Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red WingsMar 2, 2020

FinalMonday, Mar 2, 2020· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	1	1	0	2		COL	14	7	6	27
DET	1	0	0	1		DET	4	6	8	18

: COL 56DET 51
: COL 2.28DET 1.84
PP goals: COL 0DET 0
Hits: COL 13DET 32
Blocks: COL 18DET 13
PIM: COL 6DET 8
: COL 43%DET 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Detroit Red Wings 2–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Detroit Red Wings 2–1 at DET. Anthony Mantha (DET) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for DET: Filppula–Gagner–Fabbri skated 6:13 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Gagner–Fabbri skated 6:13 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Gagner Fabbri
New line
New look for COL: Bellemare–Kamenev–O'Connor skated 4:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bellemare Kamenev O'Connor
New line
New look for DET: Nielsen–Abdelkader–Timashov skated 4:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nielsen Abdelkader Timashov
Usage
Dennis Cholowski (DET) played 12:12, −7:13 down on his 19:25 season average over 35 games.Cholowski
Usage
Alex Biega (DET) played 20:26, +4:06 up on his 16:20 season average over 48 games.Biega
Usage
Anthony Mantha (DET) played 22:24, +3:35 up on his 18:49 season average over 42 games.Mantha
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 24:43, +3:31 up on his 21:12 season average over 70 games.Larkin
Usage
Gustav Lindstrom (DET) played 11:37, −5:15 down on his 16:52 season average over 15 games.Lindstrom

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · DET 51 · COL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 36% of the game, DET 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	DET
	60	38
	2.42	1.18
	2.34	1.12
	10	5
	2	2
	11	6
	−0.044	+0.044
	36%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – Namestnikov – MacKinnon
10:0464% CF
L2Donskoi – Nieto – Compher
9:1447% CF
L3Nichushkin – Jost – Kaut
7:0489% CF
L4Bellemare – Kamenev – O'Connor
4:1755% CF
D1Barberio – Zadorov
13:1567% CF
D2Johnson – Cole
12:0552% CF
D3Graves – Girard
11:5187% CF

PP1Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Jost – Girard
5:13100% CF
PP2Johnson – Donskoi – Namestnikov – Nichushkin – Kaut
0:41100% CF
PK1FNieto – Compher
2:10
PK2FBellemare – Jost
1:57
PK1DJohnson – Graves
1:45
PK2DCole – Zadorov
0:45

Current COL line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
12:4757% CF
L2Filppula – Gagner – Fabbri
6:1322% CF
L3Nielsen – Abdelkader – Timashov
4:3820% CF
D1Biega – Nemeth
13:2638% CF
D2Daley – Hronek
5:2538% CF
D3Ericsson – Lindstrom
3:5130% CF

PP1Gagner – Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin – Hronek
3:39100% CF
PP2Filppula – Nielsen – Fabbri – Cholowski – Lindstrom
2:06100% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
2:38
PK2FFilppula – Nielsen
2:29
PK1DBiega – Nemeth
3:02
PK2DEricsson – Hronek
2:41

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:48
DETAnthony Mantha (Dylan Larkin, Alex Biega)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Cole, Graves, Bellemare, Kamenev, O'ConnorDET: Biega, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin
COL 0 – 1 DET
12:50
COLVladislav Namestnikov (Ryan Graves, Valeri Nichushkin)wrist0.18 xG
COL: Johnson, Namestnikov, Graves, Nichushkin, KautDET: Ericsson, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek
COL 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

14:31
COLLogan O'Connor (Gabriel Landeskog, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, O'ConnorDET: Daley, Helm, Glendening, Fabbri, Hronek
COL 2 – 1 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.26	0	0	0	22:55	—	—	67	80
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	1	0	20:55	—	—	65	80
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.28	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	59	62
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	21:43	—	—	46	63
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	2	1	0	16:40	—	—	55	72
Joonas Donskoi R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	44	43
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	2	17:32	—	—	71	73
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.27	1	0	0	14:20	—	—	79	75
Martin Kaut R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	9:51	—	—	93	95
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	2	0	10:49	—	—	55	53
Logan O'Connor R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	6:12	—	—	69	71
Vladislav Kamenev C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	5:54	—	—	40	45
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:25	—	—	62	65
Mark Barberio D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	1	1	2	14:00	—	—	64	64
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	5	0	22:56	—	—	56	69
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	0	2	0	17:53	—	—	45	64
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	21:10	—	—	70	66
Ryan Graves D	D3	0	1	1	0	3	0.09	0	1	2	20:08	—	—	76	77

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Michael Hutchinson(start)	W	18	17	1	.944	1.84	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.34	2	1	0	24:43	—	—	51	51
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.70	2	0	0	22:24	—	—	48	58
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	21:15	—	—	53	54
Robby Fabbri C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	4	0	0	17:28	—	—	41	16
Sam Gagner C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	1	0	17:20	—	—	39	32
Valtteri Filppula C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	50	31
Dmytro Timashov L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:39	—	—	33	13
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	0	12:38	—	—	46	39
Justin Abdelkader L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	2	0	7:51	—	—	13	0
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	1	0	23:09	—	—	41	50
Alex Biega D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	6	2	0	20:26	—	—	39	41
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	4	0	2	25:50	—	—	32	20
Trevor Daley D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	4	11:57	—	—	38	12
Gustav Lindstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	2	11:37	—	—	48	41
Jonathan Ericsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	1	0	9:44	—	—	32	21
Luke Glendening C	—	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	2	3	0	13:28	—	—	12	2
Darren Helm C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:47	—	—	19	3
Dennis Cholowski D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:12	—	—	44	33

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	2.28	58:07

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.