Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York IslandersApr 21, 2023

FinalPlayoffsFriday, Apr 21, 2023· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	0	1		CAR	15	9	7	31
NYI	0	1	4	5		NYI	7	13	17	37

: CAR 55NYI 66
: CAR 2.23NYI 4.22
PP goals: CAR 0NYI 1
Hits: CAR 28NYI 43
Blocks: CAR 14NYI 17
PIM: CAR 40NYI 38
: CAR 51%NYI 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders rout Carolina Hurricanes 5–1

New York Islanders beat Carolina Hurricanes 5–1 at home. Scott Mayfield (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Antti Raanta (CAR) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +9 against a season average of 27.5; the loss.

Points
Casey Cizikas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 12:45.Cizikas
Points
Kyle Palmieri had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:39.Palmieri
Points
Scott Mayfield had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:45.Mayfield
Points
Ryan Pulock had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:18.Pulock
Goalie
Antti Raanta (CAR) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +9 against a season average of 27.5; the loss.Raanta
New line
New look for CAR: Stastny–Stepan–Puljujarvi skated 6:05 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stastny Stepan Puljujarvi
Usage
Ryan Pulock (NYI) played 20:18, −3:49 down on his 24:07 season average over 5 games.Pulock
Usage
Sebastian Aho (NYI) played 12:45, −3:39 down on his 16:24 season average over 5 games.Aho

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · NYI 66 · CAR 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 24% of the game, NYI 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NYI
	54	55
	1.99	2.89
	1.89	2.64
	13	16
	1	2
	22	16
	−0.004	+0.004
	24%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Drury – Jarvis
10:3236% CF
L2Noesen – Necas – Kotkaniemi
9:5035% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Martinook
9:0372% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Puljujarvi
6:0564% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
14:2645% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
11:0852% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
10:2542% CF

PP1Burns – Noesen – Aho – Necas – Jarvis
3:24100% CF
PP2Skjei – Gostisbehere – Puljujarvi – Kotkaniemi – Drury
1:5167% CF
PK1FFast – Aho
3:47
PK2FStaal – Martinook
3:08
PK1DBurns – Slavin
5:12
PK2DSkjei – Pesce
3:44

Current CAR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
8:2755% CF
L2Lee – Horvat – Barzal
8:2465% CF
L3Parise – Pageau – Fasching
6:4036% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
5:1440% CF
D1Pelech – Dobson
9:2967% CF
D2Pulock – Romanov
9:0144% CF
D3Mayfield – Aho
4:5173% CF

PP1Lee – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
6:4291% CF
PP2Parise – Palmieri – Pageau – Engvall – Aho
2:25100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
3:13
PK2FParise – Pageau
2:17
PK1DMayfield – Pelech
2:00
PK2DDobson – Romanov
1:00

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:49
NYICasey Cizikas (Ryan Pulock)wrist0.06 xG
CAR: Burns, Stastny, Stepan, Chatfield, PuljujarviNYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Romanov
CAR 0 – 1 NYI
16:56
CARJesper FastSH (Jordan Staal)tip-in0.13 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Fast, SlavinNYI: Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson
CAR 1 – 1 NYI

3rd period

16:09
NYIKyle PalmieriPP (Sebastian Aho, Jean-Gabriel Pageau)tip-in0.11 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Martinook, SlavinNYI: Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Pulock, Aho
CAR 1 – 2 NYI
16:53
NYIMatt Martin (Kyle Palmieri, Scott Mayfield)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: Skjei, Gostisbehere, Aho, Drury, JarvisNYI: Martin, Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov
CAR 1 – 3 NYI
18:11
NYIScott MayfieldENwrist0.39 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Noesen, Gostisbehere, Aho, NecasNYI: Parise, Clutterbuck, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech
CAR 1 – 4 NYI
18:27
NYIAnders Lee (Casey Cizikas, Ryan Pulock)deflected0.07 xG
CAR: Stastny, Stepan, Gostisbehere, Chatfield, PuljujarviNYI: Cizikas, Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov
CAR 1 – 5 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.38	0	0	0	21:00	—	—	39	31
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	18:44	—	—	38	32
Jack Drury C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	10	15:42	—	—	30	28
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	32	17
Stefan Noesen R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	1	2	0	15:10	—	—	40	20
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	14:42	—	—	33	21
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	1	1	0	16:05	—	—	77	73
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	6	1	0	15:53	—	—	67	57
Jesper Fast R	L3	1	0	1	+1	5	0.61	4	0	0	15:30	—	—	75	72
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	0	1	0	9:15	—	—	67	67
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	2	8:10	—	—	69	67
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.13	1	0	0	6:59	—	—	67	74
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	5	1	2	22:41	—	—	48	29
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	2	10	22:39	—	—	50	34
Brent Burns D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	22:34	—	—	47	50
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	2	0	20:35	—	—	61	61
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	1	2	15:34	—	—	41	28
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	3	0	12	12:57	—	—	41	44

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	36	32	4	.889	3.58	59:18

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	0	0	18:47	—	—	55	75
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.28	4	2	2	15:39	—	—	58	68
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	55	79
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.17	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	54	49
Bo Horvat C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	0	0	18:16	—	—	62	54
Anders Lee L	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.83	2	1	10	17:31	—	—	56	49
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.36	4	0	0	19:19	—	—	43	42
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.31	5	1	0	16:08	—	—	38	41
Hudson Fasching R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	1	0	0	10:17	—	—	46	65
Casey Cizikas C	L4	1	1	2	+2	1	0.06	5	2	12	12:45	—	—	33	49
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:01	—	—	29	85
Matt Martin L	L4	1	0	1	+2	2	0.10	3	1	10	10:04	—	—	47	76
Adam Pelech D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	3	0	2	23:37	—	—	56	75
Noah Dobson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	0	2	0	20:23	—	—	63	64
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.03	3	4	0	20:18	—	—	28	34
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	+3	0	0.01	4	2	0	15:25	—	—	46	56
Scott Mayfield D	D3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.43	3	1	2	18:45	—	—	52	70
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:45	—	—	58	58

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.23	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.