Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York IslandersMar 19, 2024

FinalTuesday, Mar 19, 2024· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	3	0	1	4		CAR	14	11	9	34
NYI	0	0	1	1		NYI	8	11	12	31

: CAR 64NYI 52
: CAR 3.32NYI 2.39
PP goals: CAR 1NYI 0
Hits: CAR 15NYI 20
Blocks: CAR 13NYI 15
PIM: CAR 7NYI 7
: CAR 60%NYI 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 4–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat New York Islanders 4–1 at NYI. Jake Guentzel (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for NYI: Cizikas–Pageau–Fasching skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:25.Guentzel
Points
Seth Jarvis had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:02.Jarvis
Points
Brady Skjei had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:10.Skjei
New line
New look for NYI: Cizikas–Pageau–Fasching skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cizikas Pageau Fasching
New line
New look for NYI: Lee–Barzal–Holmstrom skated 8:55 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lee Barzal Holmstrom
Usage
Bo Horvat (NYI) played 16:28, −3:16 down on his 19:44 season average over 80 games.Horvat
Usage
Jake Guentzel (CAR) played 16:25, −3:40 down on his 20:05 season average over 66 games.Guentzel
Usage
Brendan Lemieux (CAR) played 12:07, +4:15 up on his 7:52 season average over 31 games.Lemieux

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · NYI 52 · CAR 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 44% of the game, NYI 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NYI
	68	59
	2.52	2.51
	2.35	2.27
	12	13
	6	2
	26	23
	+0.008	−0.007
	44%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Guentzel – Aho – Jarvis
12:5080% CF
L2Kuznetsov – Necas – Svechnikov
12:4441% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Martinook
10:4656% CF
L4Noesen – Lemieux – Kotkaniemi
8:5458% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
17:0254% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
16:3644% CF
D3Orlov – Chatfield
15:3558% CF

PP1Burns – Guentzel – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
1:04100% CF
PP2Kuznetsov – Noesen – Skjei – Necas – Kotkaniemi
0:32100% CF
PK1FFast – Kotkaniemi
0:46
PK2FStaal – Jarvis
0:37
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:11
PK2DBurns – Slavin
0:46

Current CAR line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat
12:0042% CF
L2Clutterbuck – Martin – MacLean
10:5425% CF
L3Lee – Barzal – Holmstrom
8:5560% CF
L4Cizikas – Pageau – Fasching
7:0043% CF
D1Reilly – Aho
14:4748% CF
D2Pulock – Romanov
14:1935% CF
D3Pelech – Dobson
12:1441% CF

PP1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
1:14
PP2Lee – Pageau – Reilly – Pulock – Holmstrom
0:33100% CF
PK1FPalmieri – Pageau
1:05
PK2FClutterbuck – Cizikas
0:39
PK1DPulock – Romanov
1:05
PK2DAho – Dobson
0:39

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:48
CARSeth Jarvis (Brady Skjei, Jake Guentzel)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, JarvisNYI: Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Barzal, Dobson
CAR 1 – 0 NYI
14:53
CARSeth Jarvis (Jake Guentzel, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Burns, Slavin, Guentzel, Aho, JarvisNYI: Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Dobson, Holmstrom
CAR 2 – 0 NYI
19:58
CARMartin NecasPP (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Brady Skjei)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Kuznetsov, Noesen, Skjei, Necas, KotkaniemiNYI: Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Aho, Dobson
CAR 3 – 0 NYI

3rd period

4:30
NYIKyle Palmieri (Brock Nelson, Bo Horvat)backhand0.38 xG
CAR: Burns, Kuznetsov, Slavin, Necas, SvechnikovNYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov
CAR 3 – 1 NYI
16:22
CARJake GuentzelEN (Sebastian Aho)wrist0.64 xG
CAR: Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, JarvisNYI: Palmieri, Cizikas, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson
CAR 4 – 1 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+3	2	0.07	0	0	0	17:23	—	—	77	84
Seth Jarvis R	L1	2	0	2	+3	4	0.68	2	0	0	17:02	—	—	79	83
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	2	3	+3	4	0.93	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	68	80
Martin Necas C	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.50	1	1	2	17:49	—	—	36	34
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	34	34
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	0	1	0	15:19	—	—	43	39
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	14:49	—	—	50	78
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	3	0	14:49	—	—	55	82
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	12:44	—	—	54	81
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	53	12
Brendan Lemieux L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	5	12:07	—	—	47	8
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:45	—	—	58	12
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	21:08	—	—	55	47
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	2	0	20:05	—	—	58	58
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.21	1	1	0	21:10	—	—	45	45
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.01	0	1	0	19:53	—	—	44	51
Dmitry Orlov D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	18:46	—	—	57	39
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	0	17:20	—	—	67	60

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	31	30	1	.968	2.39	60:00

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.57	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	50	52
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.19	1	0	0	17:03	—	—	44	42
Bo Horvat C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	16:28	—	—	46	45
Kyle MacLean C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	0	0	13:01	—	—	28	25
Cal Clutterbuck R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:51	—	—	28	25
Matt Martin L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	3	5	12:24	—	—	25	22
Mathew Barzal C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.41	1	0	0	18:42	—	—	53	70
Anders Lee L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	57	78
Simon Holmstrom R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	14:16	—	—	56	50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	2	0	16:15	—	—	41	43
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:36	—	—	46	10
Hudson Fasching R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	0	1	0	12:21	—	—	56	72
Sebastian Aho D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	20:02	—	—	42	39
Mike Reilly D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.10	0	1	0	18:28	—	—	59	63
Ryan Pulock D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	1	1	0	21:57	—	—	55	66
Alexander Romanov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	19:04	—	—	36	57
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	2	1	0	21:06	—	—	48	32
Adam Pelech D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	0	2	2	17:20	—	—	41	17

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	2.67	59:14

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Seth Jarvis (CAR) 1st 12:48 · assists Brady Skjei, Jake Guentzel · Forecheck turnover · 16.6 mph shot.

Seth Jarvis · 1st 12:48 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 16.6 mph
Distance: 9 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:53 · CAR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 27.4 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Entry to goal: 3.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel · 3rd 16:22 · CAR EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 49.8 mph
Distance: 77 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Martin Necas · 1st 19:58 · CAR PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 5-on-4
Passes: 1
Shot: 58.1 mph
Distance: 33 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 4:30 · NYI

Play: rebound
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.8 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.