Colorado Avalanche vs. New York IslandersJan 28, 2025

FinalTuesday, Jan 28, 2025· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	14	12	6	32
NYI	0	1	4	5		NYI	11	7	10	28

: COL 85NYI 54
: COL 3.57NYI 3.14
PP goals: COL 0NYI 0
Hits: COL 24NYI 33
Blocks: COL 14NYI 27
PIM: COL 0NYI 4
: COL 54%NYI 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

New York Islanders beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Simon Holmstrom (NYI) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Martin Necas (COL) played 24:42, +5:46 up on his 18:56 season average over 78 games.

Points
Simon Holmstrom had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:11.Holmstrom
Points
Anders Lee had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:13.Lee
Points
Jean-Gabriel Pageau had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:38.Pageau
Points
Martin Necas had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:42.Necas
Usage
Martin Necas (COL) played 24:42, +5:46 up on his 18:56 season average over 78 games.Necas
Usage
Casey Cizikas (NYI) played 18:22, +5:24 up on his 12:58 season average over 81 games.Cizikas
New line
New look for NYI: MacLean–Gatcomb–Tsyplakov skated 6:40 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.MacLean Gatcomb Tsyplakov
Luck
NYI scored 5 goals on 3.14 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · NYI 54 · COL 85

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 42% of the game, NYI 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NYI
	88	64
	3.16	2.67
	3.04	2.61
	17	13
	6	6
	23	26
	+0.038	−0.038
	42%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Drouin – Necas
12:5462% CF
L2Wood – Colton – Drury
9:2961% CF
L3Kelly – O'Connor – Kiviranta
8:4150% CF
L4Lehkonen – Mittelstadt – Parssinen
8:1564% CF
D1Toews – Makar
18:2662% CF
D2Manson – Girard
15:2055% CF
D3de Haan – Malinski
11:1656% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Drouin – Necas – Makar
2:35100% CF
PP2MacKinnon – Drouin – Toews – Colton – Necas
0:41100% CF

Current COL line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Lee – Horvat – Barzal
14:0548% CF
L2Palmieri – Nelson – Duclair
11:2225% CF
L3Cizikas – Pageau – Holmstrom
10:1341% CF
L4MacLean – Gatcomb – Tsyplakov
6:4071% CF
D1DeAngelo – Romanov
17:4240% CF
D2Pelech – Perunovich
15:4958% CF
D3Mayfield – George
10:2619% CF

PK1FPalmieri – Nelson
1:32
PK2FCizikas – Horvat
0:46
PK1DPelech – Romanov
1:32
PK2DMayfield – DeAngelo
0:36

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:11
NYIAnders Lee (Brock Nelson, Tony DeAngelo)backhand0.34 xG
COL: Drouin, Toews, Necas, Makar, KellyNYI: Lee, Nelson, DeAngelo, Barzal, Romanov
COL 0 – 1 NYI
13:00
COLArtturi Lehkonen (Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas)tip-in0.08 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, MakarNYI: Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Barzal, George
COL 1 – 1 NYI

3rd period

1:54
NYISimon Holmstrom (Jean-Gabriel Pageau)wrist0.13 xG
COL: de Haan, Wood, Colton, Drury, MalinskiNYI: Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Perunovich, Holmstrom
COL 1 – 2 NYI
11:23
NYIBo Horvat (Anders Lee, Scott Perunovich)wrist0.17 xG
COL: Manson, Drouin, Girard, Mittelstadt, ParssinenNYI: Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Perunovich
COL 1 – 3 NYI
14:55
COLJack Drury (Martin Necas, Josh Manson)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Wood, Toews, Necas, Makar, DruryNYI: Cizikas, Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom
COL 2 – 3 NYI
17:31
NYIAlexander Romanov (Simon Holmstrom, Casey Cizikas)wrist0.01 xG
COL: Manson, Wood, Girard, Colton, MittelstadtNYI: Cizikas, Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom
COL 2 – 4 NYI
18:50
NYISimon HolmstromEN (Jean-Gabriel Pageau)backhand0.91 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Necas, MakarNYI: Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom
COL 2 – 5 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	0	2	2	0	2	0.05	1	1	24:42	—	—	64	56
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	0	7	0.38	1	0	23:53	—	—	67	68
Jonathan Drouin L	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.32	0	0	21:12	—	—	57	51
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.85	6	1	14:39	—	—	59	50
Miles Wood L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	2	0	13:02	—	—	54	46
Jack Drury C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.32	0	0	12:20	—	—	68	64
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	1	10:55	—	—	55	63
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	0	9:56	—	—	53	61
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	9:21	—	—	47	35
Artturi Lehkonen L	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.38	0	1	17:37	—	—	67	79
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	15:36	—	—	43	29
Juuso Parssinen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	11:04	—	—	48	47
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	1	1	25:24	—	—	59	57
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	24:58	—	—	60	55
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	0	2	21:44	—	—	54	50
Josh Manson D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.10	2	3	17:12	—	—	58	58
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	14:12	—	—	57	40
Sam Malinski D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	6	2	13:22	—	—	59	61

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.23	58:51

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mathew Barzal C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	0	1	0	19:15	—	—	45	52
Bo Horvat C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.45	1	0	0	18:18	—	—	48	46
Anders Lee L	L1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.51	1	4	2	15:13	—	—	47	58
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	0	2	0	18:11	—	—	35	45
Kyle Palmieri C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:06	—	—	35	28
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	13:36	—	—	22	9
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.33	5	4	0	18:22	—	—	38	54
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.06	2	1	2	15:38	—	—	34	45
Simon Holmstrom R	L3	2	1	3	+2	3	1.16	0	1	0	15:11	—	—	34	50
Maxim Tsyplakov R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	10:29	—	—	63	53
Kyle MacLean C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	4	2	0	8:05	—	—	59	47
Marc Gatcomb C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	4	0	0	7:31	—	—	71	66
Alexander Romanov D	D1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.08	6	4	0	25:12	—	—	43	48
Tony DeAngelo D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	2	0	22:11	—	—	42	47
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.04	3	1	0	24:17	—	—	53	59
Scott Perunovich D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.02	1	1	0	18:52	—	—	62	69
Scott Mayfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:07	—	—	18	19
Isaiah George D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:26	—	—	20	14

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	3.57	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Anders Lee (NYI) 2nd 4:11 · assists Brock Nelson, Tony DeAngelo · Dump and chase · dumped in · 4-on-1 at the blue line · 4.6 mph shot · 3.3 s from entry to goal.

Anders Lee · 2nd 4:11 · NYI

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: 4-on-1
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 4.6 mph
Distance: 1 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 13:00 · COL

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 13.1 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 6.1 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 1:54 · NYI

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 10.5 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 6.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bo Horvat · 3rd 11:23 · NYI

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 14.3 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Drury · 3rd 14:55 · COL

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 51.5 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alexander Romanov · 3rd 17:31 · NYI

Play: faceoff
Passes: 1
Shot: 65.2 mph
Distance: 64 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:50 · NYI EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 33.0 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.