Carolina Hurricanes vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 12, 2022

FinalSaturday, Nov 12, 2022· Ball Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	9	6	10	25
COL	2	0	2	4		COL	11	10	7	28

: CAR 55COL 39
: CAR 2.49COL 3.30
PP goals: CAR 0COL 1
Hits: CAR 11COL 13
Blocks: CAR 6COL 17
PIM: CAR 8COL 10
: CAR 62%COL 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–1 at home. Mikko Rantanen (COL) led the scoring with 1G 3A. COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:16 together.

Points
Mikko Rantanen had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 1 shot in 19:05.Rantanen
Points
Cale Makar had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 26:53.Makar
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:46.MacKinnon
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:16 together.Lehkonen MacKinnon Rantanen Rodrigues Makar
Usage
Kurtis MacDermid (COL) played 1:13, −7:17 down on his 8:30 season average over 43 games.MacDermid
New line
New look for COL: Megna–Hunt–Ranta skated 4:22 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Megna Hunt Ranta
Usage
Mikko Rantanen (COL) played 19:05, −3:11 down on his 22:16 season average over 81 games.Rantanen
Usage
Erik Johnson (COL) played 22:18, +5:08 up on his 17:10 season average over 62 games.Johnson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 94 of 94 attempts · COL 39 · CAR 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 32% of the game, COL 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	COL
	59	22
	2.73	1.29
	2.65	1.27
	12	7
	2	1
	13	7
	+0.090	−0.090
	32%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
9:2077% CF
L2Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
6:0785% CF
L3Noesen – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
4:4650% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Drury
3:2660% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
14:3673% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
11:1888% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
8:3142% CF

PP1Burns – Noesen – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
4:5560% CF
PP2Stastny – Fast – Pesce – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
2:50100% CF
PK1FStaal – Stepan
1:22
PK2FFast – Aho
0:47
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:38
PK2DSlavin – Chatfield
1:18

Current CAR line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:5732% CF
L2Cogliano – Compher – O'Connor
8:5629% CF
L3Rodrigues – Kaut – Newhook
7:4925% CF
L4Megna – Hunt – Ranta
4:2263% CF
D1Toews – Makar
11:0818% CF
D2Johnson – Manson
6:3725% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues – Makar
4:16100% CF
PP2Compher – MacDonald – Makar – Kaut – Newhook
0:43100% CF
PK1FCogliano – O'Connor
2:07
PK2FLehkonen – Rodrigues
1:06
PK1DToews – Makar
2:59
PK2DJohnson – Manson
0:33

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:29
COLCale MakarPP (Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Stepan, SlavinCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar
CAR 0 – 1 COL
17:51
COLCale Makar (Mikko Rantanen, Artturi Lehkonen)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Stastny, de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, DruryCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
CAR 0 – 2 COL

2nd period

13:55
CARJordan Staal (Jordan Martinook, Jesper Fast)wrist0.17 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, Skjei, MartinookCOL: Manson, Rodrigues, MacDonald, Kaut, Newhook
CAR 1 – 2 COL

3rd period

4:17
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mikko Rantanen, Devon Toews)snap0.09 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovCOL: MacKinnon, Rantanen, MacDonald, Makar, Ranta
CAR 1 – 3 COL
17:50
COLMikko RantanenENwrist0.43 xG
CAR: Burns, Fast, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, NecasCOL: Manson, Lehkonen, Toews, Rantanen, O'Connor
CAR 1 – 4 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	75	74
Jordan Staal C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	80	78
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.18	0	0	2	13:58	—	—	80	80
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	1	0	0	21:09	—	—	63	47
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.26	0	0	2	19:59	—	—	81	65
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	3	0	2	17:52	—	—	82	65
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	1	0	17:38	—	—	63	56
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	1	0	0	15:57	—	—	67	52
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	83	88
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	2	12:54	—	—	39	17
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:39	—	—	77	84
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	9:11	—	—	82	94
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.61	0	1	0	25:37	—	—	78	82
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	0	0	0	22:18	—	—	76	76
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	1	0	22:30	—	—	84	75
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	18:53	—	—	89	79
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:49	—	—	53	26
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:45	—	—	39	3

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	2.87	59:34

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.42	0	2	0	21:47	—	—	23	38
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.57	1	0	0	19:46	—	—	28	43
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	3	4	+3	1	0.43	2	1	0	19:05	—	—	32	50
Logan O'Connor R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	3	0	17:22	—	—	15	20
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	0	17:13	—	—	13	12
Andrew Cogliano C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	1	0	14:19	—	—	30	59
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.41	1	1	0	20:47	—	—	21	13
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:30	—	—	16	2
Martin Kaut R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	25	14
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	6:22	—	—	50	63
Sampo Ranta L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	2	6:08	—	—	55	49
Jayson Megna C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	5:55	—	—	46	63
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.26	0	2	0	28:03	—	—	24	32
Cale Makar D	D1	2	0	2	+2	2	0.27	0	1	2	26:53	—	—	28	41
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	3	0	22:18	—	—	33	56
Josh Manson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	4	21:29	—	—	15	10
Jacob MacDonald D	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	2	1	0	16:51	—	—	31	35
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1:13	—	—	67	100

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.49	59:55

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.