Colorado Avalanche vs. Edmonton OilersFeb 1, 2018

Final / OTThursday, Feb 1, 2018· Rogers Place

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
COL	0	3	0	1	4		COL	10	15	3	3	31
EDM	0	1	2	0	3		EDM	8	12	12	0	32

: COL 58EDM 63
: COL 2.29EDM 2.44
PP goals: COL 1EDM 0
Hits: COL 26EDM 30
Blocks: COL 18EDM 20
PIM: COL 6EDM 2
: COL 49%EDM 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Edmonton Oilers 4–3 (OT)

Colorado Avalanche beat Edmonton Oilers 4–3 in overtime at EDM. Connor McDavid (EDM) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 24:45, +5:21 up on his 19:24 season average over 76 games.

Points
Connor McDavid had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:33.McDavid
Points
Gabriel Landeskog had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:40.Landeskog
Points
Leon Draisaitl had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:29.Draisaitl
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 24:45, +5:21 up on his 19:24 season average over 76 games.Zadorov
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Yakupov–Toninato skated 7:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (70% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Yakupov Toninato
New line
New look for EDM: Letestu–Kassian–Slepyshev skated 6:28 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Letestu Kassian Slepyshev
Luck
COL scored 4 goals on 2.29 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Drake Caggiula (EDM) played 17:59, +4:30 up on his 13:29 season average over 66 games.Caggiula

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · EDM 63 · COL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 25% of the game, EDM 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	EDM
	56	59
	1.82	2.11
	1.72	2.06
	7	10
	5	4
	17	20
	−0.032	+0.032
	25%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Wilson – Compher – Jost
12:5768% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
11:3224% CF
L3Landeskog – Kerfoot – Rantanen
11:2450% CF
L4Bourque – Yakupov – Toninato
7:2770% CF
D1Johnson – Zadorov
13:3554% CF
D2Barrie – Lindholm
9:5658% CF
D3Nemeth – Girard
9:3536% CF

PP1Soderberg – Wilson – Barrie – Yakupov – Jost
1:00
PP2Landeskog – Compher – Rantanen – Jost – Girard
0:37100% CF
PK1FComeau – Soderberg
2:30
PK2FBourque – Nieto
1:11
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
4:20
PK2DZadorov – Lindholm
1:06

Current COL line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Maroon – Strome – Caggiula
13:0355% CF
L2Cammalleri – Draisaitl – McDavid
12:2754% CF
L3Lucic – Khaira – Puljujarvi
11:2652% CF
L4Letestu – Kassian – Slepyshev
6:2829% CF
D1Klefbom – Benning
15:4474% CF
D2Davidson – Nurse
15:3026% CF
D3Sekera – Russell
12:5421% CF

PP1Cammalleri – Maroon – Nurse – Puljujarvi – Caggiula
2:41100% CF
PP2Maroon – Strome – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
2:37100% CF
PK1FStrome – Draisaitl
0:56
PK2FKassian – McDavid
0:41
PK1DRussell – Klefbom
0:56
PK2DSekera – Davidson
0:41

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:04
COLNikita Zadorovsnap0.17 xG
COL: Barrie, Yakupov, Compher, Zadorov, JostEDM: Sekera, Russell, Letestu, Kassian, Slepyshev
COL 1 – 0 EDM
7:52
COLSamuel GirardPP (Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog)slap0.05 xG
COL: Landeskog, Compher, Rantanen, Jost, GirardEDM: Sekera, Kassian, Davidson, McDavid
COL 2 – 0 EDM
9:11
EDMConnor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl, Michael Cammalleri)wrist0.07 xG
COL: Nemeth, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Rantanen, GirardEDM: Cammalleri, Klefbom, Benning, Draisaitl, McDavid
COL 2 – 1 EDM
19:31
COLBlake ComeauSHbackhand0.39 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, NemethEDM: Lucic, Strome, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid
COL 3 – 1 EDM

3rd period

6:52
EDMDrake Caggiula (Ryan Strome, Matt Benning)deflected0.08 xG
COL: Comeau, Soderberg, Bourque, Nemeth, GirardEDM: Maroon, Strome, Klefbom, Benning, Caggiula
COL 3 – 2 EDM
19:32
EDMConnor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl, Kris Russell)slap0.22 xG
COL: Wilson, Nemeth, Compher, Zadorov, RantanenEDM: Cammalleri, Sekera, Russell, Lucic, Draisaitl, McDavid
COL 3 – 3 EDM

OT period

2:28
COLJ.T. Compher (Tyson Barrie, Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.14 xG
COL: Comeau, Barrie, CompherEDM: Strome, Nurse, Caggiula
COL 4 – 3 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
J.T. Compher L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.21	1	0	0	17:04	—	—	68	72
Colin Wilson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:53	—	—	70	74
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	3	1	0	15:36	—	—	70	81
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	2	0	17:26	—	—	18	20
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	17:22	—	—	29	28
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.41	1	1	2	17:14	—	—	20	18
Gabriel Landeskog L	L3	0	2	2	-1	1	0.05	2	3	0	17:40	—	—	52	39
Mikko Rantanen R	L3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.10	1	0	2	15:35	—	—	52	43
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.35	0	2	0	14:45	—	—	49	40
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	2	0	11:36	—	—	44	64
Nail Yakupov R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	60	68
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	9:54	—	—	64	62
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.15	3	1	0	28:06	—	—	47	43
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	7	0	0	24:45	—	—	58	72
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	1	0	0	19:05	—	—	59	64
Anton Lindholm D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	13:57	—	—	59	54
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	3	0	20:18	—	—	40	30
Samuel Girard D	D3	1	0	1	-2	2	0.07	0	0	2	14:46	—	—	39	28

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	W	32	29	3	.906	2.44	62:15

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Patrick Maroon L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:56	—	—	61	73
Ryan Strome C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	0	0	0	19:28	—	—	56	66
Drake Caggiula L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.22	4	0	0	17:59	—	—	52	62
Connor McDavid C	L2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.53	0	1	0	21:33	—	—	56	58
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.24	1	2	0	21:29	—	—	51	49
Michael Cammalleri L	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.08	0	1	0	17:57	—	—	47	44
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	2	0	0	16:46	—	—	52	64
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	0	0	15:40	—	—	54	63
Jujhar Khaira L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	13:18	—	—	52	63
Zack Kassian R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	7	0	0	9:42	—	—	33	31
Anton Slepyshev L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	0	8:42	—	—	38	1
Mark Letestu C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	7:35	—	—	20	0
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	0	0	+1	7	0.20	1	2	0	23:31	—	—	74	77
Matt Benning D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.13	1	1	0	18:05	—	—	74	77
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	2	2	23:24	—	—	41	48
Brandon Davidson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	6	2	0	17:48	—	—	31	24
Kris Russell D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	0	6	0	18:14	—	—	33	32
Andrej Sekera D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:37	—	—	20	10

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Al Montoya(start)	O	31	27	4	.871	2.29	61:31

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.