Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 10, 2023

Final / SOFriday, Nov 10, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	1	2	1	0	0	4		CGY	11	8	3	6	28
TOR	2	2	0	0	1	5		TOR	8	14	11	3	36

: CGY 57TOR 82
: CGY 2.33TOR 4.82
PP goals: CGY 0TOR 1
Hits: CGY 25TOR 29
Blocks: CGY 19TOR 15
PIM: CGY 4TOR 6
: CGY 41%TOR 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Calgary Flames 5–4 (SO)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Calgary Flames 5–4 in a shootout at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Dan Vladar (CGY) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +7 against a season average of 28.7; the overtime loss.

Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 7 shots in 20:46.Nylander
Goalie
Dan Vladar (CGY) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +7 against a season average of 28.7; the overtime loss.Vladar
New line
New look for CGY: Greer–Dube–Ruzicka skated 6:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greer Dube Ruzicka
Usage
Rasmus Andersson (CGY) played 28:27, +4:41 up on his 23:46 season average over 77 games.Andersson
Luck
CGY scored 4 goals on 2.33 expected goals (57 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Connor Zary (CGY) played 18:23, +3:10 up on his 15:13 season average over 62 games.Zary
Usage
Matthew Knies (TOR) played 18:41, +5:04 up on his 13:37 season average over 79 games.Knies
Usage
David Kampf (TOR) played 9:39, −3:53 down on his 13:32 season average over 77 games.Kampf

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · TOR 82 · CGY 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 22% of the game, TOR 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	TOR
	58	84
	1.91	4.85
	1.84	4.36
	10	17
	8	8
	25	16
	−0.032	+0.032
	22%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Huberdeau – Lindholm – Mangiapane
12:0352% CF
L2Kadri – Sharangovich – Zary
12:0238% CF
L3Backlund – Coleman – Pospisil
10:5040% CF
L4Greer – Dube – Ruzicka
6:1625% CF
D1Weegar – Andersson
20:0824% CF
D2Tanev – Hanifin
16:3539% CF
D3Zadorov – DeSimone
11:1158% CF

PP1Kadri – Lindholm – Andersson – Ruzicka – Zary
2:1733% CF
PP2Backlund – Huberdeau – Weegar – Mangiapane – Hanifin
1:35100% CF
PK1FBacklund – Lindholm
0:30
PK2FColeman – Sharangovich
0:11
PK1DTanev – Zadorov
0:30
PK2DWeegar – Andersson
0:11

Current CGY line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
13:1450% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
12:5077% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
9:2865% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Kampf
2:5243% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
19:5653% CF
D2Giordano – McCabe
15:2456% CF
D3Lagesson – Benoit
13:0468% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:48100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:19
PK2FJarnkrok – Gregor
0:33
PK1DGiordano – McCabe
1:28
PK2DLagesson – Benoit
1:16

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: CGY 4 – 5 TOR.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.78	2	0	0	22:01	—	—	49	33
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	19:07	—	—	51	32
Andrew Mangiapane L	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.24	4	1	0	18:04	—	—	51	27
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	3	0	2	19:22	—	—	35	25
Connor Zary C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.38	1	1	0	18:23	—	—	39	29
Yegor Sharangovich C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	2	0	16:12	—	—	34	22
Mikael Backlund C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	20:06	—	—	35	23
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	38	24
Martin Pospisil C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	6	0	0	12:50	—	—	44	23
Adam Ruzicka C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:23	—	—	25	17
A.J. Greer L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	2	1	2	9:19	—	—	33	36
Dillon Dube C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:04	—	—	36	55
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	1	4	0	28:27	—	—	28	19
MacKenzie Weegar D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	2	2	0	23:35	—	—	26	29
Noah Hanifin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	0	0	22:58	—	—	42	13
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	2	0	20:34	—	—	44	16
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	2	1	0	15:33	—	—	61	60
Nick DeSimone D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	1	0	11:55	—	—	58	56

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dan Vladar(start)	O	36	32	4	.889	4.82	65:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.77	2	0	0	22:28	—	—	54	61
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.47	2	2	0	22:11	—	—	49	60
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	0	18:41	—	—	53	60
William Nylander R	L2	2	1	3	+2	7	0.97	0	1	0	20:46	—	—	65	88
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	5	1.07	1	1	0	19:09	—	—	68	89
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	4	0	0	17:16	—	—	72	91
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	2	0	0	17:02	—	—	69	86
Max Domi C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	70	98
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.24	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	64	93
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:39	—	—	50	35
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	7:58	—	—	44	30
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.16	0	0	0	4:33	—	—	33	32
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	6	0.49	1	1	0	26:13	—	—	54	66
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	24:38	—	—	58	75
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	3	1	0	20:34	—	—	62	74
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	3	5	2	20:15	—	—	58	67
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	1	2	17:00	—	—	65	89
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	5	2	0	15:54	—	—	65	70

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	2.33	65:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

William Nylander (TOR PP) 1st 3:01 · unassisted · Odd-man rush · loose puck · 4-on-2 at the blue line · 17.1 mph shot · 3.4 s from entry to goal.

William Nylander · 1st 3:01 · TOR PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 17.1 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 3.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Martin Pospisil · 3rd 3:22 · CGY

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 1.8 mph
Distance: 6 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Connor Zary · 1st 7:02 · CGY

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 11.9 mph
Distance: 31 ft
Entry to goal: 4.6 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 8:18 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.0 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 2nd 1:06 · TOR SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 73.9 mph
Distance: 30 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 2nd 4:45 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 37.5 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 5:33 · CGY

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 64.9 mph
Distance: 46 ft
Entry to goal: 6.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

A.J. Greer · 2nd 12:22 · CGY

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 60.1 mph
Distance: 32 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 10, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Calgary Flames 5–4 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Calgary Flames

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Calgary Flames

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

William Nylander · 1st 3:01 · TOR PP

Martin Pospisil · 3rd 3:22 · CGY

Connor Zary · 1st 7:02 · CGY

Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 8:18 · TOR

William Nylander · 2nd 1:06 · TOR SH

John Tavares · 2nd 4:45 · TOR

Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 5:33 · CGY

A.J. Greer · 2nd 12:22 · CGY