Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 25, 2026

FinalSunday, Jan 25, 2026· Scotiabank Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	2	1	1	4		COL	17	14	6	37
TOR	0	0	1	1		TOR	6	13	14	33

: COL 70TOR 61
: COL 5.01TOR 2.83
PP goals: COL 0TOR 1
Hits: COL 14TOR 28
Blocks: COL 8TOR 16
PIM: COL 6TOR 4
: COL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1 at TOR. Brock Nelson (COL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for TOR: Domi–Matthews–Knies skated 7:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brock Nelson had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:37.Nelson
New line
New look for TOR: Domi–Matthews–Knies skated 7:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Domi Matthews Knies
New line
New look for TOR: Roy–Robertson–Maccelli skated 4:43 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Roy Robertson Maccelli
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +5 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Woll
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Laughton–McMann skated 4:42 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Laughton McMann
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 2.83 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) faced 33 shots and stopped 32 (.970), +8 against a season average of 24.6; the win.Blackwood
Usage
Max Domi (TOR) played 18:07, +3:17 up on his 14:50 season average over 79 games.Domi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 131 of 131 attempts · TOR 61 · COL 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 36% of the game, TOR 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against COL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	TOR
	64	58
	3.09	2.05
	2.75	1.79
	8	14
	8	6
	18	24
	−0.063	+0.063
	36%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Olofsson – Necas
13:1954% CF
L2Nelson – Lehkonen – Nichushkin
9:4656% CF
L3Drury – Makar – Brindley
8:1841% CF
L4Kelly – Kiviranta – Bardakov
5:0263% CF
D1Makar – Malinski
10:5665% CF
D2Burns – Manson
8:4655% CF
D3Girard – Ahcan
6:0238% CF

PP1Nelson – MacKinnon – Olofsson – Necas – Makar
2:22100% CF
PP2Nelson – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Makar
1:19100% CF
PK1FKelly – Drury
2:46
PK2FNelson – Kiviranta
0:49
PK1DBurns – Makar
1:19
PK2DGirard – Malinski
0:38

Current COL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Domi – Matthews – Knies
7:5050% CF
L2Roy – Robertson – Maccelli
4:43100% CF
L3Tavares – Laughton – McMann
4:4275% CF
L4Lorentz – Cowan – Quillan
2:570% CF
D1McCabe – Carlo
10:0147% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – Benoit
9:3631% CF
D3Rielly – Stecher
9:1674% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Matthews – Maccelli – Knies
2:1083% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Robertson – McMann – Cowan
2:08100% CF
PK1FLaughton – Lorentz
2:10
PK2FRoy – Matthews
1:39
PK1DMcCabe – Stecher
1:18
PK2DRielly – Benoit
0:35

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.21	1	0	0	23:18	—	—	58	65
Martin Necas C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.30	1	0	0	20:57	—	—	58	60
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.64	0	0	0	18:12	—	—	54	52
Brock Nelson C	L2	3	0	3	+3	4	1.61	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	52	74
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.77	1	0	0	17:04	—	—	50	80
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	2	16:07	—	—	58	81
Jack Drury C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	50	41
Gavin Brindley C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	10:32	—	—	41	46
Taylor Makar L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	9:56	—	—	32	29
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.35	3	1	0	11:29	—	—	59	59
Joel Kiviranta L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	8:53	—	—	59	59
Zakhar Bardakov C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	6:50	—	—	63	94
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	+2	6	0.21	0	2	0	23:28	—	—	68	74
Sam Malinski D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.24	0	0	0	21:09	—	—	60	58
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:50	—	—	49	60
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.09	4	4	2	20:19	—	—	50	67
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.03	0	0	0	19:38	—	—	38	52
Jack Ahcan D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	10:46	—	—	35	21

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.83	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	0.82	0	2	0	19:42	—	—	50	48
Max Domi C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	18:07	—	—	44	40
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	2	1	0	16:52	—	—	54	53
Matias Maccelli L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.29	1	0	0	17:48	—	—	62	78
Nicolas Roy C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	1	0	15:40	—	—	62	79
Nick Robertson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:10	—	—	58	47
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	1	0	0	19:04	—	—	58	48
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	1	1	-3	3	0.11	5	0	0	17:58	—	—	46	28
Scott Laughton C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.38	3	0	0	16:39	—	—	46	29
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	13:16	—	—	23	17
Easton Cowan R	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	35	20
Jacob Quillan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:15	—	—	7	3
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	18:43	—	—	39	41
Brandon Carlo D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	2	17:29	—	—	43	24
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.09	2	2	0	20:00	—	—	24	33
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	1	2	16:15	—	—	43	28
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	0	5	0.10	0	3	0	22:03	—	—	62	51
Troy Stecher D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	1	0	0	18:45	—	—	70	55

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	36	33	3	.917	3.59	56:33

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Brock Nelson (COL) 1st 6:19 · assists Cale Makar · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 75.6 mph shot · 1.8 s from entry to goal.

Brock Nelson · 1st 6:19 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 75.6 mph
Distance: 33 ft
Entry to goal: 1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brock Nelson · 1st 7:31 · COL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 25.9 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Max Domi · 3rd 18:58 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.1 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Drury · 2nd 18:53 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 4
Shot: 61.7 mph
Distance: 33 ft
Entry to goal: 2.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:41 · COL EN

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 55.7 mph
Distance: 64 ft
Entry to goal: 0.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 25, 2026

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Colorado Avalanche

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Brock Nelson · 1st 6:19 · COL

Brock Nelson · 1st 7:31 · COL

Max Domi · 3rd 18:58 · TOR PP

Jack Drury · 2nd 18:53 · COL

Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:41 · COL EN