Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 16, 2023

FinalThursday, Mar 16, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Colorado AvalancheCOL

5

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	2	3	0	5		COL	10	14	6	30
OTT	1	1	2	4		OTT	12	10	14	36

: COL 58OTT 66
: COL 3.89OTT 3.88
PP goals: COL 1OTT 2
Hits: COL 15OTT 28
Blocks: COL 18OTT 15
PIM: COL 14OTT 8
: COL 46%OTT 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Ottawa Senators 5–4

Colorado Avalanche beat Ottawa Senators 5–4 at OTT. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. COL's first power-play unit (Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:45 together.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:50.Rantanen
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 3 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 21:30.MacKinnon
Points
Tim Stützle had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 22:46.Stützle
Points
Brady Tkachuk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:09.Tkachuk
Points
Cale Makar had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 27:03.Makar
Points
Jake Sanderson had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:17.Sanderson
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:45 together.Compher MacKinnon Nichushkin Rantanen Makar
New line
New look for OTT: Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig skated 8:58 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (68.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Giroux DeBrincat Greig

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · OTT 66 · COL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 46% of the game, OTT 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	OTT
	58	52
	3.79	2.14
	3.52	2.06
	11	7
	5	6
	24	8
	−0.032	+0.032
	46%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues
11:4362% CF
L2Compher – Nichushkin – Malgin
10:3618% CF
L3Cogliano – Eller – O'Connor
10:0456% CF
L4Nieto – Galchenyuk – Newhook
3:5564% CF
D1Toews – Makar
14:4439% CF
D2Girard – Byram
12:0664% CF
D3Johnson – Hunt
5:5070% CF

PP1Compher – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Rantanen – Makar
3:45100% CF
PP2Toews – Rodrigues – Girard – Byram – Newhook
0:540% CF
PK1FCompher – Nichushkin
1:23
PK2FCogliano – O'Connor
1:06
PK1DToews – Makar
3:09
PK2DGirard – Byram
1:19

Current COL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
12:5847% CF
L2Giroux – DeBrincat – Greig
8:5869% CF
L3Brassard – Gauthier – Pinto
5:2627% CF
L4Watson – Brown – Gambrell
4:4857% CF
D1Chabot – Brannstrom
13:0235% CF
D2Sanderson – Zub
12:3045% CF
D3Hamonic – Chychrun
10:2957% CF

PP1Giroux – Brassard – Chabot – Chychrun – Pinto
2:50100% CF
PP2DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
2:43100% CF
PK1FWatson – Gambrell
2:48
PK2FBrown – Stützle
0:53
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
2:34
PK2DChychrun – Brannstrom
0:57

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:35
COLCale Makar (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.03 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, MakarOTT: Hamonic, Watson, Brown, Chychrun, Gambrell
COL 1 – 0 OTT
5:00
COLValeri NichushkinPP (Cale Makar, Mikko Rantanen)tip-in0.13 xG
COL: Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, MakarOTT: Giroux, Watson, Chychrun, Brannstrom
COL 2 – 0 OTT
19:33
OTTDrake BathersonPP (Tim Stützle, Jake Sanderson)tip-in0.15 xG
COL: Cogliano, Toews, Makar, O'ConnorOTT: DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle
COL 2 – 1 OTT

2nd period

4:23
COLMikko Rantanen (Nathan MacKinnon, Bowen Byram)tip-in0.09 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, ByramOTT: Chabot, DeBrincat, Chychrun, Batherson, Greig
COL 3 – 1 OTT
8:20
OTTShane Pinto (Julien Gauthier, Erik Brannstrom)wrist0.11 xG
COL: Nieto, Galchenyuk, Girard, Byram, NewhookOTT: Brassard, Chabot, Gauthier, Brannstrom, Pinto
COL 3 – 2 OTT
15:17
COLEvan Rodrigues (Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.12 xG
COL: MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, MakarOTT: Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub
COL 4 – 2 OTT
18:09
COLLars Ellerbackhand0.29 xG
COL: Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'ConnorOTT: Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub
COL 5 – 2 OTT

3rd period

2:52
OTTTravis Hamonic (Tim Stützle, Brady Tkachuk)wrist0.39 xG
COL: Nieto, Galchenyuk, Girard, Byram, NewhookOTT: Hamonic, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle
COL 5 – 3 OTT
13:18
OTTBrady TkachukPP (Tim Stützle, Jake Sanderson)tip-in0.09 xG
COL: Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, MakarOTT: DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle
COL 5 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	3	3	+3	6	0.41	1	2	4	21:30	—	—	60	73
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	2	3	+3	4	0.59	1	1	2	20:50	—	—	56	73
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	1	0	1	+3	4	0.43	2	3	0	15:22	—	—	56	80
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	22:58	—	—	35	59
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.40	1	1	0	20:49	—	—	32	52
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:41	—	—	25	58
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.27	1	2	0	15:39	—	—	55	68
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.21	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	58	72
Lars Eller C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.39	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	54	70
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.24	1	0	0	6:58	—	—	64	47
Alex Newhook C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	0	2	5:41	—	—	60	46
Alex Galchenyuk C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:08	—	—	64	47
Cale Makar D	D1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.03	1	1	0	27:03	—	—	40	60
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	2	3	2	23:54	—	—	42	66
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.57	2	0	2	21:20	—	—	55	52
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	2	0	21:16	—	—	67	68
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	1	1	2	14:45	—	—	59	73
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	8:50	—	—	64	58

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	W	36	32	4	.889	3.88	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	3	3	-1	3	0.59	2	0	0	22:46	—	—	44	31
Drake Batherson R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.25	3	0	0	21:13	—	—	40	30
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	1	1	2	-1	5	0.51	2	0	2	19:09	—	—	47	33
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.46	1	0	0	21:01	—	—	61	39
Claude Giroux R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	5	0	2	17:59	—	—	65	51
Ridly Greig C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	0	0	2	11:49	—	—	67	48
Shane Pinto C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.53	0	3	0	15:17	—	—	32	33
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	2	0	0	10:41	—	—	24	33
Julien Gauthier R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:19	—	—	33	39
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	9:39	—	—	55	39
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:22	—	—	56	54
Patrick Brown C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	2	0	8:13	—	—	46	32
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	4	0	22:11	—	—	39	26
Erik Brannstrom D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:39	—	—	42	50
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	2	2	-2	4	0.28	0	4	0	24:17	—	—	46	25
Artem Zub D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	4	0	0	18:09	—	—	44	23
Jakob Chychrun D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.31	1	0	0	19:50	—	—	55	41
Travis Hamonic D	D3	1	0	1	0	3	0.43	1	0	2	16:07	—	—	59	62

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mads Sogaard(start)	L	30	25	5	.833	3.70	58:44

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.