Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 26, 2023

FinalSunday, Feb 26, 2023· KeyBank Center

away

Washington CapitalsWSH

4

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	2	0	4		WSH	11	8	11	30
BUF	2	4	1	7		BUF	10	17	10	37

: WSH 52BUF 57
: WSH 2.39BUF 4.39
PP goals: WSH 1BUF 0
Hits: WSH 17BUF 5
Blocks: WSH 10BUF 9
PIM: WSH 13BUF 11
: WSH 42%BUF 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Washington Capitals 7–4

Buffalo Sabres beat Washington Capitals 7–4 at home. Dylan Cozens (BUF) led the scoring with 3G 1A. New look for BUF: Skinner–Thompson–Quinn skated 11:09 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dylan Cozens had a hat trick and an assist (4 points) on 8 shots in 15:41.Cozens
Points
Dylan Strome had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:27.Strome
Points
T.J. Oshie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:33.Oshie
Points
Vinnie Hinostroza had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:22.Hinostroza
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:36.Mittelstadt
Points
Jack Quinn had 2 assists (2 points) in 13:22.Quinn
Points
Nick Jensen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 24:42.Jensen
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Thompson–Quinn skated 11:09 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Thompson Quinn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · BUF 57 · WSH 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 19% of the game, BUF 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	BUF
	58	59
	2.65	4.59
	2.56	4.32
	11	17
	1	6
	4	16
	−0.049	+0.049
	19%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
11:4750% CF
L2Oshie – Milano – Strome
11:3542% CF
L3Backstrom – Smith – Sheary
10:0965% CF
L4Eller – Dowd – Aube-Kubel
9:1667% CF
D1Jensen – Fehérváry
20:0149% CF
D2Gustafsson – van Riemsdyk
18:2452% CF
D3Irwin – McIlrath
10:1250% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Kuznetsov – Gustafsson
0:34100% CF
PP2Jensen – Wilson – van Riemsdyk – Milano – Strome
0:08100% CF
PK1FEller – Sheary
2:57
PK2FDowd – Wilson
1:12
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
1:52
PK2DIrwin – Fehérváry
1:15

Current WSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Thompson – Quinn
11:0955% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
11:0050% CF
L3Hinostroza – Mittelstadt – Cozens
10:2452% CF
L4Olofsson – Krebs – Peterka
9:3527% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
15:4560% CF
D2Clague – Samuelsson
9:1959% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
5:5629% CF

PP1Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson – Cozens – Power
4:0688% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Jokiharju – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka
0:43
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
0:34
PK2FMittelstadt – Krebs
0:04
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
0:38

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:40
BUFDylan Cozens (Casey Mittelstadt, Ilya Lyubushkin)snap0.22 xG
WSH: Oshie, Irwin, McIlrath, Milano, StromeBUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens
WSH 0 – 1 BUF
14:45
WSHDylan Strome (Nick Jensen, T.J. Oshie)wrist0.14 xG
WSH: Oshie, Jensen, Milano, Strome, FehérváryBUF: Olofsson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Krebs, Peterka
WSH 1 – 1 BUF
16:35
BUFTage Thompsonsnap0.06 xG
WSH: Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, Sheary, FehérváryBUF: Skinner, Clague, Thompson, Samuelsson, Quinn
WSH 1 – 2 BUF
16:50
WSHT.J. Oshie (Dylan Strome, Nick Jensen)wrist0.13 xG
WSH: Oshie, Jensen, Milano, Strome, FehérváryBUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power
WSH 2 – 2 BUF

2nd period

5:49
BUFJeff Skinner (Mattias Samuelsson, Jack Quinn)tip-in0.17 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Jensen, Kuznetsov, FehérváryBUF: Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Quinn
WSH 2 – 3 BUF
8:36
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Kyle Okposo, Tyson Jost)wrist0.16 xG
WSH: Eller, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, Aube-KubelBUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Jost, Samuelsson
WSH 2 – 4 BUF
10:07
BUFVinnie Hinostroza (Owen Power, Dylan Cozens)backhand0.13 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, van RiemsdykBUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Cozens, Power
WSH 2 – 5 BUF
12:49
BUFDylan Cozens (Jack Quinn)wrist0.11 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Dowd, Irwin, McIlrath, WilsonBUF: Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Power
WSH 2 – 6 BUF
15:49
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Erik Gustafsson, Evgeny Kuznetsov)wrist0.11 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Gustafsson, van RiemsdykBUF: Skinner, Thompson, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Quinn
WSH 3 – 6 BUF
18:40
WSHSonny MilanoPPbackhand0.12 xG
WSH: Jensen, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Milano, StromeBUF: Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Krebs
WSH 4 – 6 BUF

3rd period

11:52
BUFDylan Cozens (Vinnie Hinostroza, Casey Mittelstadt)backhand0.15 xG
WSH: Backstrom, Smith, Gustafsson, Sheary, van RiemsdykBUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson, Cozens
WSH 4 – 7 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.06	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	46	26
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	1	0	1	-2	7	0.42	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	45	26
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	0	15:58	—	—	50	30
T.J. Oshie R	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.27	2	0	0	15:33	—	—	37	35
Dylan Strome C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	15:27	—	—	39	42
Sonny Milano L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.44	1	0	0	15:03	—	—	40	41
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	1	1	0	16:02	—	—	59	42
Nicklas Backstrom C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	0	0	14:34	—	—	65	48
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	0	0	0	11:33	—	—	60	47
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:33	—	—	62	64
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	3	0	7	13:01	—	—	60	45
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	2	11:33	—	—	53	43
Martin Fehérváry D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	2	4	2	24:44	—	—	46	39
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.01	1	0	2	24:42	—	—	48	37
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	0	2	0	22:29	—	—	53	40
Erik Gustafsson D	D2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.03	1	0	0	22:06	—	—	50	33
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:21	—	—	50	29
Dylan McIlrath D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.03	2	1	0	11:13	—	—	52	39

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	L	19	14	5	.737	2.31	30:07
Charlie Lindgren	—	18	16	2	.889	2.09	29:53

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.56	0	0	0	20:38	—	—	56	67
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+1	7	0.56	0	0	0	19:41	—	—	55	70
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	5	13:22	—	—	57	64
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	47	45
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	1	0	0	13:36	—	—	50	51
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.39	0	1	0	12:12	—	—	52	56
Dylan Cozens C	L3	3	1	4	+3	8	1.22	0	0	4	15:41	—	—	52	70
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	2	2	+3	1	0.00	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	54	74
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.34	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	57	77
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	16:24	—	—	39	65
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	38	47
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	31	45
Owen Power D	D1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.71	1	1	0	27:43	—	—	56	67
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	2	23:40	—	—	54	64
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	0	0	0	22:10	—	—	52	67
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.11	0	0	0	9:59	—	—	59	64
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	17:56	—	—	31	43
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:44	—	—	50	66

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	30	26	4	.867	2.39	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.