Calgary Flames vs. Buffalo SabresNov 27, 2019

Final / OTWednesday, Nov 27, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	1	0	1	1	3		CGY	8	8	12	1	29
BUF	0	1	1	0	2		BUF	9	10	16	1	36

: CGY 48BUF 65
: CGY 2.47BUF 3.79
PP goals: CGY 0BUF 0
Hits: CGY 13BUF 9
Blocks: CGY 12BUF 10
PIM: CGY 4BUF 4
: CGY 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Calgary Flames beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in overtime at BUF. Matthew Tkachuk (CGY) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Larsson–Skinner–Sheary skated 13:35 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Matthew Tkachuk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:33.Tkachuk
Points
TJ Brodie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:04.Brodie
New line
New look for BUF: Larsson–Skinner–Sheary skated 13:35 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Larsson Skinner Sheary
Goalie
David Rittich (CGY) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +5 against a season average of 30.8; the win.Rittich
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Dea–Asplund skated 5:21 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Dea Asplund
New line
New look for BUF: Johansson–Vesey–Mittelstadt skated 10:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansson Vesey Mittelstadt
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.79 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Andrew Mangiapane (CGY) played 17:55, +4:17 up on his 13:38 season average over 67 games.Mangiapane

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · BUF 65 · CGY 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 25% of the game, BUF 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	BUF
	52	62
	2.69	2.93
	2.64	2.59
	12	11
	4	6
	11	13
	+0.012	−0.012
	25%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Backlund – Mangiapane – Tkachuk
14:4539% CF
L2Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan
11:4153% CF
L3Lucic – Ryan – Dube
9:0952% CF
L4Frolik – Rieder – Jankowski
8:0638% CF
D1Hanifin – Andersson
18:4447% CF
D2Giordano – Brodie
18:2357% CF
D3Stone – Kylington
10:1532% CF

PP1Lucic – Backlund – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Ryan
2:16100% CF
PP2Giordano – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Monahan – Tkachuk
1:440% CF
PK1FJankowski – Lindholm
2:25
PK2FRieder – Ryan
1:20
PK1DGiordano – Stone
1:57
PK2DHanifin – Andersson
1:21

Current CGY line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
14:5150% CF
L2Larsson – Skinner – Sheary
13:3553% CF
L3Johansson – Vesey – Mittelstadt
10:4152% CF
L4Girgensons – Dea – Asplund
5:2175% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
16:4153% CF
D2McCabe – Jokiharju
15:3169% CF
D3Bogosian – Montour
13:2738% CF

PP1Johansson – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
2:44100% CF
PP2Skinner – Sheary – Montour – Eichel – Mittelstadt
1:0675% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:17
PK2FVesey – Asplund
1:33
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
2:29
PK2DBogosian – McCabe
1:21

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.91	0	1	0	19:41	—	—	45	50
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.08	1	0	0	19:33	—	—	45	50
Andrew Mangiapane L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	2	1	0	17:55	—	—	39	43
Elias Lindholm C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	50	45
Sean Monahan C	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	45	42
Johnny Gaudreau L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	53	45
Derek Ryan C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.14	0	1	0	16:11	—	—	48	43
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	1	0	14:31	—	—	48	47
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	10:58	—	—	48	49
Michael Frolik R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	52	60
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	11:15	—	—	39	50
Tobias Rieder L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	10:40	—	—	33	44
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	25:32	—	—	42	56
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	21:55	—	—	45	56
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.02	0	0	0	23:44	—	—	57	61
TJ Brodie D	D2	1	1	2	+3	1	0.01	2	2	2	21:04	—	—	53	60
Michael Stone D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	2	0	15:19	—	—	31	10
Oliver Kylington D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:15	—	—	32	10

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Rittich(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.79	61:17

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.64	0	1	2	22:55	—	—	56	45
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.37	0	0	0	20:38	—	—	52	41
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	19:22	—	—	52	45
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.64	0	0	0	17:43	—	—	58	59
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	51	50
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	1	0	0	16:06	—	—	56	60
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	2	17:42	—	—	52	56
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	13:34	—	—	52	57
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	1	2	0	13:12	—	—	52	48
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	1	0	0	9:55	—	—	67	52
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.39	1	0	0	8:40	—	—	71	52
Jean-Sebastien Dea C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:53	—	—	75	49
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	2	0	0	24:35	—	—	53	45
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	0	19:55	—	—	53	44
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	1	0	19:17	—	—	65	65
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	18:54	—	—	69	74
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	1	0	17:57	—	—	42	38
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:35	—	—	38	33

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	O	29	26	3	.897	2.47	60:49

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Calgary Flames vs. Buffalo SabresNov 27, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Calgary Flames edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Calgary Flames

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Calgary Flames

Buffalo Sabres