Colorado Avalanche vs. Winnipeg JetsFeb 24, 2023

FinalFriday, Feb 24, 2023· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	4	1	0	5		COL	11	15	10	36
WPG	1	0	0	1		WPG	6	12	9	27

: COL 57WPG 54
: COL 3.29WPG 2.30
PP goals: COL 0WPG 1
Hits: COL 18WPG 22
Blocks: COL 12WPG 12
PIM: COL 10WPG 6
: COL 52%WPG 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Winnipeg Jets 5–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Winnipeg Jets 5–1 at WPG. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. COL scored 5 goals on 3.29 expected goals (57 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
J.T. Compher had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:23.Compher
Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:22.Rantanen
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:36.MacKinnon
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 3.29 expected goals (57 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Devon Toews (COL) played 20:33, −4:37 down on his 25:10 season average over 79 games.Toews
Usage
Blake Wheeler (WPG) played 13:30, −3:36 down on his 17:06 season average over 71 games.Wheeler
Usage
Josh Manson (COL) played 22:18, +4:47 up on his 17:31 season average over 26 games.Manson
Usage
Brenden Dillon (WPG) played 15:38, −4:00 down on his 19:38 season average over 81 games.Dillon

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · WPG 54 · COL 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 39% of the game, WPG 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	WPG
	54	58
	2.73	2.25
	2.62	2.10
	13	20
	6	1
	16	12
	+0.034	−0.034
	39%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
8:5746% CF
L2Compher – Rantanen – Rodrigues
7:5131% CF
L3Cogliano – O'Connor – Newhook
6:3850% CF
D1Toews – Girard
9:2347% CF
D2Manson – Byram
8:1840% CF
D3Hunt – Englund
2:0686% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Byram
2:47100% CF
PP2Compher – Toews – Rodrigues – Girard – Newhook
1:38
PK1FCompher – Nichushkin
1:50
PK2FNieto – Lehkonen
0:57
PK1DManson – Toews
2:05
PK2DGirard – Byram
1:55

Current COL line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Connor – Appleton
11:1455% CF
L2Lowry – Barron – Kuhlman
9:5156% CF
L3Wheeler – Ehlers – Dubois
5:0064% CF
L4Maenalanen – Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby
3:5367% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
13:4260% CF
D2Dillon – Schmidt
5:5982% CF
D3Samberg – Pionk
5:1445% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
4:4775% CF
PP2Wheeler – Lowry – Schmidt – Appleton – Pionk
2:1850% CF
PK1FWheeler – Barron
1:12
PK2FLowry – Stenlund
0:54
PK1DDeMelo – Samberg
1:36
PK2DDillon – Pionk
0:46

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:19
COLNathan MacKinnon (Valeri Nichushkin, Artturi Lehkonen)slap0.12 xG
COL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, GirardWPG: Wheeler, DeMelo, Morrissey, Ehlers, Dubois
COL 1 – 0 WPG
3:12
WPGMason AppletonPP (Nate Schmidt, Blake Wheeler)tip-in0.12 xG
COL: Nieto, Lehkonen, Girard, ByramWPG: Wheeler, Lowry, Schmidt, Appleton, Pionk
COL 1 – 1 WPG
4:32
COLMikko Rantanen (Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Compher, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, ByramWPG: Dillon, Scheifele, Connor, Appleton, Pionk
COL 2 – 1 WPG
7:34
COLJ.T. Compher (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.10 xG
COL: Manson, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen, ByramWPG: DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton
COL 3 – 1 WPG
10:58
COLBowen Byram (Andrew Cogliano, Alex Newhook)wrist0.13 xG
COL: Cogliano, Hunt, O'Connor, Byram, NewhookWPG: Wheeler, Dillon, Ehlers, Dubois, Pionk
COL 4 – 1 WPG

2nd period

10:59
COLMatt Nieto (J.T. Compher, Devon Toews)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Manson, Nieto, Compher, Toews, RantanenWPG: Scheifele, Appleton, Samberg, Pionk, Barron
COL 5 – 1 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.27	1	0	2	21:36	—	—	51	58
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.35	2	1	0	20:27	—	—	52	54
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.46	2	1	2	18:09	—	—	42	26
J.T. Compher L	L2	1	1	2	+3	3	0.14	1	2	0	20:23	—	—	44	61
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	1	1	2	+3	6	0.78	1	0	0	20:22	—	—	51	67
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:06	—	—	40	55
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	1	0	13:59	—	—	54	49
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:57	—	—	58	51
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	11:18	—	—	39	26
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	23:20	—	—	33	38
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	0	1	2	20:33	—	—	56	75
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.09	2	1	0	22:18	—	—	41	44
Bowen Byram D	D2	1	0	1	+3	3	0.21	1	0	0	21:14	—	—	46	54
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	10:54	—	—	58	53
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:13	—	—	70	84
Matt Nieto L	—	1	0	1	+1	5	0.62	0	0	0	10:37	—	—	43	69
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	9:52	—	—	31	26
Denis Malgin C	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	1	0	9:15	—	—	56	59

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.30	60:00

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.30	1	0	0	20:34	—	—	55	44
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.45	1	0	0	19:12	—	—	58	39
Mason Appleton C	L1	1	0	1	-3	2	0.21	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	57	42
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	1	0	18:23	—	—	61	60
Morgan Barron C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	0	0	0	15:38	—	—	50	56
Karson Kuhlman C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	2	0	14:20	—	—	39	43
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.19	1	2	4	15:58	—	—	32	23
Blake Wheeler R	L3	0	1	1	-2	1	0.13	2	1	0	13:30	—	—	56	46
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	1	0	0	13:04	—	—	57	46
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	2	11:45	—	—	65	68
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.05	0	1	0	10:11	—	—	53	63
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	9:35	—	—	35	30
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	26:43	—	—	51	57
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	60	69
Nate Schmidt D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	18:11	—	—	59	47
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	1	1	0	15:38	—	—	53	45
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:44	—	—	42	32
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	3	0	0	14:09	—	—	46	29

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	26	21	5	.808	2.05	40:00
David Rittich	—	10	10	0	.1000	1.24	20:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.