Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo SabresMar 25, 2022

Final / SOFriday, Mar 25, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
WSH	1	2	0	0	1	4		WSH	11	13	9	7	40
BUF	1	2	0	0	0	3		BUF	4	9	5	5	23

: WSH 64BUF 49
: WSH 3.24BUF 2.57
PP goals: WSH 0BUF 0
Hits: WSH 20BUF 12
Blocks: WSH 12BUF 9
PIM: WSH 4BUF 4
: WSH 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3 (SO)

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 in a shootout at BUF. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Michal Kempny (WSH) played 3:17, −13:27 down on his 16:44 season average over 14 games.

Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:30.Skinner
Usage
Michal Kempny (WSH) played 3:17, −13:27 down on his 16:44 season average over 14 games.Kempny
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +9 against a season average of 31.0; the overtime loss.Tokarski
Usage
Anthony Mantha (WSH) played 20:18, +5:16 up on his 15:02 season average over 36 games.Mantha
New line
New look for BUF: Hinostroza–Tuch–Krebs skated 5:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hinostroza Tuch Krebs
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Thompson–Cozens skated 5:59 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Thompson Cozens
Usage
Dmitry Orlov (WSH) played 25:10, +4:16 up on his 20:54 season average over 75 games.Orlov
Usage
Conor Sheary (WSH) played 19:19, +4:05 up on his 15:14 season average over 70 games.Sheary

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · BUF 49 · WSH 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 41% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	BUF
	60	43
	2.73	2.16
	2.63	1.95
	12	6
	6	6
	13	13
	+0.025	−0.025
	41%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Backstrom – Wilson – Mantha
12:3959% CF
L2Eller – Sheary – Hathaway
12:0447% CF
L3Ovechkin – Johansson – Kuznetsov
10:4664% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
16:4953% CF
D2Carlson – Fehérváry
15:4762% CF
D3Schultz – Irwin
7:0464% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Wilson
1:170% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Schultz – Johansson – Mantha – Sheary
0:34100% CF
PK1FEller – Hathaway
1:02
PK2FKuznetsov – Jonsson-Fjallby
0:25
PK1DJensen – Fehérváry
1:00
PK2DCarlson – Orlov
0:30

Current WSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
11:1848% CF
L2Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
10:4213% CF
L3Skinner – Thompson – Cozens
5:5940% CF
L4Hinostroza – Tuch – Krebs
5:1667% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
17:4632% CF
D2Bryson – Samuelsson
16:4838% CF
D3Pysyk – Miller
12:0058% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
1:30100% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Jokiharju – Krebs – Cozens
0:27100% CF
PK1FTuch – Thompson
1:05
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
0:23
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:22
PK2DBryson – Dahlin
0:34

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:15
WSHAnthony Mantha (Nicklas Backstrom, Tom Wilson)backhand0.13 xG
WSH: Backstrom, Schultz, Irwin, Wilson, ManthaBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson
WSH 1 – 0 BUF
15:49
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson)backhand0.06 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Johansson, Irwin, KuznetsovBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
WSH 1 – 1 BUF

2nd period

4:06
WSHNick Jensen (Dmitry Orlov, Conor Sheary)wrist0.02 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, HathawayBUF: Skinner, Miller, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin
WSH 2 – 1 BUF
10:23
BUFJeff Skinner (Mattias Samuelsson)wrist0.06 xG
WSH: Backstrom, Schultz, Wilson, Mantha, FehérváryBUF: Skinner, Miller, Thompson, Samuelsson, Cozens
WSH 2 – 2 BUF
12:55
BUFVictor Olofsson (Casey Mittelstadt, Rasmus Asplund)snap0.15 xG
WSH: Orlov, Jensen, Wilson, Jonsson-Fjallby, McMichaelBUF: Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson
WSH 2 – 3 BUF
16:47
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Evgeny Kuznetsov)slap0.01 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Schultz, Johansson, Kuznetsov, FehérváryBUF: Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson
WSH 3 – 3 BUF

Decided in the shootout: WSH 4 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Mantha R	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.29	0	1	0	20:18	—	—	67	83
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.02	4	1	0	20:05	—	—	64	62
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	18:56	—	—	64	78
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.38	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	64	75
Garnet Hathaway R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	0	2	16:49	—	—	44	41
Lars Eller C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.26	1	0	0	16:38	—	—	43	41
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.31	0	0	0	21:10	—	—	65	62
Alex Ovechkin L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.56	1	0	0	19:57	—	—	62	43
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	16:40	—	—	58	59
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	4	2	0	25:10	—	—	46	45
Nick Jensen D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.02	2	1	0	20:22	—	—	54	67
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.45	0	3	0	25:36	—	—	61	57
Martin Fehérváry D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	0	0	23:18	—	—	62	59
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.27	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	61	47
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	2	2	0	10:10	—	—	63	73
Connor McMichael L	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	0	1	0	9:13	—	—	50	65
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	8:38	—	—	50	66
Michal Kempny D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	3:17	—	—	50	100

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	23	20	3	.870	2.57	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.19	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	48	60
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.56	0	0	0	14:18	—	—	50	61
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.41	1	0	0	12:57	—	—	48	61
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	0	0	16:47	—	—	19	22
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:38	—	—	11	18
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	1	0	13:22	—	—	18	28
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	44	45
Jeff Skinner L	L3	2	0	2	0	5	0.56	0	0	2	17:30	—	—	44	40
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:11	—	—	54	47
Alex Tuch R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	1	0	18:27	—	—	56	41
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	50	14
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	53	20
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	2	0	26:35	—	—	26	12
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	26:34	—	—	32	12
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	21:13	—	—	44	59
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:48	—	—	36	46
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	2	14:25	—	—	54	66
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	59	67

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	O	40	37	3	.925	3.24	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.