Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 4, 2018

FinalTuesday, Dec 4, 2018· PPG Paints Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	3	0	3		COL	18	12	15	45
PIT	3	0	3	6		PIT	10	11	11	32

: COL 78PIT 54
: COL 4.42PIT 3.51
PP goals: COL 1PIT 1
Hits: COL 18PIT 33
Blocks: COL 15PIT 16
PIM: COL 8PIT 8
: COL 44%PIT 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Colorado Avalanche 6–3

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Colorado Avalanche 6–3 at home. Patric Hornqvist (PIT) led the scoring with 3G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:39 together.

Points
Patric Hornqvist had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 8 shots in 16:32.Hornqvist
Points
Evgeni Malkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:51.Malkin
Points
Kris Letang had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:46.Letang
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:39 together.Wilson Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen
Goalie
Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 45 shots and stopped 42 (.933), +16 against a season average of 29.4; the win.DeSmith
Usage
Dominik Simon (PIT) played 5:01, −8:26 down on his 13:27 season average over 70 games.Simon
Luck
PIT scored 6 goals on 3.51 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Carl Soderberg (COL) played 12:31, −5:00 down on his 17:31 season average over 81 games.Soderberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · PIT 54 · COL 78

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 40% of the game, PIT 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	PIT
	77	59
	4.35	3.56
	4.20	3.49
	19	19
	7	8
	12	20
	+0.001	−0.001
	40%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:3061% CF
L2Wilson – Compher – Jost
9:0557% CF
L3Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
8:2876% CF
L4Bourque – Kerfoot – Kamenev
6:3745% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
11:2448% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
10:3659% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
6:2656% CF

PP1Wilson – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:39100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Kerfoot – Compher – Jost – Girard
0:40100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Nieto
1:18
PK2FBourque – Compher
0:47
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
0:54
PK2DCole – Zadorov
0:47

Current COL line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Hornqvist – Pearson
10:5145% CF
L2Brassard – Kessel – Aston-Reese
10:3638% CF
L3Crosby – Sheahan – Guentzel
4:4523% CF
L4Grant – Rust – Simon
0:00
D1Letang – Dumoulin
16:5249% CF
D2Oleksiak – Maatta
15:5033% CF
D3Johnson – Pettersson
12:3540% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Johnson – Letang – Hornqvist
1:36100% CF
PP2Brassard – Kessel – Oleksiak – Maatta – Guentzel
0:49
PK1FSheahan – Aston-Reese
2:51
PK2FGrant – Rust
1:26
PK1DJohnson – Maatta
2:51
PK2DDumoulin – Oleksiak
0:45

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:46
PITJake Guentzel (Kris Letang, Brian Dumoulin)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Kerfoot, KamenevPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon
COL 0 – 1 PIT
6:52
PITEvgeni Malkin (Tanner Pearson, Patric Hornqvist)wrist0.30 xG
COL: Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Compher, JostPIT: Malkin, Johnson, Hornqvist, Pearson, Pettersson
COL 0 – 2 PIT
7:27
PITDerick Brassard (Olli Maatta, Zachary Aston-Reese)tip-in0.08 xG
COL: Soderberg, Calvert, Nemeth, Nieto, ZadorovPIT: Brassard, Kessel, Oleksiak, Maatta, Aston-Reese
COL 0 – 3 PIT

2nd period

8:16
COLTyson BarriePP (Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog)slap0.05 xG
COL: Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenPIT: Grant, Dumoulin, Rust, Oleksiak
COL 1 – 3 PIT
9:32
COLCarl Soderberg (Matt Calvert, Ian Cole)wrist0.29 xG
COL: Soderberg, Cole, Calvert, Nieto, ZadorovPIT: Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson
COL 2 – 3 PIT
13:17
COLMatt NietoSH (Gabriel Bourque)snap0.14 xG
COL: Cole, Bourque, Nemeth, NietoPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel
COL 3 – 3 PIT

3rd period

6:11
PITPatric HornqvistPP (Kris Letang, Phil Kessel)wrist0.29 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, NietoPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel
COL 3 – 4 PIT
7:32
PITPatric Hornqvist (Evgeni Malkin)slap0.00 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, RantanenPIT: Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson
COL 3 – 5 PIT
8:58
PITPatric Hornqvistwrist0.08 xG
COL: Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Kerfoot, KamenevPIT: Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Pearson
COL 3 – 6 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	1.07	0	3	0	22:24	—	—	59	78
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.44	1	1	2	22:23	—	—	58	78
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	1	0	2	21:52	—	—	54	62
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	0	0	2	17:37	—	—	54	43
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	2	0	17:26	—	—	52	32
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	51	35
Carl Soderberg C	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.60	1	0	0	12:31	—	—	73	69
Matt Nieto L	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	73	67
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.41	2	0	0	10:33	—	—	70	53
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:25	—	—	53	35
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.09	3	4	0	10:19	—	—	42	42
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	9:19	—	—	44	20
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	3	0	0	23:37	—	—	56	63
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:48	—	—	55	58
Tyson Barrie D	D2	1	0	1	-3	5	0.23	1	3	0	24:10	—	—	55	52
Ian Cole D	D2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.10	2	1	0	20:23	—	—	62	64
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	49	45
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	2	13:02	—	—	65	48

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	32	26	6	.813	3.51	57:47

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.54	2	0	0	17:51	—	—	50	56
Patric Hornqvist R	L1	3	1	4	+1	8	0.78	2	2	0	16:32	—	—	47	60
Tanner Pearson L	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.30	1	1	0	12:23	—	—	46	53
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	5	0	0	18:30	—	—	47	48
Phil Kessel R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.60	0	0	0	17:42	—	—	46	53
Derick Brassard C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.30	2	0	0	15:35	—	—	37	51
Sidney Crosby C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	0	2	19:46	—	—	41	29
Jake Guentzel C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	18:36	—	—	37	34
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:43	—	—	27	17
Bryan Rust R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	1	0	10:20	—	—	42	53
Derek Grant C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	6:48	—	—	50	12
Dominik Simon C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	2	5:01	—	—	55	45
Kris Letang D	D1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.14	2	2	2	24:46	—	—	49	42
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	3	0	20:26	—	—	49	44
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	4	4	0	21:00	—	—	36	42
Jamie Oleksiak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	19:25	—	—	35	51
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	1	0	2	20:08	—	—	43	47
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	2	0	13:54	—	—	42	45

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	W	45	42	3	.933	4.42	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.