Colorado Avalanche vs. Buffalo SabresOct 29, 2023

FinalSunday, Oct 29, 2023· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	0	0	0		COL	6	11	6	23
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	11	9	9	29

: COL 63BUF 45
: COL 2.07BUF 3.08
PP goals: COL 0BUF 0
Hits: COL 28BUF 9
Blocks: COL 9BUF 21
PIM: COL 16BUF 12
: COL 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout Colorado Avalanche 4–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Colorado Avalanche 4–0 at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for BUF: Greenway–Thompson–Benson skated 8:40 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:36.Skinner
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Thompson–Benson skated 8:40 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (22.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Thompson Benson
Luck
COL scored 0 goals on 2.07 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Jost–Cozens skated 7:36 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Jost Cozens
Usage
Tage Thompson (BUF) played 22:05, +4:01 up on his 18:04 season average over 70 games.Thompson
Usage
Jonathan Drouin (COL) played 12:15, −6:01 down on his 18:16 season average over 78 games.Drouin
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 22:07, −3:21 down on his 25:28 season average over 80 games.Dahlin
Usage
Erik Johnson (BUF) played 19:42, +5:18 up on his 14:24 season average over 66 games.Johnson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · BUF 45 · COL 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 38% of the game, BUF 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	BUF
	58	37
	1.60	1.96
	1.57	1.87
	13	10
	10	2
	8	11
	+0.002	−0.002
	38%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Cogliano – Olofsson – O'Connor
6:5886% CF
L2Tatar – Wood – Colton
6:5333% CF
L3Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
4:2140% CF
L4Johansen – Drouin – Rantanen
2:3850% CF
D1Toews – Makar
10:4753% CF
D2Girard – Byram
9:2164% CF
D3Johnson – Manson
8:5660% CF

PP1Johansen – Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Makar
5:04100% CF
PP2Johansen – Lehkonen – Drouin – Toews – Rantanen
2:27100% CF
PK1FCogliano – O'Connor
1:56
PK2FNichushkin – Olofsson
1:36
PK1DManson – Girard
2:29
PK2DToews – Makar
1:25

Current COL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Mittelstadt – Peterka
8:5967% CF
L2Greenway – Thompson – Benson
8:4022% CF
L3Tuch – Jost – Cozens
7:3625% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
6:4110% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:2536% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
10:5842% CF
D3Johnson – Bryson
9:3226% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:07100% CF
PP2Okposo – Mittelstadt – Peterka – Power – Benson
2:43100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Thompson
3:14
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
2:41
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
4:56
PK2DJokiharju – Power
2:29

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Fredrik Olofsson L	L1	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	14:44	—	—	76	76
Logan O'Connor R	L1	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	13:25	—	—	84	85
Andrew Cogliano C	L1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:08	—	—	90	87
Ross Colton C	L2	-1	1	0.12	4	1	0	13:33	—	—	50	37
Miles Wood L	L2	-1	1	0.05	5	1	0	12:38	—	—	43	23
Tomas Tatar L	L2	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	10:10	—	—	45	28
Artturi Lehkonen L	L3	-2	0	0.01	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	47	31
Nathan MacKinnon C	L3	-2	4	0.34	0	0	12	18:23	—	—	63	61
Valeri Nichushkin R	L3	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	16:20	—	—	53	30
Mikko Rantanen R	L4	-3	5	0.41	1	0	2	21:57	—	—	63	56
Ryan Johansen C	L4	-1	6	0.50	2	0	0	16:46	—	—	53	40
Jonathan Drouin L	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:15	—	—	63	36
Devon Toews D	D1	-2	0	0.07	2	0	0	23:15	—	—	59	43
Cale Makar D	D1	-1	0	0.12	0	1	0	21:58	—	—	55	34
Bowen Byram D	D2	-1	1	0.21	3	2	0	19:39	—	—	63	52
Samuel Girard D	D2	-1	0	0.09	1	1	0	17:45	—	—	67	64
Josh Manson D	D3	-1	1	0.01	4	1	0	16:37	—	—	61	30
Jack Johnson D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:30	—	—	61	45

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.41	59:13

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	2	2	+2	4	0.29	0	0	2	15:36	—	—	65	93
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.36	0	1	0	15:24	—	—	62	87
JJ Peterka R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.49	0	0	0	14:39	—	—	65	87
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	0	2	0	22:05	—	—	37	29
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.64	0	1	4	18:09	—	—	31	33
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	0	1	4	13:01	—	—	26	25
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.15	0	1	0	18:26	—	—	29	34
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	23	27
Tyson Jost C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	9:37	—	—	23	27
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	13:20	—	—	25	15
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	2	0	12:03	—	—	25	30
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:23	—	—	17	29
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.51	0	3	0	22:07	—	—	41	59
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	3	2	21:41	—	—	40	52
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	0	2	0	21:03	—	—	41	54
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	1	1	0	16:37	—	—	41	61
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:42	—	—	38	58
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	13:28	—	—	33	38

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	23	23	0	.1000	2.07	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

JJ Peterka (BUF) 1st 10:32 · assists Jeff Skinner · Odd-man rush · passed in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 37.5 mph shot · 3.1 s from entry to goal.

JJ Peterka · 1st 10:32 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.5 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:52 · BUF EN

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 6.5 mph
Distance: 26 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 1:39 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 55.2 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tyson Jost · 2nd 8:16 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 66.1 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Buffalo SabresOct 29, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres rout Colorado Avalanche 4–0

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Colorado Avalanche

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

JJ Peterka · 1st 10:32 · BUF

Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:52 · BUF EN

Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 1:39 · BUF

Tyson Jost · 2nd 8:16 · BUF