Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay LightningNov 5, 2026

Time TBDThursday, Nov 5, 2026

away

Chicago BlackhawksCHI

at

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TBL +11.5 pts

CHIaway−11.5 pts

Back-to-back · 289 km travel

B2B vs rested TBL −9.3 pts
Backup likely (52%) −2.2 pts

TBLhome+11.5 pts

1 day rest

CHI on a B2B +9.3 pts
CHI backup likely (52%) +2.2 pts

TBL has the schedule edge (+11.5 pts net win probability): chi on a b2b, chi backup likely (52%), b2b vs rested tbl, backup likely (52%).

· Every game this week →

Chicago Blackhawks

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Arvid Soderblom52%
Spencer Knight48%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 0–6 at UTA · Oct 1

L1Greenway – Smith – Greene
10:23
L2Kane – Bertuzzi – Frondell
7:42
L3Teravainen – Nazar – Kantserov
4:35
L4Donato – Lardis – Moore
4:07
D1Kaiser – Levshunov
11:17
D2Byram – Vlasic
10:31
D3Cole – Rinzel
10:13
PP1Kane – Bertuzzi – Byram – Kantserov – Frondell
3:51

Projected CHI lines →·CHI goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy80%
Dennis Hildeby20%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Nov 5.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.