Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 22, 2020

FinalSaturday, Feb 22, 2020· Scotiabank Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	4	2	6		CAR	17	21	9	47
TOR	1	2	0	3		TOR	11	8	7	26

: CAR 76TOR 49
: CAR 5.20TOR 2.92
PP goals: CAR 2TOR 0
Hits: CAR 16TOR 15
Blocks: CAR 12TOR 12
PIM: CAR 15TOR 15
: CAR 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at TOR. Warren Foegele (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. CAR's first power-play unit (Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Wallmark and Necas) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:40 together.

Points
Warren Foegele had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 12:42.Foegele
Points
Martin Necas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 13:57.Necas
Points
Kasperi Kapanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:56.Kapanen
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:12.Barrie
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Wallmark and Necas) scored 1 power-play goal on 8 attempts in 3:40 together.Gardiner Haula Niederreiter Wallmark Necas
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 47 shots and stopped 41 (.872), +17 against a season average of 30.3; the loss.Andersen
Usage
Tyson Barrie (TOR) played 15:12, −6:46 down on his 21:58 season average over 69 games.Barrie
Usage
Brett Pesce (CAR) played 13:04, −8:58 down on his 22:02 season average over 60 games.Pesce

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · TOR 49 · CAR 76

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 49% of the game, TOR 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	58	53
	3.34	2.92
	3.20	2.74
	20	16
	7	6
	26	16
	−0.051	+0.051
	49%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
12:0650% CF
L2Williams – Staal – Foegele
9:4061% CF
L3Haula – Niederreiter – Necas
9:1755% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Wallmark
7:0667% CF
D1Edmundson – Fleury
9:5463% CF
D2Gardiner – van Riemsdyk
9:0948% CF
D3Slavin – Pesce
8:3247% CF

PP1Gardiner – Haula – Niederreiter – Wallmark – Necas
3:40100% CF
PP2Williams – Teravainen – Slavin – Aho – Svechnikov
3:05100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
2:27
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:53
PK1DEdmundson – Slavin
2:04
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
1:29

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
10:1269% CF
L2Kerfoot – Kapanen – Engvall
5:3050% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Malgin
5:1420% CF
L4Spezza – Clifford – Gauthier
4:0329% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
10:5845% CF
D2Marincin – Dermott
8:2936% CF
D3Barrie – Sandin
7:1236% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Sandin
3:580% CF
PP2Spezza – Hyman – Kerfoot – Malgin – Sandin
2:49100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
2:34
PK2FKapanen – Engvall
1:04
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
4:38
PK2DMarincin – Dermott
1:42

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:24
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Jake Muzzin, Kasperi Kapanen)backhand0.02 xG
CAR: Haula, Niederreiter, Teravainen, Slavin, PesceTOR: Muzzin, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin
CAR 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

5:46
CARLucas Wallmark (Brock McGinn)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, WallmarkTOR: Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin
CAR 1 – 1 TOR
9:53
CARNino NiederreiterPP (Martin Necas, Jake Gardiner)slap0.12 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Wallmark, NecasTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen
CAR 2 – 1 TOR
10:49
CARWarren Foegele (Joel Edmundson, Jordan Staal)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Edmundson, Fleury, FoegeleTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin
CAR 3 – 1 TOR
13:17
CARTeuvo TeravainenPP (Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovTOR: Marincin, Gauthier, Kapanen, Dermott
CAR 4 – 1 TOR
13:36
TORJohn Tavares (Tyson Barrie, William Nylander)wrist0.05 xG
CAR: Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, FoegeleTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin
CAR 4 – 2 TOR
15:10
TORPierre Engvall (Tyson Barrie, Kasperi Kapanen)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark, NecasTOR: Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin
CAR 4 – 3 TOR

3rd period

0:53
CARWarren Foegelewrist0.03 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, FoegeleTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Malgin
CAR 5 – 3 TOR
3:44
CARMartin Necaswrist0.07 xG
CAR: Haula, Niederreiter, Slavin, Fleury, NecasTOR: Tavares, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin
CAR 6 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.28	0	0	0	20:43	—	—	46	50
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	0	7	1.56	0	0	0	19:41	—	—	50	51
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	1	0	2	17:24	—	—	48	50
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	56	37
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.29	1	0	2	14:12	—	—	60	43
Warren Foegele L	L2	2	0	2	+1	6	0.26	0	0	2	12:42	—	—	62	51
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.56	1	1	2	15:00	—	—	48	53
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.48	1	0	2	14:14	—	—	48	50
Martin Necas C	L3	1	1	2	0	4	0.34	2	0	0	13:57	—	—	46	56
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	1	0	1	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	12:06	—	—	50	74
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.11	3	0	0	11:20	—	—	64	73
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	1	2	0	10:55	—	—	53	78
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	2	0	5	18:59	—	—	59	61
Haydn Fleury D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.17	1	1	0	18:40	—	—	58	61
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.37	0	3	0	17:53	—	—	50	51
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	17:02	—	—	50	53
Jaccob Slavin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	2	0	27:55	—	—	52	55
Brett Pesce D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:04	—	—	42	34

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
David Ayres	W	10	8	2	.800	1.27	28:41
Petr Mrazek	—	15	14	1	.933	1.56	25:09
James Reimer(start)	—	1	1	0	.1000	0.08	6:10

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.56	2	1	0	20:27	—	—	67	66
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	20:11	—	—	70	76
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.22	0	0	2	19:44	—	—	58	50
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.56	2	0	2	15:56	—	—	58	48
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	0	0	2	13:39	—	—	44	33
Pierre Engvall L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	0	1	0	12:21	—	—	61	60
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.05	1	0	0	17:27	—	—	28	38
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	-2	0	0.20	0	0	2	17:16	—	—	29	39
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.09	1	1	0	10:28	—	—	14	21
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	53	25
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:41	—	—	35	37
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	7	9:12	—	—	43	46
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	23:29	—	—	58	53
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.15	2	6	0	22:55	—	—	55	43
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:25	—	—	44	47
Martin Marincin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:03	—	—	45	56
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:48	—	—	42	33
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	2	2	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:12	—	—	44	48

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	47	41	6	.872	5.20	59:36

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.