Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville PredatorsDec 16, 2021

FinalThursday, Dec 16, 2021· Bridgestone Arena

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

2

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	11	3	12	26
NSH	1	2	2	5		NSH	10	17	8	35

: COL 49NSH 59
: COL 2.13NSH 3.14
PP goals: COL 1NSH 2
Hits: COL 13NSH 22
Blocks: COL 13NSH 11
PIM: COL 10NSH 8
: COL 53%NSH 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

Nashville Predators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Jeannot and Tolvanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 11 attempts in 3:52 together.

Points
Filip Forsberg had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:33.Forsberg
Points
Colton Sissons had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 25:00.Sissons
Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 23:27.Rantanen
Points
Tanner Jeannot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:10.Jeannot
Points
Alexandre Carrier had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:19.Carrier
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Jeannot and Tolvanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 11 attempts in 3:52 together.Josi Forsberg Sissons Jeannot Tolvanen
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Kadri, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen and Girard) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 6:15 together.Kadri MacKinnon Nichushkin Rantanen Girard
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 31:46, +10:16 up on his 21:30 season average over 66 games.Girard

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · NSH 59 · COL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 22% of the game, NSH 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	NSH
	41	53
	1.59	1.91
	1.54	1.69
	6	11
	5	2
	11	11
	+0.015	−0.015
	22%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen
9:0216% CF
L2Kadri – Maltsev – O'Connor
5:5357% CF
L3Aube-Kubel – Jost – Newhook
2:280% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:0325% CF
D2Johnson – Gross
3:3367% CF

PP1Kadri – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Girard
6:15100% CF
PP2Johnson – Aube-Kubel – Jost – Maltsev – Newhook
0:57100% CF
PK1FHelm – O'Connor
1:02
PK2FNichushkin – Jost
0:52
PK1DJohnson – Johnson
2:06
PK2DGirard – Barron
0:00

Current COL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Forsberg – Sissons – Jeannot
12:5567% CF
L2Trenin – Olivier – Glass
9:3150% CF
L3Novak – Kunin – Tolvanen
9:1529% CF
D1Josi – Fabbro
12:3765% CF
D2Borowiecki – Benning
9:5956% CF
D3Ekholm – Carrier
9:5883% CF

PP1Josi – Forsberg – Sissons – Jeannot – Tolvanen
3:52100% CF
PP2Ekholm – Novak – Trenin – Kunin – Glass
1:40100% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
1:52
PK2FKunin – Smith
1:25
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
3:29
PK2DBorowiecki – Benning
2:09

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:23
NSHFilip Forsberg (Alexandre Carrier, Colton Sissons)wrist0.01 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Girard, BarronNSH: Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot
COL 0 – 1 NSH

2nd period

7:20
NSHTanner JeannotPP (Colton Sissons, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Johnson, Johnson, Nichushkin, JostNSH: Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Jeannot, Tolvanen
COL 0 – 2 NSH
9:57
COLMikko RantanenPP (Nazem Kadri, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.02 xG
COL: Kadri, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, GirardNSH: Ekholm, Kunin, Fabbro, Smith
COL 1 – 2 NSH
16:48
NSHFilip Forsbergdeflected0.02 xG
COL: Helm, MacKinnon, Girard, O'Connor, BarronNSH: Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot
COL 1 – 3 NSH

3rd period

9:12
COLValeri Nichushkin (Mikko Rantanen, Samuel Girard)tip-in0.06 xG
COL: Kadri, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, GirardNSH: Borowiecki, Grimaldi, Carrier, Kunin, Smith
COL 2 – 3 NSH
12:19
NSHRoman JosiPP (Colton Sissons, Tanner Jeannot)snap0.13 xG
COL: Johnson, Johnson, Nichushkin, JostNSH: Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, Jeannot, Tolvanen
COL 2 – 4 NSH
18:52
NSHMattias EkholmEN (Alexandre Carrier)slap0.40 xG
COL: Kadri, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Girard, O'ConnorNSH: Ekholm, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot
COL 2 – 5 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.19	2	3	0	26:21	—	—	24	22
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.38	0	0	0	25:47	—	—	38	55
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	1	2	-1	6	0.40	0	0	0	23:27	—	—	24	26
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.54	0	0	0	22:24	—	—	55	63
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	1	0	20:38	—	—	46	49
Mikhail Maltsev L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:32	—	—	59	42
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.20	1	0	0	15:35	—	—	52	66
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	12:32	—	—	58	47
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:20	—	—	50	47
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.07	0	4	2	31:46	—	—	30	42
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	2	2	23:24	—	—	34	34
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:55	—	—	36	30
Jordan Gross D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	4	8:19	—	—	75	75
Justin Barron D	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	1	0	16:00	—	—	45	39
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	5	1	0	14:39	—	—	68	50
Darren Helm C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	11:08	—	—	62	48

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	2.73	58:21

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	3	3	+3	1	0.23	3	1	0	25:00	—	—	64	70
Tanner Jeannot L	L1	1	1	2	+3	4	0.42	3	2	2	24:10	—	—	67	73
Filip Forsberg L	L1	2	1	3	+3	3	0.20	1	1	0	19:33	—	—	68	68
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	2	15:40	—	—	65	64
Cody Glass C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	1	0	0	14:52	—	—	59	66
Mathieu Olivier R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	14:19	—	—	65	51
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	2	2	2	16:06	—	—	35	38
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	15:06	—	—	50	44
Eeli Tolvanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	38	26
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	0	5	0.37	0	2	0	19:57	—	—	58	62
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	14:50	—	—	64	67
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	0	0	16:48	—	—	43	28
Matt Benning D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	0	1	0	15:40	—	—	52	39
Mattias Ekholm D	D3	1	0	1	+3	4	0.45	0	0	0	23:49	—	—	65	77
Alexandre Carrier D	D3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.06	1	0	2	17:19	—	—	73	76
Cole Smith R	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.18	3	0	0	10:34	—	—	50	55
Rocco Grimaldi R	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	9:06	—	—	50	65
Philippe Myers D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:01	—	—	17	6

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	2.13	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.