkonen, ToewsCAR: Slavin, Svechnikov, Jarvis
COL 3 – 2 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	23:48	—	—	37	38
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	2	1	2	22:14	—	—	38	44
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	3	1	0	20:17	—	—	44	47
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.18	0	1	0	19:13	—	—	15	16
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:43	—	—	17	23
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	2	15:00	—	—	14	20
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.06	0	0	2	18:13	—	—	33	39
Alex Newhook C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.28	1	0	2	13:23	—	—	46	57
Martin Kaut R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	1	0	12:50	—	—	29	41
Jayson Megna C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	5:58	—	—	22	35
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	5:54	—	—	40	47
Anton Blidh L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	2	5:51	—	—	10	8
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	0	32:48	—	—	49	51
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	29:11	—	—	33	43
Josh Manson D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:31	—	—	19	33
Jacob MacDonald D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	10:10	—	—	44	35
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:39	—	—	14	21
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	8:26	—	—	7	1

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	48	46	2	.958	4.25	61:55

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	19:31	—	—	57	48
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	2	1	2	18:59	—	—	58	49
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	2	1	0	16:51	—	—	57	52
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	7	0.76	0	0	0	20:17	—	—	83	77
Seth Jarvis R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.53	0	0	0	19:25	—	—	79	75
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	1	0	2	14:24	—	—	92	84
Sebastian Aho C	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.33	1	0	0	20:47	—	—	62	61
Martin Necas C	L3	1	1	2	+1	6	0.67	3	0	0	18:21	—	—	71	72
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:17	—	—	71	72
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	2	9:39	—	—	73	55
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	7:16	—	—	75	37
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	4:40	—	—	86	41
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	0	2	0	23:04	—	—	57	51
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	1	0	21:46	—	—	46	42
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	24:27	—	—	88	86
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	+2	5	0.36	1	2	2	24:15	—	—	84	83
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	1	0	12:07	—	—	75	74
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:25	—	—	71	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	O	15	12	3	.800	1.58	61:21

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.