Arizona Coyotes vs. Buffalo SabresMar 21, 2018

FinalWednesday, Mar 21, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
ARI	2	0	2	4		ARI	15	5	9	29
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	13	11	6	30

: ARI 57BUF 72
: ARI 4.48BUF 2.89
PP goals: ARI 2BUF 0
Hits: ARI 16BUF 19
Blocks: ARI 24BUF 12
PIM: ARI 10BUF 8
: ARI 39%BUF 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Arizona Coyotes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Arizona Coyotes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at BUF. Derek Stepan (ARI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. ARI's first power-play unit (Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Keller and Chychrun) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:13 together.

Points
Derek Stepan had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:59.Stepan
Points
Clayton Keller had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:50.Keller
PP1
ARI's first power-play unit (Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Keller and Chychrun) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 3:13 together.Stepan Ekman-Larsson Panik Keller Chychrun
New line
New look for ARI: Archibald–Domi–Dvorak skated 9:01 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Archibald Domi Dvorak
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Bailey–Eichel skated 7:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Bailey Eichel
New line
New look for ARI: Perlini–Fischer–Strome skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perlini Fischer Strome
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 2.89 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nathan Beaulieu (BUF) played 11:37, −4:24 down on his 16:01 season average over 58 games.Beaulieu

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← ARI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
ARI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · BUF 72 · ARI 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
ARI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
ARI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: ARI 34% of the game, BUF 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

ARI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	ARI	BUF
	50	61
	1.88	2.50
	1.86	2.47
	11	8
	2	7
	14	14
	−0.064	+0.064
	34%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Arizona Coyotes

L1Richardson – Cousins – Martinook
11:1339% CF
L2Archibald – Domi – Dvorak
9:0162% CF
L3Stepan – Panik – Keller
7:4855% CF
L4Perlini – Fischer – Strome
7:0833% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – Connauton
11:1052% CF
D2Hjalmarsson – Chychrun
10:5537% CF
D3Goligoski – Schenn
9:4042% CF

PP1Stepan – Ekman-Larsson – Panik – Keller – Chychrun
3:13100% CF
PP2Goligoski – Domi – Perlini – Dvorak – Strome
2:29100% CF
PK1FStepan – Archibald
3:24
PK2FRichardson – Martinook
1:35
PK1DGoligoski – Schenn
4:29
PK2DHjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson
2:52

Current ARI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Wilson – Reinhart
8:5557% CF
L2Okposo – Bailey – Eichel
7:1446% CF
L3Nolan – Baptiste – Rodrigues
3:4854% CF
L4Pominville – Pouliot – Larsson
3:0186% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
12:1045% CF
D2Guhle – Nelson
9:1882% CF
D3Falk – Beaulieu
6:0445% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
5:4586% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Baptiste – Guhle – Rodrigues
1:47100% CF
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
2:33
PK2FO'Reilly – Wilson
1:55
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
4:02
PK2DFalk – Nelson
1:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:38
ARIDylan StromePP (Alex Goligoski, Brendan Perlini)deflected0.67 xG
ARI: Goligoski, Domi, Perlini, Dvorak, StromeBUF: Falk, O'Reilly, Rodrigues, Nelson
ARI 1 – 0 BUF
11:42
BUFJordan Nolan (Evan Rodrigues, Nathan Beaulieu)backhand0.15 xG
ARI: Richardson, Hjalmarsson, Cousins, Martinook, ChychrunBUF: Nolan, Beaulieu, Baptiste, Rodrigues, Nelson
ARI 1 – 1 BUF
17:44
ARIDerek StepanPP (Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Clayton Keller)wrist0.07 xG
ARI: Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Keller, ChychrunBUF: Falk, O'Reilly, Wilson, Nelson
ARI 2 – 1 BUF

3rd period

6:32
ARIRichard Panik (Clayton Keller, Derek Stepan)wrist0.16 xG
ARI: Stepan, Ekman-Larsson, Panik, Connauton, KellerBUF: Falk, O'Reilly, Wilson, Beaulieu, Reinhart
ARI 3 – 1 BUF
19:50
ARIMax DomiEN (Jakob Chychrun)backhand0.95 xG
ARI: Hjalmarsson, Archibald, Domi, Dvorak, ChychrunBUF: Scandella, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Rodrigues
ARI 4 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brad Richardson R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.44	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	38	30
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	2	3	2	13:35	—	—	39	33
Nick Cousins C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	42	42
Christian Dvorak C	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.42	2	1	0	16:58	—	—	57	77
Max Domi C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	1.00	0	0	4	16:51	—	—	57	48
Josh Archibald R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:34	—	—	50	81
Derek Stepan C	L3	1	1	2	+1	4	0.18	0	1	0	17:59	—	—	52	44
Clayton Keller R	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	47	30
Richard Panik R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.46	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	48	39
Dylan Strome C	L4	1	0	1	0	4	0.97	0	1	2	12:18	—	—	38	33
Brendan Perlini L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	2	0	2	11:31	—	—	36	57
Christian Fischer R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:23	—	—	39	35
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	0	1	0	19:37	—	—	58	64
Kevin Connauton D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	4	0	16:21	—	—	44	43
Niklas Hjalmarsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	5	0	21:07	—	—	44	43
Jakob Chychrun D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.24	1	3	0	19:44	—	—	37	28
Alex Goligoski D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	1	3	0	22:40	—	—	48	52
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	2	0	18:24	—	—	46	51

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.89	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.13	0	1	0	23:39	—	—	48	52
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.68	1	0	0	20:37	—	—	52	55
Scott Wilson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	0	0	14:12	—	—	54	57
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	0	2	2	22:42	—	—	52	44
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:00	—	—	35	20
Justin Bailey R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	1	0	11:32	—	—	55	42
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.28	0	1	0	16:07	—	—	61	82
Jordan Nolan C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	4	0	2	10:44	—	—	50	61
Nick Baptiste R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	0	0	0	10:40	—	—	65	83
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	14:11	—	—	50	24
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	65	46
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	0	0	0	9:58	—	—	86	87
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.18	3	1	0	26:22	—	—	48	63
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	2	1	0	22:15	—	—	48	70
Brendan Guhle D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	0	0	18:57	—	—	65	62
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:20	—	—	65	64
Justin Falk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:58	—	—	45	30
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	1	0	2	11:37	—	—	50	43

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark	—	13	12	1	.923	1.10	30:38
Chad Johnson(start)	L	15	13	2	.867	1.75	26:04

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.