Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 19, 2018

FinalMonday, Feb 19, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	0	2	1	3		WSH	14	10	6	30
BUF	0	0	2	2		BUF	10	7	17	34

: WSH 55BUF 56
: WSH 4.50BUF 2.95
PP goals: WSH 0BUF 0
Hits: WSH 14BUF 21
Blocks: WSH 10BUF 9
PIM: WSH 6BUF 2
: WSH 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 at BUF. John Carlson (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Wilson–Rodrigues skated 9:44 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
John Carlson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:34.Carlson
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Wilson–Rodrigues skated 9:44 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Wilson Rodrigues
New line
New look for BUF: Larsson–Girgensons–Reinhart skated 7:04 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Larsson Girgensons Reinhart
New line
New look for BUF: Pouliot–Josefson–Baptiste skated 6:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (14.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pouliot Josefson Baptiste
Usage
Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) played 15:33, −3:18 down on his 18:51 season average over 78 games.Kuznetsov
Usage
John Carlson (WSH) played 21:34, −3:15 down on his 24:49 season average over 81 games.Carlson
Usage
Ryan O'Reilly (BUF) played 24:06, +3:19 up on his 20:47 season average over 80 games.O'Reilly
Usage
Benoit Pouliot (BUF) played 10:09, −3:35 down on his 13:44 season average over 73 games.Pouliot

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · BUF 56 · WSH 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 45% of the game, BUF 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	BUF
	62	56
	4.37	2.51
	4.16	2.45
	16	11
	4	2
	5	16
	+0.001	−0.001
	45%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
13:2157% CF
L2Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
9:4947% CF
L3Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
9:1852% CF
L4Beagle – Smith-Pelly – Stephenson
9:1069% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
17:2345% CF
D2Carlson – Djoos
14:0263% CF
D3Orpik – Bowey
13:5552% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
0:55100% CF
PK1FBeagle – Stephenson
2:19
PK2FEller – Wilson
1:20
PK1DOrpik – Niskanen
2:58
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
1:36

Current WSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – O'Reilly – Kane
10:4245% CF
L2Okposo – Wilson – Rodrigues
9:4433% CF
L3Larsson – Girgensons – Reinhart
7:0455% CF
L4Pouliot – Josefson – Baptiste
6:1914% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:4354% CF
D2Gorges – Nelson
13:0632% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
12:4938% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Rodrigues
3:17100% CF
PP2Pominville – Pouliot – Scandella – Kane – Nelson
1:28
PK1FPouliot – O'Reilly
0:28
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
0:55

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:18
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Christian Djoos, John Carlson)deflected0.12 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, DjoosBUF: Scandella, Josefson, Baptiste, Ristolainen, Reinhart
WSH 1 – 0 BUF
13:33
WSHJohn Carlson (T.J. Oshie, Jakub Vrana)snap0.84 xG
WSH: Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, VranaBUF: Okposo, Falk, Wilson, Beaulieu, Rodrigues
WSH 2 – 0 BUF

3rd period

12:42
BUFKyle Okposo (Scott Wilson, Evan Rodrigues)tip-in0.07 xG
WSH: Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky, BoweyBUF: Gorges, Okposo, Wilson, Rodrigues, Nelson
WSH 2 – 1 BUF
19:34
WSHEvgeny KuznetsovENbackhand0.76 xG
WSH: Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, KuznetsovBUF: Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Rodrigues
WSH 3 – 1 BUF
19:56
BUFEvander Kane (Ryan O'Reilly, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.19 xG
WSH: Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, WilsonBUF: Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart
WSH 3 – 2 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:06	—	—	50	54
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.69	4	0	0	17:54	—	—	58	70
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	0	2	2	17:35	—	—	50	50
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	46	75
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	1	0	1	+3	3	1.07	0	0	2	15:33	—	—	48	76
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.34	2	1	0	12:01	—	—	50	81
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	15:44	—	—	47	52
Andre Burakovsky L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	11:16	—	—	55	47
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	2	10:42	—	—	50	46
Jay Beagle C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:05	—	—	71	78
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	13:09	—	—	69	77
Devante Smith-Pelly R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	1	0	11:57	—	—	53	46
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.00	1	1	0	23:49	—	—	50	56
Matt Niskanen D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	0	22:44	—	—	48	35
John Carlson D	D2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.93	0	1	0	21:34	—	—	61	87
Christian Djoos D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	16:01	—	—	63	76
Brooks Orpik D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.14	3	3	0	19:23	—	—	48	70
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	50	65

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	2.95	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.97	0	0	0	24:06	—	—	58	61
Evander Kane L	L1	1	0	1	0	9	0.66	4	2	0	22:31	—	—	59	63
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	18:28	—	—	50	46
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	30	11
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.06	0	1	0	15:09	—	—	33	12
Scott Wilson C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	1	2	0	12:22	—	—	37	19
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.48	1	0	0	19:43	—	—	64	52
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	2	0	0	13:49	—	—	55	39
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	1	2	13:18	—	—	50	40
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:09	—	—	33	38
Jacob Josefson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	0	0	9:17	—	—	23	11
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:30	—	—	10	7
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	5	1	0	27:12	—	—	56	52
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	23:55	—	—	52	46
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:04	—	—	40	40
Josh Gorges D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:07	—	—	36	46
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:53	—	—	43	21
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	14:22	—	—	45	26

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	3.73	58:11

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.