Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 7, 2022

Final / OTMonday, Feb 7, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	1	0	2	0	3		CAR	13	7	9	2	31
TOR	0	2	1	1	4		TOR	9	10	9	4	32

: CAR 58TOR 54
: CAR 2.73TOR 3.08
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 1
Hits: CAR 25TOR 18
Blocks: CAR 11TOR 17
PIM: CAR 13TOR 7
: CAR 46%TOR 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 in overtime at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:32 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 21:17.Marner
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 20:24.Matthews
Points
Tony DeAngelo had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:10.DeAngelo
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:51.Tavares
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:35.Rielly
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:32 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–Aho–Necas skated 12:06 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (69.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook Aho Necas
New line
New look for CAR: Stepan–Leivo–Lorentz skated 6:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (91.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stepan Leivo Lorentz

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · TOR 54 · CAR 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 27% of the game, TOR 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	65	48
	2.84	2.50
	2.73	2.46
	10	7
	7	6
	24	14
	−0.065	+0.065
	27%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Trocheck – Svechnikov – Jarvis
13:0638% CF
L2Staal – Niederreiter – Fast
12:5965% CF
L3Martinook – Aho – Necas
12:0670% CF
L4Stepan – Leivo – Lorentz
6:1992% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
20:5251% CF
D2Slavin – DeAngelo
17:4161% CF
D3Cole – Smith
10:4662% CF

PP1Niederreiter – Skjei – Pesce – Aho – Lorentz
0:10
PK1FAho – Necas
1:49
PK2FStaal – Trocheck
1:40
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:39
PK2DCole – Slavin
2:03

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
14:1648% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
12:1841% CF
L3Kase – Kampf – Mikheyev
11:4218% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Engvall
6:0853% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
15:5133% CF
D2Holl – Sandin
15:3631% CF
D3Dermott – Liljegren
11:4752% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
3:3278% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Kase – Sandin – Mikheyev
1:15
PK1FKase – Kampf
0:14
PK1DBrodie – Holl
0:14

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:08
CARNino Niederreiter (Ian Cole, Martin Necas)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Staal, Cole, Smith, Niederreiter, FastTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin
CAR 1 – 0 TOR

2nd period

16:16
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, John Tavares)tip-in0.05 xG
CAR: Skjei, Pesce, Aho, NecasTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
CAR 1 – 1 TOR
19:37
TORAuston Matthews (Morgan Rielly, Mitch Marner)slap0.12 xG
CAR: Trocheck, Slavin, DeAngelo, Svechnikov, JarvisTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
CAR 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

0:08
CARTony DeAngelo (Jesper Fast, Jaccob Slavin)wrist0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Slavin, DeAngeloTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kase, Kampf, Mikheyev
CAR 2 – 2 TOR
9:23
CARDerek Stepan (Tony DeAngelo, Steven Lorentz)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: Stepan, Leivo, Slavin, DeAngelo, LorentzTOR: Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin
CAR 3 – 2 TOR
14:12
TORMitch Marner (Timothy Liljegren)snap0.02 xG
CAR: Cole, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, NecasTOR: Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
CAR 3 – 3 TOR

OT period

2:51
TORMitch Marner (Morgan Rielly, John Tavares)wrist0.04 xG
CAR: DeAngelo, Svechnikov, JarvisTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Marner
CAR 3 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	2	0	2	19:05	—	—	33	29
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.24	0	1	0	16:11	—	—	32	30
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	3	1	0	15:51	—	—	33	35
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.13	3	1	0	17:22	—	—	64	50
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.23	2	0	0	16:43	—	—	57	49
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.28	0	1	0	15:47	—	—	55	51
Martin Necas C	L3	0	1	1	-1	5	0.38	1	0	0	19:55	—	—	63	62
Sebastian Aho C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.47	0	0	2	18:47	—	—	69	70
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:32	—	—	62	66
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	4	0	0	9:41	—	—	71	74
Derek Stepan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	1	0	0	9:08	—	—	65	67
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.21	1	0	0	6:47	—	—	92	96
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	26:50	—	—	53	44
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	1	2	0	25:19	—	—	51	44
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	1	2	0	23:40	—	—	59	62
Tony DeAngelo D	D2	1	1	2	0	4	0.18	0	1	0	21:10	—	—	63	63
Ian Cole D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	0	2	14:54	—	—	59	55
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	7	11:01	—	—	64	58

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	O	32	28	4	.875	3.08	62:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	1	3	+3	5	0.26	0	0	0	21:17	—	—	46	56
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	+2	7	0.53	1	0	0	20:24	—	—	48	59
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.27	1	1	0	17:50	—	—	43	53
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	-2	6	0.76	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	42	48
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	-1	3	0.28	0	0	0	19:51	—	—	44	48
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:13	—	—	41	44
Ondrej Kase R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:16	—	—	29	40
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	1	0	15:52	—	—	25	45
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:32	—	—	20	9
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:04	—	—	52	42
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	0	0	0	9:49	—	—	57	40
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	5	8:30	—	—	56	37
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.24	1	1	2	24:35	—	—	42	51
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	1	0	21:24	—	—	37	44
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	3	0	22:30	—	—	41	42
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	4	0	20:54	—	—	36	28
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	2	0	14:24	—	—	57	70
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	14:19	—	—	48	43

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	2.73	62:38

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.