Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo SabresOct 9, 2019

Final / OTWednesday, Oct 9, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Montreal CanadiensMTL

4

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
MTL	2	0	2	0	4		MTL	10	9	8	0	27
BUF	1	2	1	1	5		BUF	12	15	11	1	39

: MTL 51BUF 61
: MTL 3.30BUF 3.01
PP goals: MTL 1BUF 2
Hits: MTL 16BUF 18
Blocks: MTL 11BUF 13
PIM: MTL 10BUF 6
: MTL 53%BUF 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Montreal Canadiens 5–4 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Montreal Canadiens 5–4 in overtime at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 3:57 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 8 shots in 21:19.Eichel
Points
Joel Armia had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:30.Armia
Points
Marcus Johansson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:32.Johansson
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:54.Dahlin
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 2 power-play goals on 13 attempts in 3:57 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
PP1
MTL's first power-play unit (Petry, Tatar, Armia, Domi and Suzuki) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:07 together.Petry Tatar Armia Domi Suzuki
Goalie
Keith Kinkaid (MTL) faced 39 shots and stopped 34 (.872), +7 against a season average of 32.0; the overtime loss.Kinkaid
Luck
BUF scored 5 goals on 3.01 expected goals (61 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MTL attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
MTL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · BUF 61 · MTL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
MTL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
MTL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MTL 38% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

MTL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MTL	BUF
	44	48
	2.39	1.82
	2.32	1.75
	6	8
	1	5
	10	18
	+0.016	−0.016
	38%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Montreal Canadiens

L1Armia – Drouin – Kotkaniemi
9:1445% CF
L2Tatar – Gallagher – Danault
7:1762% CF
L3Thompson – Byron – Suzuki
5:0857% CF
L4Weal – Lehkonen – Domi
3:5350% CF
D1Petry – Chiarot
15:1560% CF
D2Weber – Mete
13:5937% CF
D3Reilly – Folin
11:5435% CF

PP1Petry – Tatar – Armia – Domi – Suzuki
2:07100% CF
PP2Weber – Weal – Gallagher – Danault – Drouin
2:03100% CF
PK1FDanault – Lehkonen
3:29
PK2FThompson – Armia
1:48
PK1DWeber – Chiarot
3:59
PK2DPetry – Mete
0:21

Current MTL line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
11:5357% CF
L2Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
11:1846% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
9:1665% CF
L4Vesey – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
5:4029% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
16:5544% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
14:1069% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
13:0029% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
3:5793% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
2:2367% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:44
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
1:20
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:41
PK2DScandella – Jokiharju
2:04

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:04
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.10 xG
MTL: Weber, Thompson, Byron, ChiarotBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
MTL 0 – 1 BUF
14:06
MTLJoel ArmiaSH (Nate Thompson)wrist0.43 xG
MTL: Weber, Thompson, Chiarot, ArmiaBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
MTL 1 – 1 BUF
19:39
MTLJoel ArmiaPP (Nick Suzuki)wrist0.20 xG
MTL: Petry, Tatar, Armia, Domi, SuzukiBUF: Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel
MTL 2 – 1 BUF

2nd period

4:46
BUFJack EichelPP (Rasmus Dahlin, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.07 xG
MTL: Weber, Chiarot, Danault, LehkonenBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
MTL 2 – 2 BUF
14:13
BUFJack Eichelwrist0.07 xG
MTL: Petry, Tatar, Chiarot, Gallagher, DanaultBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
MTL 2 – 3 BUF

3rd period

0:47
BUFJeff Skinner (Marcus Johansson)backhand0.17 xG
MTL: Weber, Weal, Lehkonen, Domi, MeteBUF: Sobotka, Scandella, Johansson, Skinner, Jokiharju
MTL 2 – 4 BUF
1:44
MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi (Joel Armia, Jonathan Drouin)snap0.16 xG
MTL: Reilly, Armia, Drouin, Folin, KotkaniemiBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Miller, Girgensons, Dahlin
MTL 3 – 4 BUF
12:54
MTLBen Chiarot (Artturi Lehkonen, Mike Reilly)wrist0.06 xG
MTL: Chiarot, Gallagher, Reilly, Danault, LehkonenBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
MTL 4 – 4 BUF

OT period

1:30
BUFMarcus Johansson (Colin Miller, Jack Eichel)slap0.19 xG
MTL: Weber, Chiarot, Danault, LehkonenBUF: Johansson, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel
MTL 4 – 5 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Montreal Canadiens

MTL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Drouin L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:49	—	—	40	51
Joel Armia R	L1	2	1	3	+2	4	0.91	2	0	0	16:30	—	—	54	76
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.31	2	1	2	14:38	—	—	35	53
Phillip Danault C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.51	0	0	2	17:37	—	—	70	82
Brendan Gallagher R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	0	0	15:14	—	—	57	74
Tomas Tatar L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.38	2	0	4	14:51	—	—	41	58
Nate Thompson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:07	—	—	40	53
Nick Suzuki C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:29	—	—	50	62
Paul Byron L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	11:56	—	—	67	82
Artturi Lehkonen L	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:52	—	—	55	43
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	0	0	15:12	—	—	40	25
Jordan Weal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.33	0	0	2	15:05	—	—	42	39
Ben Chiarot D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	1	2	0	24:11	—	—	58	66
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	23:01	—	—	56	61
Shea Weber D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	2	2	0	25:27	—	—	42	59
Victor Mete D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:48	—	—	36	57
Mike Reilly D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:09	—	—	50	52
Christian Folin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	2	0	12:50	—	—	33	39

MTL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Keith Kinkaid(start)	O	39	34	5	.872	3.01	60:51

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.49	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	56	45
Marcus Johansson L	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.19	0	1	2	17:32	—	—	57	49
Vladimir Sobotka C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	2	0	2	15:25	—	—	52	44
Jack Eichel C	L2	2	2	4	0	8	0.46	0	1	0	21:19	—	—	42	34
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	42	33
Victor Olofsson L	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.50	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	50	34
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	3	1	0	15:16	—	—	64	54
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	0	0	14:23	—	—	64	55
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	1	1	0	11:49	—	—	68	63
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	1	0	10:29	—	—	17	14
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:07	—	—	22	18
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	9:26	—	—	29	24
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	0	25:00	—	—	48	44
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:36	—	—	45	43
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	0	2	0	17:53	—	—	70	64
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	1	3	0	16:53	—	—	69	64
Colin Miller D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.29	2	1	0	18:17	—	—	29	11
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	2	2	-2	1	0.04	0	1	2	17:54	—	—	29	11

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	27	23	4	.852	3.30	61:16

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.