Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 16, 2019

FinalWednesday, Jan 16, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	8	12	12	32
OTT	0	3	2	5		OTT	13	8	10	31

: COL 69OTT 48
: COL 2.33OTT 3.51
PP goals: COL 0OTT 0
Hits: COL 25OTT 30
Blocks: COL 7OTT 24
PIM: COL 6OTT 6
: COL 49%OTT 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2

Ottawa Senators beat Colorado Avalanche 5–2 at home. Matt Duchene (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Thomas Chabot (OTT) played 18:20, −6:03 down on his 24:23 season average over 69 games.

Points
Matt Duchene had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:55.Duchene
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:48.MacKinnon
Points
Ryan Dzingel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:34.Dzingel
Points
Mikko Rantanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:23.Rantanen
Usage
Thomas Chabot (OTT) played 18:20, −6:03 down on his 24:23 season average over 69 games.Chabot
Usage
Dylan DeMelo (OTT) played 12:26, −6:56 down on his 19:22 season average over 76 games.DeMelo
Usage
Christian Wolanin (OTT) played 11:40, −5:51 down on his 17:31 season average over 29 games.Wolanin
Usage
Tyson Barrie (COL) played 25:21, +3:37 up on his 21:44 season average over 77 games.Barrie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · OTT 48 · COL 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 33% of the game, OTT 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	OTT
	67	53
	1.83	3.16
	1.78	3.02
	6	14
	2	7
	18	25
	−0.008	+0.008
	33%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
16:3651% CF
L2Soderberg – Wilson – Compher
8:3387% CF
L3Calvert – Nieto – Kerfoot
5:1131% CF
L4Andrighetto – Jost – Dries
3:5967% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
9:2459% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
6:0854% CF
D3Barberio – Zadorov
5:2025% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
1:17
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Girard
0:35100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Calvert
2:18
PK2FNieto – Compher
0:53
PK1DJohnson – Cole
2:24
PK2DBarberio – Zadorov
0:57

Current COL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Smith – Paajarvi – Pageau
14:3851% CF
L2Stone – Tierney – Tkachuk
8:2727% CF
L3Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
7:2335% CF
D1Borowiecki – Jaros
14:0051% CF
D2Ceci – Lajoie
10:3642% CF
D3DeMelo – Chabot
9:0843% CF

PP1Ryan – Duchene – Stone – Chabot – Tkachuk
3:3675% CF
PP2Boedker – Dzingel – Tierney – Wolanin – Balcers
1:410% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
0:40
PK2FPageau – Tierney
0:36
PK1DCeci – Lajoie
1:24
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
0:36

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:06
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Chris Tierney, Ryan Dzingel)wrist0.16 xG
COL: Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Barrie, AndrighettoOTT: Dzingel, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Tkachuk
COL 0 – 1 OTT
3:13
OTTMark Stone (Cody Ceci)tip-in0.08 xG
COL: Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, KerfootOTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, Tkachuk
COL 0 – 2 OTT
9:01
OTTRyan Dzingel (Thomas Chabot, Matt Duchene)wrist0.08 xG
COL: Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, JostOTT: Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot
COL 0 – 3 OTT
18:53
COLNikita Zadorov (Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen)slap0.03 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, RantanenOTT: Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros
COL 1 – 3 OTT

3rd period

7:49
OTTMatt Duchene (Zack Smith)wrist0.21 xG
COL: Barberio, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, GirardOTT: Smith, Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Jaros
COL 1 – 4 OTT
16:01
COLNathan MacKinnon (Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen)snap0.06 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, RantanenOTT: Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Lajoie
COL 2 – 4 OTT
18:58
OTTMatt DucheneENbackhand0.62 xG
COL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, RantanenOTT: Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Pageau, Ceci
COL 2 – 5 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	-1	3	0.32	0	2	0	23:48	—	—	50	29
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.46	5	1	0	23:28	—	—	45	17
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	2	2	0	1	0.12	4	1	0	23:23	—	—	50	34
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	4	0	0	17:53	—	—	65	31
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	0	0	0	17:44	—	—	69	31
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	0	0	10:22	—	—	82	71
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	1	0	13:52	—	—	42	43
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	13:44	—	—	57	67
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.22	0	0	0	12:46	—	—	50	52
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:30	—	—	67	37
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	8:27	—	—	69	33
Sheldon Dries C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	7:56	—	—	67	51
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.11	1	0	0	21:59	—	—	61	30
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	0	0	16:51	—	—	53	18
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	-2	4	0.06	1	0	0	25:21	—	—	66	40
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	0	0	2	16:00	—	—	68	52
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	2	0	0	19:59	—	—	46	55
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	2	2	14:36	—	—	33	43

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	2.89	56:21

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	3	3	0	21:33	—	—	47	55
Zack Smith C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	3	0	2	18:47	—	—	55	74
Magnus Paajarvi L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	49	65
Mark Stone R	L2	1	0	1	+3	4	0.49	1	2	0	19:45	—	—	39	75
Chris Tierney C	L2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:13	—	—	37	48
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.16	3	0	0	15:20	—	—	35	62
Matt Duchene C	L3	2	1	3	+3	2	0.83	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	42	58
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.11	2	0	0	14:34	—	—	55	61
Bobby Ryan R	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.38	0	2	0	13:20	—	—	40	60
Mark Borowiecki D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	5	0	17:16	—	—	53	74
Christian Jaros D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	3	3	4	16:16	—	—	51	72
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	5	5	0	23:23	—	—	40	62
Maxime Lajoie D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	40	70
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	1	1	+2	5	0.18	1	1	0	18:20	—	—	37	40
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:26	—	—	44	64
Mikkel Boedker L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	12:52	—	—	35	65
Christian Wolanin D	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	36	54
Rudolfs Balcers L	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.66	1	2	0	11:24	—	—	25	65

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	2.33	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.