Washington Capitals vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 10, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 10, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

5

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	1	3	1	5		WSH	9	7	10	26
NSH	1	1	4	6		NSH	13	9	16	38

: WSH 45NSH 62
: WSH 1.72NSH 2.55
PP goals: WSH 2NSH 1
Hits: WSH 12NSH 8
Blocks: WSH 15NSH 11
PIM: WSH 8NSH 8
: WSH 49%NSH 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Washington Capitals 6–5

Nashville Predators beat Washington Capitals 6–5 at home. John Carlson (WSH) led the scoring with 0G 3A. NSH won it by committee.

Points
John Carlson had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 27:30.Carlson
Points
Alex Ovechkin had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:45.Ovechkin
Points
Ryan Johansen had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:58.Johansen
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:30.Forsberg
Points
Matt Duchene had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:36.Duchene
Points
Calle Jarnkrok had 2 assists (2 points) in 14:25.Jarnkrok
Points
Mikael Granlund had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:17.Granlund
Points
Viktor Arvidsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:49.Arvidsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · NSH 62 · WSH 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 24% of the game, NSH 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	NSH
	42	65
	1.51	2.46
	1.42	2.41
	8	14
	2	4
	19	16
	+0.010	−0.010
	24%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
10:1125% CF
L2Leipsic – Stephenson – Hathaway
8:5946% CF
L3Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
8:4939% CF
L4Hagelin – Eller – Panik
8:4056% CF
D1Carlson – Siegenthaler
16:2433% CF
D2Orlov – Jensen
11:5932% CF
D3Gudas – Lewington
6:0755% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
2:42100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Wilson – Vrana
0:14
PK1FHagelin – Eller
2:57
PK2FWilson – Stephenson
1:24
PK1DJensen – Gudas
2:09
PK2DCarlson – Lewington
1:01

Current WSH line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
13:0063% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Johansen – Arvidsson
11:1365% CF
L3Bonino – Watson – Sissons
9:3271% CF
L4Turris – Smith – Carr
9:0143% CF
D1Ekholm – Fabbro
18:2769% CF
D2Josi – Ellis
17:2275% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
7:1822% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:5675% CF
PP2Bonino – Turris – Ellis – Smith – Granlund
2:2450% CF
PK1FJohansen – Arvidsson
1:31
PK2FBonino – Sissons
0:51
PK1DWeber – Josi
1:20
PK2DEllis – Ekholm
0:40

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:17
WSHLars Eller (Garnet Hathaway, John Carlson)wrist0.14 xG
WSH: Hagelin, Eller, Carlson, Gudas, HathawayNSH: Turris, Irwin, Watson, Sissons, Fabbro
WSH 1 – 0 NSH
10:39
NSHFilip Forsberg (Matt Duchene, Mikael Granlund)wrist0.15 xG
WSH: Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, VranaNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro
WSH 1 – 1 NSH

2nd period

4:46
WSHAlex OvechkinPP (John Carlson, Evgeny Kuznetsov)slap0.07 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, KuznetsovNSH: Weber, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson
WSH 2 – 1 NSH
7:37
NSHRyan Johansen (Viktor Arvidsson, Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.17 xG
WSH: Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Gudas, WilsonNSH: Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Arvidsson
WSH 2 – 2 NSH
12:28
WSHTom WilsonSH (Chandler Stephenson)wrist0.03 xG
WSH: Jensen, Gudas, Wilson, StephensonNSH: Bonino, Turris, Ellis, Smith, Granlund
WSH 3 – 2 NSH
17:36
WSHAlex OvechkinPP (John Carlson, Nicklas Backstrom)slap0.11 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, KuznetsovNSH: Bonino, Weber, Ekholm, Sissons
WSH 4 – 2 NSH

3rd period

5:03
NSHRyan JohansenPP (Viktor Arvidsson, Roman Josi)wrist0.18 xG
WSH: Hagelin, Eller, Jensen, GudasNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
WSH 4 – 3 NSH
6:13
NSHMatt Duchene (Filip Forsberg, Mikael Granlund)wrist0.20 xG
WSH: Backstrom, Orlov, Jensen, Wilson, LeipsicNSH: Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro
WSH 4 – 4 NSH
10:09
WSHT.J. Oshie (Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.05 xG
WSH: Oshie, Orlov, Gudas, Kuznetsov, VranaNSH: Duchene, Ellis, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg
WSH 5 – 4 NSH
14:52
NSHNick Bonino (Colton Sissons, Austin Watson)wrist0.19 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Hagelin, Carlson, SiegenthalerNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons
WSH 5 – 5 NSH
15:20
NSHMattias Ekholm (Calle Jarnkrok)slap0.03 xG
WSH: Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, VranaNSH: Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Arvidsson, Fabbro
WSH 5 – 6 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.07	0	1	0	20:41	—	—	28	23
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	2	0	2	-1	2	0.18	2	0	0	19:45	—	—	27	28
Tom Wilson R	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.09	2	0	0	16:02	—	—	19	9
Chandler Stephenson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:58	—	—	44	57
Garnet Hathaway R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	1	1	2	11:38	—	—	47	72
Brendan Leipsic L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	2	1	0	11:34	—	—	38	40
T.J. Oshie R	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	18:54	—	—	36	30
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.18	0	1	2	16:54	—	—	37	36
Jakub Vrana L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	11:15	—	—	39	38
Carl Hagelin L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	1	0	15:07	—	—	59	55
Lars Eller C	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.27	0	1	0	13:52	—	—	48	47
Richard Panik R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	1	0	11:50	—	—	55	40
John Carlson D	D1	0	3	3	0	1	0.06	0	1	2	27:30	—	—	35	40
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	22:41	—	—	30	29
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	3	0	20:55	—	—	31	23
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	1	1	-3	3	0.14	1	1	0	19:43	—	—	39	33
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	2	0	2	14:00	—	—	65	71
Tyler Lewington D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:25	—	—	53	64

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	L	38	32	6	.842	2.55	58:28

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	1	1	2	+1	5	0.48	0	0	0	18:36	—	—	64	72
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	18:30	—	—	64	72
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	2	2	0	4	0.07	2	0	0	17:17	—	—	64	69
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.19	0	0	0	19:49	—	—	62	72
Ryan Johansen C	L2	2	0	2	+2	2	0.36	1	0	0	17:58	—	—	65	73
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.06	0	0	0	14:25	—	—	65	73
Nick Bonino C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	0	0	0	14:19	—	—	71	64
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	0	2	12:50	—	—	64	54
Austin Watson L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	2	0	0	12:44	—	—	64	48
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	-2	3	0.28	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	43	40
Craig Smith C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	2	12:37	—	—	47	58
Daniel Carr L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	10:50	—	—	47	56
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.09	1	3	0	23:34	—	—	65	78
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.05	0	3	0	21:59	—	—	61	63
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	+2	5	0.13	0	1	2	25:04	—	—	74	75
Ryan Ellis D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	0	2	2	23:36	—	—	68	69
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:29	—	—	33	22
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	8:36	—	—	27	8

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	26	21	5	.808	1.72	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.