Calgary Flames vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 3, 2023

FinalTuesday, Jan 3, 2023· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CGY	0	1	1	2		CGY	14	11	10	35
WPG	0	1	2	3		WPG	10	6	9	25

: CGY 65WPG 58
: CGY 2.96WPG 2.04
PP goals: CGY 0WPG 0
Hits: CGY 20WPG 17
Blocks: CGY 17WPG 16
PIM: CGY 10WPG 6
: CGY 54%WPG 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Calgary Flames 3–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Calgary Flames 3–2 at home. Mikael Backlund (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Kyle Capobianco (WPG) played 4:04, −8:54 down on his 12:58 season average over 13 games.

Usage
Kyle Capobianco (WPG) played 4:04, −8:54 down on his 12:58 season average over 13 games.Capobianco
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +4 against a season average of 30.7; the win.Hellebuyck
New line
New look for CGY: Lewis–Ruzicka–Zohorna skated 5:56 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lewis Ruzicka Zohorna
Usage
Kevin Stenlund (WPG) played 18:24, +6:53 up on his 11:31 season average over 53 games.Stenlund
Usage
Kyle Connor (WPG) played 24:04, +3:35 up on his 20:29 season average over 81 games.Connor
Usage
Dylan Samberg (WPG) played 11:54, −3:04 down on his 14:58 season average over 62 games.Samberg
Usage
Michael Stone (CGY) played 9:30, −3:54 down on his 13:24 season average over 47 games.Stone
PP1
WPG's PP1 (Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois and Pionk) went scoreless in 4:42 of 5v4 time with 7 attempts.Scheifele Morrissey Connor Dubois Pionk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · WPG 58 · CGY 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 33% of the game, WPG 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	WPG
	56	53
	2.45	1.88
	2.26	1.84
	5	8
	2	7
	18	19
	+0.026	−0.026
	33%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Backlund – Coleman – Mangiapane
9:4563% CF
L2Lucic – Kadri – Huberdeau
9:4439% CF
L3Toffoli – Lindholm – Dube
9:3355% CF
L4Lewis – Ruzicka – Zohorna
5:5655% CF
D1Hanifin – Andersson
15:1454% CF
D2Tanev – Weegar
13:1346% CF
D3Stone – Zadorov
6:5575% CF

PP1Kadri – Toffoli – Huberdeau – Lindholm – Andersson
2:36100% CF
PP2Backlund – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Dube – Ruzicka
1:16
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
2:32
PK2FLewis – Coleman
1:55
PK1DTanev – Zadorov
3:51
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
1:53

Current CGY line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Lowry – Scheifele – Kuhlman
6:5337% CF
L2Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby – Barron
6:5073% CF
L3Gagner – Connor – Dubois
4:5953% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
13:0138% CF
D2Dillon – Pionk
10:4948% CF
D3Samberg – Heinola
5:1050% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor – Dubois – Pionk
4:4270% CF
PP2Gagner – Lowry – Capobianco – Stenlund – Heinola
2:2850% CF
PK1FLowry – Stenlund
1:21
PK2FBarron – Gustafsson
0:20
PK1DDeMelo – Samberg
1:22
PK2DMorrissey – Pionk
0:36

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

14:50
WPGBrenden Dillon (Dylan DeMelo, Mark Scheifele)deflected0.09 xG
CGY: Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Weegar, MangiapaneWPG: Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Scheifele, Kuhlman
CGY 0 – 1 WPG
19:00
CGYNikita Zadorov (Tyler Toffoli, Elias Lindholm)wrist0.09 xG
CGY: Toffoli, Lindholm, Zadorov, Andersson, DubeWPG: Gagner, DeMelo, Lowry, Scheifele, Morrissey
CGY 1 – 1 WPG

3rd period

10:22
WPGJosh Morrissey (Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois)wrist0.11 xG
CGY: Lewis, Weegar, Zadorov, Ruzicka, ZohornaWPG: Gagner, DeMelo, Morrissey, Connor, Dubois
CGY 1 – 2 WPG
11:58
CGYMikael Backlund (Andrew Mangiapane)backhand0.19 xG
CGY: Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, AnderssonWPG: DeMelo, Lowry, Scheifele, Morrissey, Reichel
CGY 2 – 2 WPG
14:20
WPGSam Gagner (Ville Heinola, Dylan Samberg)tip-in0.07 xG
CGY: Toffoli, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, DubeWPG: Gagner, Connor, Dubois, Samberg, Heinola
CGY 2 – 3 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	1	0	1	0	8	0.70	0	1	0	18:53	—	—	56	61
Andrew Mangiapane L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	2	0	16:34	—	—	50	56
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	65	73
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	0	1	2	17:00	—	—	52	52
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	36	43
Milan Lucic L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	1	0	12:07	—	—	48	51
Tyler Toffoli C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.42	0	0	2	17:55	—	—	37	34
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	0	1	0	17:53	—	—	50	47
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	5	1	0	15:50	—	—	50	45
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	11:30	—	—	72	82
Adam Ruzicka C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	9:47	—	—	63	75
Radim Zohorna L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:44	—	—	46	71
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	1	3	2	25:48	—	—	54	65
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	22:28	—	—	52	58
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	3	0	19:47	—	—	44	60
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	2	3	2	19:38	—	—	39	42
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	1	0	1	0	3	0.13	1	0	0	19:01	—	—	63	70
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	0	2	9:30	—	—	57	49

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	L	25	22	3	.880	2.04	59:18

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.18	0	2	0	21:15	—	—	34	20
Adam Lowry C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	3	1	0	18:01	—	—	33	20
Karson Kuhlman C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	0	1	0	12:14	—	—	39	31
Kevin Stenlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	2	1	0	18:24	—	—	67	58
Morgan Barron C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	13:52	—	—	62	67
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	2	1	0	12:05	—	—	52	70
Kyle Connor L	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.32	0	0	0	24:04	—	—	42	43
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	0	4	21:22	—	—	56	68
Sam Gagner C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	61	57
Josh Morrissey D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.21	2	0	0	23:57	—	—	33	28
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	4	0	22:20	—	—	47	48
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	0	23:41	—	—	50	36
Brenden Dillon D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	1	1	2	19:22	—	—	50	45
Ville Heinola D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	2	2	0	15:22	—	—	48	49
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	1	0	11:54	—	—	52	69
Kristian Reichel C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	9:55	—	—	36	10
David Gustafsson C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	7:51	—	—	56	63
Kyle Capobianco D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:04	—	—	100	100

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	2.96	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.