Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 20, 2025

FinalThursday, Mar 20, 2025· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
COL	4	1	0	5		COL	14	12	7	33
OTT	0	0	1	1		OTT	8	4	4	16

: COL 67OTT 53
: COL 2.50OTT 1.63
PP goals: COL 2OTT 1
Hits: COL 17OTT 35
Blocks: COL 20OTT 19
PIM: COL 6OTT 10
: COL 56%OTT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Ottawa Senators 5–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Ottawa Senators 5–1 at OTT. Brock Nelson (COL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:01 together.

Points
Brock Nelson had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:35.Nelson
Points
Cale Makar had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:08.Makar
Points
Jonathan Drouin had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:37.Drouin
Points
Ross Colton had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 12:59.Colton
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 4:01 together.MacKinnon Drouin Nichushkin Necas Makar
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson and Stützle) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:41 together.Batherson Tkachuk Cozens Sanderson Stützle
New line
New look for OTT: Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle skated 5:56 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Zetterlund Tkachuk Stützle
Usage
Artturi Lehkonen (COL) played 14:39, −5:49 down on his 20:28 season average over 68 games.Lehkonen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← COL attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
COL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · OTT 53 · COL 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
COL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
COL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: COL 48% of the game, OTT 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

COL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	COL	OTT
	68	49
	2.24	1.56
	2.15	1.52
	11	10
	8	5
	18	17
	+0.042	−0.042
	48%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Colorado Avalanche

L1Kelly – Drury – O'Connor
11:3558% CF
L2MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin
10:3169% CF
L3Nelson – Lehkonen – Necas
9:1557% CF
L4Coyle – Colton – Kiviranta
7:4450% CF
D1Toews – Makar
13:3954% CF
D2Lindgren – Malinski
12:3848% CF
D3Johnson – Middleton
12:0468% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin – Necas – Makar
4:0175% CF
PP2Coyle – Nelson – Lehkonen – Toews – Colton
2:04100% CF
PK1FCoyle – Kiviranta
1:15
PK2FDrury – O'Connor
0:48
PK1DJohnson – Lindgren
1:29
PK2DMiddleton – Malinski
1:14

Current COL line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Perron – Batherson – Cozens
7:1545% CF
L2Zetterlund – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:5667% CF
L3Amadio – Pinto – Greig
5:1627% CF
L4Giroux – Highmore – Gaudette
0:00
D1Sanderson – Zub
14:5442% CF
D2Kleven – Matinpalo
10:5560% CF
D3Hamonic – Chabot
10:3725% CF

PP1Batherson – Tkachuk – Cozens – Sanderson – Stützle
1:41100% CF
PP2Giroux – Perron – Chabot – Zetterlund – Greig
0:48100% CF
PK1FGiroux – Highmore
2:51
PK2FPinto – Greig
1:32
PK1DSanderson – Zub
3:52
PK2DHamonic – Chabot
2:02

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Drury C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	1	2	15:35	—	—	64	67
Logan O'Connor R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	3	0	0	15:21	—	—	58	56
Parker Kelly C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	3	3	0	14:13	—	—	61	71
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	0	1	0	17:33	—	—	70	57
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	1	0	0	17:21	—	—	55	46
Jonathan Drouin L	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	16:37	—	—	71	65
Martin Necas C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.06	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	62	60
Artturi Lehkonen L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	1	2	0	14:39	—	—	51	49
Brock Nelson C	L3	2	0	2	+1	3	0.38	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	50	50
Charlie Coyle C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	1	1	0	13:38	—	—	47	58
Ross Colton C	L4	0	2	2	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	12:59	—	—	56	71
Joel Kiviranta L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.22	1	0	0	11:33	—	—	47	44
Cale Makar D	D1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.26	0	3	0	21:08	—	—	58	60
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	0	19:51	—	—	54	62
Ryan Lindgren D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	19:04	—	—	55	79
Sam Malinski D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	2	2	18:15	—	—	46	58
Keaton Middleton D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	2	17:49	—	—	61	44
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	0	17:47	—	—	74	63

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Wedgewood(start)	W	16	15	1	.938	1.63	59:51

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.20	2	0	2	15:26	—	—	35	35
Drake Batherson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.43	2	0	0	14:47	—	—	39	54
David Perron L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.25	6	0	4	12:59	—	—	50	54
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.06	3	0	0	19:00	—	—	53	51
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	4	0	0	17:24	—	—	60	52
Fabian Zetterlund L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	16:03	—	—	42	38
Ridly Greig C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	2	2	16:31	—	—	29	28
Shane Pinto C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	2	15:17	—	—	39	27
Michael Amadio R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:33	—	—	23	28
Matthew Highmore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	12:12	—	—	53	34
Claude Giroux R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:09	—	—	33	30
Adam Gaudette R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	10:01	—	—	43	25
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	4	3	0	27:21	—	—	40	47
Jake Sanderson D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	23:41	—	—	43	50
Tyler Kleven D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	15:26	—	—	52	41
Nikolas Matinpalo D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	14:34	—	—	59	49
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	5	0	21:15	—	—	38	39
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:11	—	—	25	24

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg	—	20	19	1	.950	1.59	42:31
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	13	9	4	.692	0.92	17:29

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nathan MacKinnon (COL) 1st 10:29 · assists Jonathan Drouin, Cale Makar · Rush · carried in · 57.1 mph shot · 2.6 s from entry to goal.

Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:29 · COL

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 57.1 mph
Distance: 32 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brock Nelson · 1st 11:28 · COL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 55.0 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Cale Makar · 1st 14:23 · COL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 4
Shot: 63.3 mph
Distance: 45 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Joel Kiviranta · 1st 17:29 · COL

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 53.6 mph
Distance: 15 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brock Nelson · 2nd 1:54 · COL PP

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 5-on-4
Passes: 0
Shot: 39.3 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 7.4 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 3rd 15:59 · OTT PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 3.6 mph
Distance: 2 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 20, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche rout Ottawa Senators 5–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Colorado Avalanche

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Ottawa Senators

Goal anatomy

Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:29 · COL

Brock Nelson · 1st 11:28 · COL

Cale Makar · 1st 14:23 · COL PP

Joel Kiviranta · 1st 17:29 · COL

Brock Nelson · 2nd 1:54 · COL PP

Dylan Cozens · 3rd 15:59 · OTT PP