St. Louis Blues vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 29, 2025

FinalSaturday, Mar 29, 2025· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
STL	1	0	1	2		STL	11	3	13	27
COL	1	0	0	1		COL	11	7	11	29

: STL 49COL 78
: STL 3.38COL 2.87
PP goals: STL 1COL 0
Hits: STL 30COL 25
Blocks: STL 22COL 9
PIM: STL 2COL 8
: STL 37%COL 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Colorado Avalanche 2–1

St. Louis Blues beat Colorado Avalanche 2–1 at COL. Robert Thomas (STL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. STL's first power-play unit (Fowler, Sundqvist, Buchnevich, Thomas and Bolduc) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:15 together.

Points
Robert Thomas had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:49.Thomas
PP1
STL's first power-play unit (Fowler, Sundqvist, Buchnevich, Thomas and Bolduc) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:15 together.Fowler Sundqvist Buchnevich Thomas Bolduc
New line
New look for COL: Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Drouin skated 15:24 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (81.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lehkonen MacKinnon Drouin
New line
New look for COL: Nelson–Nichushkin–Necas skated 11:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nelson Nichushkin Necas
Luck
COL scored 1 goal on 2.87 expected goals (78 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Ryan Suter (STL) played 15:06, −4:26 down on his 19:32 season average over 81 games.Suter
Usage
Charlie Coyle (COL) played 12:00, −5:03 down on his 17:03 season average over 82 games.Coyle
Usage
Ross Colton (COL) played 9:39, −4:51 down on his 14:30 season average over 60 games.Colton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · COL 78 · STL 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 26% of the game, COL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	COL
	47	71
	2.60	2.39
	2.41	2.31
	7	13
	8	4
	24	25
	−0.059	+0.059
	26%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Schenn – Kyrou – Holloway
11:5440% CF
L2Buchnevich – Thomas – Neighbours
11:3852% CF
L3Faksa – Walker – Toropchenko
7:1221% CF
L4Sundqvist – Joseph – Bolduc
5:4210% CF
D1Faulk – Broberg
17:4330% CF
D2Leddy – Fowler
12:5652% CF
D3Suter – Tucker
9:2630% CF

PP1Fowler – Sundqvist – Buchnevich – Thomas – Bolduc
3:1589% CF
PP2Schenn – Faulk – Kyrou – Holloway – Neighbours
2:250% CF
PK1FFaksa – Toropchenko
0:48
PK2FSundqvist – Joseph
0:42
PK1DFaulk – Broberg
0:48
PK2DSuter – Fowler
0:23

Current STL line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Drouin
15:2482% CF
L2Nelson – Nichushkin – Necas
11:3860% CF
L3Coyle – Wood – Colton
6:3063% CF
L4Kelly – Drury – O'Connor
6:0129% CF
D1Toews – Makar
14:2069% CF
D2Lindgren – Malinski
8:2545% CF
D3Middleton – Girard
5:5838% CF

PP1MacKinnon – Drouin – Nichushkin – Necas – Makar
1:32100% CF
PP2Coyle – Nelson – Lehkonen – Toews – Colton
0:25100% CF
PK1FKelly – O'Connor
2:00
PK2FNichushkin – Drury
1:33
PK1DToews – Makar
4:34
PK2DLindgren – Girard
1:53

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:57
STLZachary BolducPP (Robert Thomas, Oskar Sundqvist)snap0.13 xG
STL: Fowler, Sundqvist, Buchnevich, Thomas, BolducCOL: Toews, Makar, Kelly, O'Connor
STL 1 – 0 COL
12:09
COLNathan MacKinnon (Devon Toews)snap0.28 xG
STL: Faulk, Faksa, Walker, Toropchenko, BrobergCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Makar
STL 1 – 1 COL

3rd period

8:54
STLPavel Buchnevich (Ryan Suter, Robert Thomas)snap0.49 xG
STL: Suter, Buchnevich, Thomas, Tucker, BolducCOL: MacKinnon, Drouin, Lindgren, Necas, Malinski
STL 2 – 1 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Schenn C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.48	3	3	2	19:26	—	—	33	44
Dylan Holloway L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	19:24	—	—	37	43
Jordan Kyrou R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	3	1	0	15:52	—	—	43	54
Robert Thomas C	L2	0	2	2	+1	3	0.26	0	1	0	20:49	—	—	62	76
Pavel Buchnevich L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.78	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	63	84
Jake Neighbours L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.29	2	0	0	18:56	—	—	56	78
Radek Faksa C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	12:13	—	—	18	4
Alexey Toropchenko R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	5	0	0	11:29	—	—	24	5
Nathan Walker L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	10:39	—	—	15	3
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.23	1	2	0	13:33	—	—	20	22
Zachary Bolduc R	L4	1	0	1	+1	5	0.72	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	36	77
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	7:52	—	—	18	6
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	3	0	24:39	—	—	30	34
Philip Broberg D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	24:35	—	—	34	33
Cam Fowler D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	4	0	20:20	—	—	50	69
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	52	68
Ryan Suter D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:06	—	—	39	67
Tyler Tucker D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:12	—	—	36	65

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jordan Binnington(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.87	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.71	1	0	2	22:03	—	—	73	56
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	21:25	—	—	76	74
Jonathan Drouin L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.40	0	1	0	21:19	—	—	74	58
Valeri Nichushkin R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.31	2	0	0	20:21	—	—	57	54
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:01	—	—	53	40
Brock Nelson C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	57	54
Charlie Coyle C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	1	0	12:00	—	—	50	24
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.30	2	0	2	9:39	—	—	60	34
Miles Wood L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	7:45	—	—	56	24
Logan O'Connor R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	33	37
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	9:28	—	—	33	37
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	2	0	0	9:26	—	—	20	23
Cale Makar D	D1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.55	3	1	0	26:16	—	—	74	76
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	3	1	0	25:34	—	—	68	75
Sam Malinski D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	2	17:00	—	—	47	25
Ryan Lindgren D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:04	—	—	50	31
Samuel Girard D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	1	0	19:51	—	—	64	69
Keaton Middleton D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	2	0	11:16	—	—	43	21

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mackenzie Blackwood(start)	L	27	25	2	.926	3.17	58:13

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Zachary Bolduc (STL PP) 1st 10:57 · assists Robert Thomas, Oskar Sundqvist · Forecheck turnover · 61.0 mph shot.

Zachary Bolduc · 1st 10:57 · STL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 61.0 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 12:09 · COL

Play: rebound
Entry: dump
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 35.6 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 7.5 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 8:54 · STL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 6.9 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.