St. Louis Blues vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 16, 2018

Final / OTTuesday, Jan 16, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
STL	0	0	1	1	2		STL	14	12	14	2	42
TOR	0	0	1	0	1		TOR	7	12	10	2	31

: STL 67TOR 60
: STL 4.58TOR 2.86
PP goals: STL 0TOR 0
Hits: STL 32TOR 25
Blocks: STL 22TOR 14
PIM: STL 7TOR 9
: STL 40%TOR 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

St. Louis Blues edge Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 (OT)

St. Louis Blues beat Toronto Maple Leafs 2–1 in overtime at TOR. Paul Stastny (STL) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 42 shots and stopped 40 (.952), +9 against a season average of 33.5; the overtime loss.

Points
Paul Stastny had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:55.Stastny
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 42 shots and stopped 40 (.952), +9 against a season average of 33.5; the overtime loss.Andersen
New line
New look for STL: Steen–Schenn–Jaskin skated 10:21 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (65.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Steen Schenn Jaskin
Luck
STL scored 2 goals on 4.58 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 9:40, −5:25 down on his 15:05 season average over 81 games.Brown
New line
New look for STL: Sobotka–Berglund–Thompson skated 9:47 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (31.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Berglund Thompson
New line
New look for STL: Thorburn–Brodziak–Paajarvi skated 5:21 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (45.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thorburn Brodziak Paajarvi
Usage
Connor Carrick (TOR) played 22:06, +7:07 up on his 14:59 season average over 46 games.Carrick

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← STL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
STL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · TOR 60 · STL 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
STL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
STL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: STL 29% of the game, TOR 16%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

STL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	STL	TOR
	68	64
	4.71	2.75
	4.38	2.69
	12	8
	5	8
	25	28
	−0.140	+0.140
	29%	16%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

St. Louis Blues

L1Stastny – Tarasenko – Barbashev
12:5568% CF
L2Steen – Schenn – Jaskin
10:2165% CF
L3Sobotka – Berglund – Thompson
9:4732% CF
L4Thorburn – Brodziak – Paajarvi
5:2145% CF
D1Pietrangelo – Edmundson
17:0243% CF
D2Gunnarsson – Parayko
11:4832% CF
D3Bortuzzo – Dunn
9:3165% CF

PP1Steen – Stastny – Pietrangelo – Schenn – Tarasenko
2:160% CF
PP2Sobotka – Berglund – Edmundson – Parayko – Thompson
1:44100% CF
PK1FSteen – Sobotka
0:37
PK2FSchenn – Tarasenko
0:29
PK1DPietrangelo – Edmundson
0:37
PK2DBortuzzo – Parayko
0:31

Current STL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
14:2859% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
14:2134% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
12:0350% CF
L4Martin – Brown – Gauthier
5:0745% CF
D1Gardiner – Carrick
21:2349% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
17:4551% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
9:2241% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:47100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
0:39100% CF
PK1FMarleau – Komarov
1:27
PK2FBrown – Gauthier
1:00
PK1DHainsey – Polak
3:52

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

10:10
TORConnor BrownSHsnap0.12 xG
STL: Steen, Stastny, Pietrangelo, Schenn, TarasenkoTOR: Hainsey, Polak, Brown, Gauthier
STL 0 – 1 TOR
19:03
STLAlexander Steen (Alex Pietrangelo, Paul Stastny)backhand0.16 xG
STL: Steen, Stastny, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Tarasenko, DunnTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
STL 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

1:43
STLVince Dunn (Paul Stastny)snap0.16 xG
STL: Stastny, Tarasenko, DunnTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Marner
STL 2 – 1 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.29	2	0	0	20:03	—	—	66	57
Paul Stastny C	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.33	1	0	0	19:55	—	—	69	80
Ivan Barbashev L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.89	1	0	0	16:05	—	—	67	78
Brayden Schenn C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.34	8	1	0	19:55	—	—	59	78
Alexander Steen L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.46	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	66	93
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.32	2	1	0	16:00	—	—	55	75
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	3	0	0	15:56	—	—	30	31
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	14:30	—	—	32	43
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	3	1	0	14:27	—	—	30	31
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	2	2	11:24	—	—	46	50
Magnus Paajarvi L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	48	63
Chris Thorburn R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	1	5	6:18	—	—	43	49
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	2	0	25:47	—	—	46	57
Alex Pietrangelo D	D1	0	1	1	0	6	0.40	1	4	0	25:34	—	—	55	70
Colton Parayko D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	5	0	24:26	—	—	46	54
Carl Gunnarsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	13:51	—	—	42	61
Vince Dunn D	D3	1	0	1	+2	7	0.60	0	1	0	15:05	—	—	63	67
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	3	0	14:44	—	—	63	76

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.86	61:09

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	4	0.23	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	56	36
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	0.12	1	0	2	19:07	—	—	60	54
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	4	0.45	0	1	0	18:34	—	—	59	38
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	0	-1	1	0.11	3	1	0	19:44	—	—	39	21
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	36	22
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	0	0	17:52	—	—	36	22
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.62	1	0	0	14:53	—	—	53	54
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	50	54
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	4	0.36	2	0	0	14:18	—	—	48	46
Connor Brown R	L4	1	1	+1	2	0.12	0	1	0	9:40	—	—	40	22
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	+1	1	0.03	6	0	0	7:32	—	—	42	23
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	5	6:04	—	—	50	24
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	1	0	24:26	—	—	52	40
Connor Carrick D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	2	2	22:06	—	—	49	39
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	24:04	—	—	53	34
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	5	0	23:06	—	—	49	33
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:33	—	—	45	46
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	11:00	—	—	32	31

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	O	42	40	2	.952	4.58	61:43

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.