Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo SabresApr 20, 2021

FinalTuesday, Apr 20, 2021· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BOS	1	1	0	2		BOS	9	18	14	41
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	9	6	17	32

: BOS 66BUF 54
: BOS 2.85BUF 3.38
PP goals: BOS 0BUF 0
Hits: BOS 15BUF 9
Blocks: BOS 11BUF 15
PIM: BOS 12BUF 6
: BOS 61%BUF 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Boston Bruins beat Buffalo Sabres 2–0

Boston Bruins beat Buffalo Sabres 2–0 at BUF. Brad Marchand (BOS) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF scored 0 goals on 3.38 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 3.38 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 39 (.951), +7 against a season average of 34.4; the loss.Tokarski
New line
New look for BUF: Sheahan–Rieder–Caggiula skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (14.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheahan Rieder Caggiula
Usage
David Pastrnak (BOS) played 14:29, −4:13 down on his 18:42 season average over 47 games.Pastrnak
Usage
Connor Clifton (BOS) played 21:09, +3:00 up on his 18:09 season average over 43 games.Clifton
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 20:41, +4:55 up on his 15:46 season average over 40 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
Jakub Zboril (BOS) played 12:19, −4:52 down on his 17:11 season average over 41 games.Zboril
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 14:26, −3:55 down on his 18:21 season average over 11 games.Samuelsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BOS attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
BOS
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · BUF 54 · BOS 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
BOS
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
BOS pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BOS 29% of the game, BUF 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

BOS

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BOS	BUF
	67	49
	2.75	2.47
	2.55	2.25
	20	12
	4	6
	12	14
	+0.111	−0.111
	29%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Boston Bruins

L1Krejci – Smith – Hall
11:3776% CF
L2Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak
10:2064% CF
L3Wagner – Kuraly – Lazar
9:4659% CF
L4Coyle – Ritchie – DeBrusk
8:0321% CF
D1Reilly – Clifton
14:2852% CF
D2Grzelcyk – McAvoy
14:0154% CF
D3Zboril – Lauzon
8:2250% CF

PP1Bergeron – Marchand – Grzelcyk – Ritchie – Pastrnak
2:18100% CF
PP2Krejci – Smith – Hall – DeBrusk – McAvoy
0:48100% CF
PK1FBergeron – Marchand
2:05
PK2FKuraly – Lazar
1:48
PK1DLauzon – McAvoy
3:12
PK2DReilly – Clifton
1:34

Current BOS line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Asplund – Thompson – Mittelstadt
10:3142% CF
L2Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson
9:2533% CF
L3Bjork – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
7:4650% CF
L4Sheahan – Rieder – Caggiula
6:2914% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
14:3848% CF
D2Miller – Bryson
13:2348% CF
D3Ristolainen – Samuelsson
12:0614% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
3:4486% CF
PP2Skinner – Miller – Thompson – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
1:34100% CF
PK1FSheahan – Rieder
2:23
PK2FBjork – Asplund
0:43
PK1DRistolainen – Bryson
1:09
PK2DMiller – Samuelsson
1:06

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

8:06
BOSBrad Marchand (David Pastrnak, Mike Reilly)backhand0.14 xG
BOS: Bergeron, Marchand, Reilly, Clifton, PastrnakBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
BOS 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

3:03
BOSConnor Clifton (Sean Kuraly, Curtis Lazar)slap0.04 xG
BOS: Wagner, Kuraly, Clifton, Lazar, ZborilBUF: Ristolainen, Bjork, Samuelsson, Cozens, Ruotsalainen
BOS 2 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Krejci C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	78	74
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.36	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	79	76
Craig Smith C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	2	14:00	—	—	71	53
Brad Marchand L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.39	0	0	2	16:48	—	—	56	60
Patrice Bergeron C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	64	80
David Pastrnak R	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.47	2	0	0	14:29	—	—	64	80
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	1	1	0	13:52	—	—	54	55
Sean Kuraly C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	1	0	0	13:22	—	—	52	41
Chris Wagner R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	3	0	0	11:56	—	—	50	53
Charlie Coyle C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	13:58	—	—	33	19
Jake DeBrusk L	L4	0	0	0	0	7	0.55	1	0	2	13:15	—	—	43	37
Nick Ritchie L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	1	2	11:39	—	—	37	48
Connor Clifton D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.05	3	1	0	21:09	—	—	53	52
Mike Reilly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	1	0	21:06	—	—	53	51
Charlie McAvoy D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	0	1	2	25:01	—	—	65	58
Matt Grzelcyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	21:06	—	—	54	52
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	2	16:39	—	—	52	27
Jakub Zboril D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:19	—	—	67	73

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tuukka Rask(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	3.38	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	1	0.19	0	0	0	20:41	—	—	39	31
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	48	46
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	0	0	0.14	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	36	29
Sam Reinhart C	L2	-1	1	0.79	0	1	2	18:14	—	—	29	25
Victor Olofsson L	L2	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	29	18
Jeff Skinner L	L2	-1	3	0.17	0	0	0	14:24	—	—	46	62
Dylan Cozens C	L3	-1	7	0.70	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	64	78
Anders Bjork L	L3	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	48	53
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L3	-1	3	0.29	1	0	0	12:35	—	—	56	73
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	13:37	—	—	28	53
Drake Caggiula L	L4	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	10:42	—	—	25	39
Tobias Rieder L	L4	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:14	—	—	33	7
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	2	0.08	2	1	0	23:31	—	—	58	63
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	-1	1	0.03	0	0	0	20:36	—	—	46	49
Colin Miller D	D2	0	6	0.28	3	2	0	20:50	—	—	55	63
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:44	—	—	52	37
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	-1	2	0.40	2	6	2	23:03	—	—	11	19
Mattias Samuelsson D	D3	-1	1	0.03	1	2	0	14:26	—	—	21	24

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	41	39	2	.951	2.85	57:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.