Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 21, 2019

FinalThursday, Feb 21, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	0	2	1	3		WSH	8	13	7	28
TOR	0	0	2	2		TOR	12	9	21	42

: WSH 65TOR 89
: WSH 3.34TOR 5.00
PP goals: WSH 1TOR 0
Hits: WSH 35TOR 17
Blocks: WSH 21TOR 12
PIM: WSH 6TOR 8
: WSH 32%TOR 68%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Washington Capitals beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at TOR. Tom Wilson (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:05 together.

Points
Tom Wilson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:08.Wilson
Points
Lars Eller had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:52.Eller
PP1
WSH's first power-play unit (Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson and Kuznetsov) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:05 together.Ovechkin Oshie Backstrom Carlson Kuznetsov
Goalie
Braden Holtby (WSH) faced 42 shots and stopped 40 (.952), +12 against a season average of 30.4; the win.Holtby
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Brown–Nylander skated 6:29 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Brown Nylander
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 5.00 expected goals (89 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Johnsson–Kapanen–Matthews skated 6:00 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johnsson Kapanen Matthews
Usage
Andreas Johnsson (TOR) played 18:09, +4:33 up on his 13:36 season average over 72 games.Johnsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 154 of 154 attempts · TOR 89 · WSH 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 32% of the game, TOR 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	TOR
	64	84
	3.04	4.44
	2.89	4.10
	11	13
	5	5
	25	23
	−0.114	+0.114
	32%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
10:0724% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:5338% CF
L3Oshie – Backstrom – Vrana
9:2445% CF
L4Dowd – Boyd – Stephenson
9:1772% CF
D1Carlson – Kempny
14:4550% CF
D2Niskanen – Orlov
13:5235% CF
D3Orpik – Djoos
6:5550% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
3:0586% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Wilson – Vrana
0:50
PK1FDowd – Stephenson
1:38
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:21
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
2:35
PK2DOrlov – Kempny
0:44

Current WSH line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
11:4771% CF
L2Marleau – Brown – Nylander
6:2958% CF
L3Johnsson – Kapanen – Matthews
6:0054% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Lindholm
4:2720% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
10:5047% CF
D2Muzzin – Dermott
10:4962% CF
D3Gardiner – Zaitsev
9:0165% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:1790% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Nylander – Kapanen
1:39
PK1FBrown – Kapanen
1:07
PK2FHyman – Marner
0:48
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:51
PK2DMuzzin – Rielly
0:19

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:54
WSHAlex OvechkinPP (John Carlson, T.J. Oshie)slap0.04 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, KuznetsovTOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Zaitsev, Lindholm
WSH 1 – 0 TOR
12:07
WSHBrett Connolly (Lars Eller, Tom Wilson)backhand0.12 xG
WSH: Niskanen, Eller, Connolly, Wilson, DjoosTOR: Muzzin, Gardiner, Tavares, Nylander, Marner
WSH 2 – 0 TOR

3rd period

4:23
TORAndreas Johnsson (Auston Matthews)wrist0.16 xG
WSH: Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Djoos, BurakovskyTOR: Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews
WSH 2 – 1 TOR
6:46
WSHTom WilsonSH (Lars Eller)wrist0.28 xG
WSH: Eller, Orlov, Wilson, KempnyTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews
WSH 3 – 1 TOR
19:27
TORJohn Tavares (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.13 xG
WSH: Orpik, Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, WilsonTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews
WSH 3 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Lars Eller C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.40	1	3	0	16:52	—	—	31	30
Andre Burakovsky L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	2	13:03	—	—	31	25
Brett Connolly R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.23	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	26	27
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.07	2	0	0	18:21	—	—	39	30
Tom Wilson R	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.70	5	4	0	18:08	—	—	41	39
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	0	1	0	17:19	—	—	35	30
Nicklas Backstrom C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	1	1	0	19:31	—	—	45	52
T.J. Oshie R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.17	1	0	0	17:16	—	—	46	52
Jakub Vrana L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	0	1	0	12:02	—	—	41	55
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	5	0	0	11:39	—	—	74	67
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	4	0	0	11:33	—	—	74	67
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	10:38	—	—	74	59
John Carlson D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.21	4	1	2	26:43	—	—	48	36
Michal Kempny D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	1	3	2	20:00	—	—	48	40
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	2	0	22:10	—	—	33	34
Matt Niskanen D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	22:06	—	—	38	50
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	5	4	0	17:00	—	—	43	49
Christian Djoos D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:17	—	—	53	52

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	42	40	2	.952	5.00	59:59

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.30	0	0	0	21:21	—	—	55	54
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.48	1	0	0	20:16	—	—	62	68
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.44	2	1	0	17:17	—	—	69	80
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.36	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	77	71
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.31	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	51	57
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.63	0	0	2	14:58	—	—	74	73
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.70	1	2	0	20:22	—	—	48	57
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	10	1.06	2	0	0	18:09	—	—	71	72
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	1	1	0	17:21	—	—	49	55
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:18	—	—	17	1
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	5:38	—	—	15	1
Par Lindholm C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:00	—	—	20	3
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	1	1	2	25:11	—	—	57	51
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	2	0	16:01	—	—	51	49
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	2	0	2	19:56	—	—	56	57
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	60	65
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	3	3	0	22:07	—	—	68	73
Nikita Zaitsev D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	2	15:35	—	—	50	63

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	3.34	56:09

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.