Calgary Flames vs. Minnesota WildMar 7, 2023

Final / SOTuesday, Mar 7, 2023· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CGY	0	0	0	0	1	1		CGY	10	7	6	3	26
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0		MIN	12	10	16	2	40

: CGY 58MIN 66
: CGY 2.30MIN 3.64
PP goals: CGY 0MIN 0
Hits: CGY 23MIN 18
Blocks: CGY 10MIN 23
PIM: CGY 12MIN 8
: CGY 52%MIN 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Calgary Flames edge Minnesota Wild 1–0 (SO)

Calgary Flames beat Minnesota Wild 1–0 in a shootout at MIN. MIN scored 0 goals on 3.64 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
MIN scored 0 goals on 3.64 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Jacob Markstrom (CGY) faced 40 shots and stopped 40 (.1000), +14 against a season average of 26.1; the win.Markstrom
New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Sundqvist–Gaudreau skated 8:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (20% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Sundqvist Gaudreau
Luck
CGY scored 0 goals on 2.30 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Troy Stecher (CGY) played 11:00, −5:26 down on his 16:26 season average over 80 games.Stecher
Usage
Mathew Dumba (MIN) played 17:02, −4:18 down on his 21:20 season average over 78 games.Dumba
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (CGY) played 14:49, −3:55 down on his 18:44 season average over 81 games.Zadorov
Usage
Mikael Backlund (CGY) played 21:24, +3:17 up on his 18:07 season average over 81 games.Backlund

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CGY attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
CGY
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · MIN 66 · CGY 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
CGY
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
CGY pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CGY 23% of the game, MIN 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

CGY

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CGY	MIN
	49	55
	1.65	2.88
	1.63	2.75
	6	14
	6	8
	11	5
	+0.027	−0.027
	23%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Calgary Flames

L1Backlund – Coleman – Mangiapane
10:1441% CF
L2Toffoli – Lindholm – Pelletier
9:3955% CF
L3Kadri – Huberdeau – Ritchie
9:2871% CF
L4Lewis – Lucic – Dube
8:0440% CF
D1Tanev – Hanifin
14:5852% CF
D2Weegar – Andersson
14:4639% CF
D3Zadorov – Stecher
9:2444% CF

PP1Kadri – Huberdeau – Ritchie – Mangiapane – Hanifin
2:100% CF
PP2Backlund – Toffoli – Lindholm – Andersson – Pelletier
1:4775% CF
PK1FLewis – Coleman
2:22
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
1:26
PK1DTanev – Hanifin
2:23
PK2DWeegar – Andersson
1:37

Current CGY line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
9:5165% CF
L2Foligno – Sundqvist – Gaudreau
8:1020% CF
L3Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy
7:3371% CF
L4Reaves – Shaw – Dewar
6:3160% CF
D1Merrill – Klingberg
13:0743% CF
D2Goligoski – Dumba
12:3162% CF
D3Spurgeon – Middleton
12:1647% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Klingberg – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
4:2382% CF
PP2Spurgeon – Johansson – Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau
2:030% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
1:24
PK2FShaw – Dewar
0:56
PK1DSpurgeon – Middleton
2:45
PK2DMerrill – Dumba
0:46

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: CGY 1 – 0 MIN.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikael Backlund C	L1	4	0.37	1	3	0	21:24	—	—	30	10
Andrew Mangiapane L	L1	0	0.15	0	0	2	17:36	—	—	33	10
Blake Coleman L	L1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:04	—	—	35	16
Elias Lindholm C	L2	3	0.39	0	0	0	18:20	—	—	52	39
Tyler Toffoli C	L2	3	0.23	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	52	39
Jakob Pelletier L	L2	2	0.15	0	0	2	14:02	—	—	52	39
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L3	3	0.15	1	0	0	16:35	—	—	58	51
Nazem Kadri C	L3	1	0.27	1	0	0	14:47	—	—	70	76
Nick Ritchie L	L3	2	0.12	0	0	4	13:26	—	—	67	75
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:45	—	—	39	29
Dillon Dube C	L4	1	0.23	1	1	0	12:02	—	—	33	29
Milan Lucic L	L4	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:02	—	—	32	28
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	0.01	5	2	2	23:39	—	—	50	46
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0.03	2	1	0	22:48	—	—	51	43
Rasmus Andersson D	D2	0	0.00	0	3	0	25:26	—	—	43	42
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	4	0.09	1	0	0	23:38	—	—	43	33
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	2	0.11	3	0	0	14:49	—	—	48	30
Troy Stecher D	D3	1	0.01	1	0	2	11:00	—	—	45	18

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	W	40	40	0	.1000	3.64	65:00

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	6	0.59	0	0	0	23:18	—	—	60	65
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	3	0.37	0	0	0	21:11	—	—	61	70
Ryan Hartman R	L1	2	0.19	3	2	4	18:53	—	—	58	62
Frederick Gaudreau C	L2	2	0.01	1	1	0	18:57	—	—	29	43
Marcus Foligno L	L2	1	0.27	2	2	2	12:56	—	—	23	27
Oskar Sundqvist C	L2	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:46	—	—	29	46
Matt Boldy L	L3	5	0.54	0	0	0	20:19	—	—	57	63
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	1	0.20	3	1	0	19:47	—	—	57	61
Marcus Johansson L	L3	3	0.26	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	60	68
Mason Shaw C	L4	1	0.17	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	61	80
Connor Dewar C	L4	1	0.15	1	3	0	8:30	—	—	56	95
Ryan Reaves R	L4	2	0.20	5	0	0	7:59	—	—	61	80
John Klingberg D	D1	3	0.12	2	1	0	23:20	—	—	48	59
Jon Merrill D	D1	0	0.00	0	3	0	15:37	—	—	48	65
Alex Goligoski D	D2	2	0.12	0	1	0	18:50	—	—	64	67
Mathew Dumba D	D2	1	0.04	0	1	2	17:02	—	—	64	64
Jared Spurgeon D	D3	3	0.06	0	7	0	23:09	—	—	47	68
Jake Middleton D	D3	3	0.30	0	1	0	19:01	—	—	47	60

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Filip Gustavsson(start)	O	26	26	0	.1000	2.30	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.