Washington Capitals vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 22, 2018

FinalSaturday, Dec 22, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WSH	2	2	0	4		WSH	14	10	9	33
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	13	12	10	35

: WSH 57OTT 67
: WSH 3.40OTT 3.52
PP goals: WSH 0OTT 0
Hits: WSH 28OTT 25
Blocks: WSH 16OTT 9
PIM: WSH 4OTT 6
: WSH 36%OTT 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals rout Ottawa Senators 4–0

Washington Capitals beat Ottawa Senators 4–0 at OTT. Brett Connolly (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT scored 0 goals on 3.52 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Brett Connolly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:48.Connolly
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 3.52 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–Tierney–Paul skated 4:33 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (69.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Tierney Paul
Goalie
Pheonix Copley (WSH) faced 35 shots and stopped 35 (.1000), +6 against a season average of 28.7; the win.Copley
Usage
Justin Falk (OTT) played 6:55, −6:41 down on his 13:36 season average over 9 games.Falk
Usage
Nick Paul (OTT) played 14:02, +5:51 up on his 8:11 season average over 19 games.Paul
Usage
Ben Harpur (OTT) played 21:02, +3:29 up on his 17:33 season average over 50 games.Harpur
Usage
Tom Wilson (WSH) played 14:45, −3:27 down on his 18:12 season average over 62 games.Wilson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
WSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · OTT 67 · WSH 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
WSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
WSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WSH 30% of the game, OTT 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

WSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WSH	OTT
	55	72
	3.21	3.64
	2.99	3.31
	17	22
	7	8
	12	25
	−0.097	+0.097
	30%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Washington Capitals

L1Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky
11:2150% CF
L2Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom
11:0944% CF
L3Kuznetsov – Wilson – Vrana
10:4843% CF
L4Dowd – Boyd – Stephenson
8:3028% CF
D1Niskanen – Orlov
18:4241% CF
D2Carlson – Kempny
16:4646% CF
D3Lewington – Siegenthaler
12:1050% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
3:07100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Carlson – Connolly – Vrana
0:23
PK1FDowd – Stephenson
1:27
PK2FEller – Wilson
0:58
PK1DCarlson – Kempny
1:08
PK2DNiskanen – Siegenthaler
0:52

Current WSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Stone – White – Tkachuk
12:2278% CF
L2Ryan – Tierney – Paul
4:3369% CF
L3Smith – Paajarvi – Dzingel
4:0640% CF
D1Ceci – Chabot
7:2962% CF
D2DeMelo – Harpur
6:3367% CF
D3Borowiecki – Jaros
5:4643% CF

PP1Ryan – Duchene – Stone – White – Chabot
1:15100% CF
PP2Boedker – Dzingel – Tierney – Jaros – Tkachuk
1:10100% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
1:47
PK2FRyan – Tierney
1:10
PK1DCeci – Harpur
2:57
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:02

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:32
WSHBrett Connolly (Jonas Siegenthaler, Lars Eller)tip-in0.08 xG
WSH: Eller, Connolly, Lewington, Burakovsky, SiegenthalerOTT: Borowiecki, Paajarvi, White, Jaros, Tkachuk
WSH 1 – 0 OTT
17:56
WSHMatt Niskanen (Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin)tip-in0.06 xG
WSH: Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Boyd, SiegenthalerOTT: Borowiecki, Duchene, Paajarvi, Dzingel, Ceci
WSH 2 – 0 OTT

2nd period

9:05
WSHJakub Vranawrist0.14 xG
WSH: Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana, KempnyOTT: Falk, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci, White
WSH 3 – 0 OTT
13:44
WSHMichal Kempny (Brett Connolly)wrist0.01 xG
WSH: Eller, Carlson, Connolly, Burakovsky, KempnyOTT: Boedker, Dzingel, DeMelo, Ceci, Tierney
WSH 4 – 0 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brett Connolly R	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.14	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	52	40
Lars Eller C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	0	1	0	14:23	—	—	46	39
Andre Burakovsky L	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.15	0	1	0	12:40	—	—	48	40
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	0	1	1	+1	6	0.56	3	0	0	20:20	—	—	56	64
Nicklas Backstrom C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.24	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	48	62
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	1	0	16:20	—	—	42	59
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.70	0	0	0	18:56	—	—	47	47
Tom Wilson R	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	6	2	0	14:45	—	—	46	49
Jakub Vrana L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.59	1	0	0	14:32	—	—	46	54
Chandler Stephenson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:12	—	—	22	18
Nic Dowd C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	3	0	0	10:51	—	—	26	23
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:37	—	—	33	28
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	2	0	22:09	—	—	40	48
Matt Niskanen D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	3	1	0	22:03	—	—	39	51
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.12	0	1	2	23:21	—	—	44	38
Michal Kempny D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.05	1	3	0	19:44	—	—	46	42
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	2	2	0	16:15	—	—	44	53
Tyler Lewington D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	2	13:07	—	—	50	66

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pheonix Copley(start)	W	35	35	0	.1000	3.52	59:46

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	-1	3	0.56	2	1	0	21:22	—	—	66	56
Colin White C	L1	-2	3	0.48	1	1	2	17:17	—	—	69	69
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-1	7	0.33	4	0	0	16:54	—	—	74	74
Chris Tierney C	L2	-1	1	0.17	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	56	51
Bobby Ryan R	L2	0	4	0.07	0	1	0	15:49	—	—	62	73
Nick Paul L	L2	0	3	0.54	3	0	4	14:02	—	—	50	59
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	-3	2	0.13	0	1	0	16:30	—	—	47	34
Zack Smith C	L3	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	15:23	—	—	48	33
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	-2	1	0.41	1	0	0	12:14	—	—	40	49
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	3	0.23	1	4	0	21:57	—	—	47	60
Cody Ceci D	D1	-3	2	0.10	0	1	0	21:14	—	—	60	58
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	1	0.06	2	0	0	21:02	—	—	55	36
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	59	64
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	-2	0	0.00	6	0	0	16:45	—	—	71	66
Christian Jaros D	D3	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:04	—	—	48	23
Matt Duchene C	—	-1	1	0.33	1	0	0	17:37	—	—	42	43
Mikkel Boedker L	—	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:10	—	—	50	51
Justin Falk D	—	-1	0	0.01	2	0	0	6:55	—	—	46	39

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike McKenna(start)	L	33	29	4	.879	3.40	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.