Carolina Hurricanes vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 2, 2017

FinalThursday, Nov 2, 2017· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	1	0	3		CAR	22	16	22	60
COL	2	3	0	5		COL	9	11	7	27

: CAR 90COL 42
: CAR 3.34COL 3.20
PP goals: CAR 0COL 1
Hits: CAR 15COL 21
Blocks: CAR 10COL 17
PIM: CAR 2COL 4
: CAR 54%COL 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–3

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–3 at home. Carl Soderberg (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 60 shots and stopped 57 (.950), +29 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Points
Carl Soderberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:56.Soderberg
Points
Patrik Nemeth had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:44.Nemeth
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:22.MacKinnon
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (COL) faced 60 shots and stopped 57 (.950), +29 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Varlamov
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon and Rantanen) scored 1 power-play goal on 1 attempt in 2:03 together.Barrie Landeskog Kerfoot MacKinnon Rantanen
Luck
COL scored 5 goals on 3.20 expected goals (42 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Erik Johnson (COL) played 29:22, +4:00 up on his 25:22 season average over 61 games.Johnson
Usage
Gabriel Landeskog (COL) played 23:24, +3:18 up on his 20:06 season average over 77 games.Landeskog

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · COL 42 · CAR 90

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 48% of the game, COL 14%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	COL
	98	44
	3.71	1.83
	3.61	1.82
	17	11
	7	8
	18	11
	+0.030	−0.029
	48%	14%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Rask – Teravainen
12:5862% CF
L2Staal – Lindholm – Aho
8:3467% CF
L3Kruger – Nordstrom – McGinn
7:0985% CF
L4Skinner – Jooris – Ryan
6:3871% CF
D1Slavin – van Riemsdyk
14:5059% CF
D2Faulk – Fleury
11:5379% CF
D3Dahlbeck – Hanifin
9:2260% CF

PP1Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:08100% CF
PP2Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
1:44100% CF
PK1FStaal – Lindholm
1:11
PK2FNordstrom – Ryan
0:48
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
2:07
PK2DFaulk – Fleury
0:48

Current CAR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
16:1527% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
11:0544% CF
L3Duchene – Grimaldi – Andrighetto
9:3716% CF
L4Yakupov – Kerfoot – Greer
6:3738% CF
D1Barrie – Nemeth
11:3127% CF
D2Johnson – Lindholm
9:4738% CF
D3Barberio – Mironov
4:3933% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Kerfoot – MacKinnon – Rantanen
2:03100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Johnson – Duchene – Yakupov – Andrighetto
0:4350% CF
PK1FComeau – Nieto
2:10
PK2FLandeskog – MacKinnon
0:51
PK1DBarberio – Mironov
1:23
PK2DJohnson – Nemeth
0:38

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:55
CARVictor Rask (Teuvo Teravainen, Justin Williams)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Rask, Teravainen, FleuryCOL: Duchene, Barrie, Nemeth, Grimaldi, Andrighetto
CAR 1 – 0 COL
7:31
COLCarl Soderberg (Erik Johnson, Mark Barberio)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Faulk, Skinner, Jooris, Fleury, RyanCOL: Soderberg, Johnson, Barberio, Duchene, Grimaldi, Andrighetto
CAR 1 – 1 COL
12:21
COLPatrik Nemeth (A.J. Greer, Nail Yakupov)slap0.02 xG
CAR: Dahlbeck, Jooris, Hanifin, Aho, RyanCOL: Barrie, Nemeth, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Greer
CAR 1 – 2 COL
15:14
CARElias Lindholm (Sebastian Aho, Haydn Fleury)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Staal, Faulk, Lindholm, Fleury, AhoCOL: Duchene, Grimaldi, Andrighetto, Lindholm, Mironov
CAR 2 – 2 COL

2nd period

11:25
COLBlake Comeau (Carl Soderberg, Matt Nieto)wrist0.20 xG
CAR: Williams, Dahlbeck, Rask, Teravainen, HanifinCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Barberio, Nieto
CAR 2 – 3 COL
14:03
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nathan MacKinnon, Patrik Nemeth)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Williams, Rask, Teravainen, Slavin, van RiemsdykCOL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
CAR 2 – 4 COL
14:58
COLMikko RantanenPP (Nathan MacKinnon, Tyson Barrie)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Kruger, Nordstrom, Slavin, van RiemsdykCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, MacKinnon, Rantanen
CAR 2 – 5 COL
17:34
CARDerek Ryan (Josh Jooris)backhand0.12 xG
CAR: Slavin, Jooris, van Riemsdyk, Aho, RyanCOL: Barberio, Duchene, Barrie, Grimaldi, Andrighetto
CAR 3 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.35	1	0	0	17:53	—	—	63	50
Victor Rask C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	17:51	—	—	62	47
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	16:39	—	—	58	40
Elias Lindholm C	L2	1	0	1	+1	7	0.60	1	0	0	19:58	—	—	67	72
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.31	1	0	0	19:17	—	—	74	83
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.25	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	67	85
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	9:01	—	—	85	48
Joakim Nordstrom C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	8:58	—	—	86	53
Marcus Kruger C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	8:37	—	—	73	45
Jeff Skinner L	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.23	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	75	91
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.21	0	0	0	16:42	—	—	73	91
Josh Jooris R	L4	0	1	1	-1	4	0.22	1	0	0	13:18	—	—	72	96
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	6	0.13	2	1	0	24:52	—	—	60	46
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	2	0	21:05	—	—	67	42
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.26	2	0	0	24:19	—	—	78	80
Haydn Fleury D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.03	1	3	0	15:04	—	—	76	81
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.16	0	2	0	17:53	—	—	67	76
Klas Dahlbeck D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.10	1	2	0	11:34	—	—	62	65

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	L	27	22	5	.815	1.73	58:23

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	23:24	—	—	31	42
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.90	1	0	0	21:22	—	—	31	42
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.89	1	0	0	20:31	—	—	27	32
Blake Comeau L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.32	1	1	0	16:56	—	—	41	39
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.25	1	0	2	16:56	—	—	42	43
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	15:03	—	—	45	40
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	22	28
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	0	2	0	11:58	—	—	15	11
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	2	0	11:09	—	—	16	11
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	1	0	0	10:10	—	—	38	43
Nail Yakupov R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:39	—	—	41	46
A.J. Greer L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	8:06	—	—	33	33
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.12	0	2	0	20:09	—	—	22	29
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.04	2	4	2	19:44	—	—	32	37
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.09	1	1	0	29:22	—	—	39	36
Anton Lindholm D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	0	16:53	—	—	37	34
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	29	30
Andrei Mironov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	4	2	0	11:18	—	—	28	29

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	60	57	3	.950	3.34	59:44

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.