Arizona Coyotes vs. Buffalo SabresOct 28, 2019

Final / SOMonday, Oct 28, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
ARI	1	1	0	0	1	3		ARI	13	15	15	1	44
BUF	2	0	0	0	0	2		BUF	11	9	6	0	26

: ARI 65BUF 51
: ARI 3.96BUF 3.42
PP goals: ARI 1BUF 1
Hits: ARI 21BUF 10
Blocks: ARI 7BUF 8
PIM: ARI 4BUF 4
: ARI 45%BUF 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Arizona Coyotes edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (SO)

Arizona Coyotes beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in a shootout at BUF. Conor Garland (ARI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 1:30 together.

Points
Conor Garland had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 12:43.Garland
Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:08.Skinner
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 1:30 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 44 shots and stopped 42 (.955), +14 against a season average of 29.6; the overtime loss.Hutton
Usage
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI) played 28:43, +5:48 up on his 22:55 season average over 65 games.Ekman-Larsson
Luck
ARI scored 2 goals on 3.96 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Ilya Lyubushkin (ARI) played 10:00, −4:17 down on his 14:17 season average over 50 games.Lyubushkin
Usage
Clayton Keller (ARI) played 20:20, +4:06 up on his 16:14 season average over 69 games.Keller

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← ARI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
ARI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · BUF 51 · ARI 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
ARI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
ARI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: ARI 39% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

ARI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	ARI	BUF
	67	49
	3.57	2.58
	3.47	2.47
	14	8
	4	0
	12	11
	−0.053	+0.054
	39%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Arizona Coyotes

L1Soderberg – Fischer – Crouse
10:2665% CF
L2Schmaltz – Garland – Hayton
9:4847% CF
L3Grabner – Stepan – Hinostroza
9:0232% CF
L4Kessel – Dvorak – Keller
7:2967% CF
D1Demers – Ekman-Larsson
22:0868% CF
D2Goligoski – Chychrun
20:1045% CF
D3Ness – Lyubushkin
9:4252% CF

PP1Kessel – Stepan – Ekman-Larsson – Dvorak – Keller
2:09100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Goligoski – Schmaltz – Garland – Chychrun
1:15100% CF
PK1FGrabner – Stepan
1:11
PK2FSoderberg – Crouse
0:21
PK1DDemers – Ekman-Larsson
1:04
PK2DGoligoski – Chychrun
0:50

Current ARI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
14:5957% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
11:4933% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:1353% CF
L4Sheary – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
8:3521% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
16:5235% CF
D2Miller – Gilmour
16:2142% CF
D3Jokiharju – Dahlin
12:5442% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
1:30100% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
0:25
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:47
PK2FSobotka – Johansson
1:16
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:08
PK2DGilmour – Jokiharju
1:16

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:31
BUFJack EichelPP (Jeff Skinner, Sam Reinhart)slap0.08 xG
ARI: Grabner, Demers, Stepan, Ekman-LarssonBUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
ARI 0 – 1 BUF
11:16
BUFJeff Skinner (Marcus Johansson, Vladimir Sobotka)wrist0.11 xG
ARI: Kessel, Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Dvorak, KellerBUF: Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen
ARI 0 – 2 BUF
18:50
ARIConor Garland (Barrett Hayton, Oliver Ekman-Larsson)snap0.02 xG
ARI: Demers, Ekman-Larsson, Schmaltz, Garland, HaytonBUF: Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel
ARI 1 – 2 BUF

2nd period

16:32
ARICarl SoderbergPP (Conor Garland, Alex Goligoski)deflected0.12 xG
ARI: Soderberg, Goligoski, Schmaltz, Garland, ChychrunBUF: Sobotka, Johansson, Gilmour, Jokiharju
ARI 2 – 2 BUF

Decided in the shootout: ARI 3 – 2 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Arizona Coyotes

ARI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Carl Soderberg C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.35	0	0	0	17:00	—	—	71	63
Lawson Crouse L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	3	0	2	14:07	—	—	68	61
Christian Fischer R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	65	57
Nick Schmaltz C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.55	0	1	0	17:00	—	—	60	78
Barrett Hayton C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.31	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	52	61
Conor Garland R	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.33	0	0	0	12:43	—	—	48	59
Derek Stepan C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	3	1	0	19:06	—	—	32	28
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	0	2	14:57	—	—	46	50
Michael Grabner L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	0	13:10	—	—	42	59
Clayton Keller R	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.43	1	0	0	20:20	—	—	71	50
Phil Kessel R	L4	0	0	0	-1	6	0.53	0	1	0	18:02	—	—	69	48
Christian Dvorak C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	0	0	0	16:50	—	—	76	80
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	1	0	0	28:43	—	—	69	58
Jason Demers D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	24:38	—	—	68	58
Alex Goligoski D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	25:15	—	—	47	62
Jakob Chychrun D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	2	0	23:37	—	—	47	62
Aaron Ness D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	10:38	—	—	54	51
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	3	0	0	10:00	—	—	54	51

ARI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	26	24	2	.923	3.42	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.34	0	0	0	22:56	—	—	55	58
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.46	1	1	0	20:58	—	—	54	53
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	1	0	0	17:40	—	—	57	55
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.36	0	0	0	18:08	—	—	26	28
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	25	43
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	29	28
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	1	1	0	15:14	—	—	42	37
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	50	61
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:55	—	—	50	52
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.68	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	24	10
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	12:23	—	—	26	11
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:28	—	—	19	8
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	25:18	—	—	31	38
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	2	0	21:40	—	—	43	48
John Gilmour D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	19:43	—	—	44	57
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	3	1	0	18:32	—	—	46	55
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	2	18:56	—	—	40	25
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	0	1	0	17:47	—	—	47	34

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	O	44	42	2	.955	3.96	64:52

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.