Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 22, 2025

FinalSaturday, Feb 22, 2025· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	3	3		CAR	12	8	15	35
TOR	4	0	2	6		TOR	12	9	3	24

: CAR 80TOR 37
: CAR 3.65TOR 5.15
PP goals: CAR 0TOR 0
Hits: CAR 23TOR 24
Blocks: CAR 4TOR 21
PIM: CAR 6TOR 6
: CAR 42%TOR 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–3 at home. Pontus Holmberg (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TOR: Tavares–Nylander–Holmberg skated 10:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Pontus Holmberg had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 15:38.Holmberg
Points
Alex Steeves had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 9:04.Steeves
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:14.Svechnikov
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:42.Tavares
Points
Shayne Gostisbehere had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:57.Gostisbehere
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:58.Nylander
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Nylander–Holmberg skated 10:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Nylander Holmberg
New line
New look for CAR: Rantanen–Aho–Svechnikov skated 4:42 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Rantanen Aho Svechnikov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · TOR 37 · CAR 80

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 41% of the game, TOR 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	78	34
	3.11	3.13
	2.98	2.75
	11	8
	2	8
	17	23
	−0.040	+0.040
	41%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Hall – Kotkaniemi – Blake
5:5556% CF
L2Rantanen – Aho – Svechnikov
4:4280% CF
L3Staal – Martinook – Jarvis
4:3071% CF
L4Roslovic – Jost – Robinson
4:1067% CF
D1Orlov – Chatfield
16:0770% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
15:2565% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Walker
9:5865% CF

PP1Burns – Rantanen – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
3:0880% CF
PP2Hall – Gostisbehere – Roslovic – Kotkaniemi – Blake
0:42100% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:07
PK2FRobinson – Jarvis
1:41
PK1DBurns – Slavin
2:18
PK2DOrlov – Chatfield
0:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Nylander – Holmberg
10:5023% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
9:5431% CF
L3Domi – Robertson – McMann
8:0929% CF
L4Lorentz – Kampf – Steeves
6:1533% CF
D1Tanev – McCabe
13:2538% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly
12:2734% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
11:2029% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Knies
1:50100% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Rielly – Domi – Robertson – McMann
1:36100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:01
PK2FMatthews – Knies
0:31
PK1DTanev – McCabe
1:47
PK2DEkman-Larsson – Benoit
1:27

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:50
TORAlex Steeves (John Tavares)snap0.10 xG
CAR: Burns, Slavin, Aho, Roslovic, JarvisTOR: Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Holmberg, Steeves
CAR 0 – 1 TOR
3:29
TORPontus Holmbergunknown0.44 xG
CAR: Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Chatfield, SvechnikovTOR: Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Holmberg
CAR 0 – 2 TOR
6:39
TORDavid Kampf (Steven Lorentz, Alex Steeves)snap0.17 xG
CAR: Burns, Slavin, Rantanen, Aho, JarvisTOR: Lorentz, Timmins, Kampf, Benoit, Steeves
CAR 0 – 3 TOR
15:06
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Pontus Holmberg)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Gostisbehere, Roslovic, Jost, Walker, RobinsonTOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Holmberg
CAR 0 – 4 TOR

3rd period

12:25
CARShayne Gostisbehere (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)tip-in0.09 xG
CAR: Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Walker, SvechnikovTOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Holmberg, Robertson
CAR 1 – 4 TOR
14:46
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Mikko Rantanen, Shayne Gostisbehere)slap0.11 xG
CAR: Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Svechnikov, JarvisTOR: Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews
CAR 2 – 4 TOR
15:06
CARJaccob Slavin (Jordan Staal, Brent Burns)wrist0.16 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Hall, Slavin, WalkerTOR: Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Kampf, McMann, Knies
CAR 3 – 4 TOR
18:37
TORAuston MatthewsEN (Chris Tanev)backhand0.74 xG
CAR: Burns, Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Svechnikov, JarvisTOR: Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews
CAR 3 – 5 TOR
19:40
TORPontus HolmbergEN (William Nylander)wrist0.75 xG
CAR: Gostisbehere, Rantanen, Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, JarvisTOR: Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg
CAR 3 – 6 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jackson Blake R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.56	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	77	86
Taylor Hall L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.39	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	71	69
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	12:36	—	—	71	69
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.26	0	0	0	23:07	—	—	71	62
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.17	2	0	4	22:49	—	—	76	65
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	1	1	2	-1	5	0.41	3	1	0	19:14	—	—	70	45
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.15	1	0	0	20:44	—	—	67	42
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	2	0	0	15:03	—	—	70	35
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.24	2	0	0	14:41	—	—	67	40
Jack Roslovic C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.15	0	0	0	10:16	—	—	64	36
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	3	0	0	8:20	—	—	67	41
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	4:48	—	—	58	36
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	3	0	0	19:57	—	—	76	45
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	0	0	19:20	—	—	73	38
Brent Burns D	D2	0	1	1	-2	4	0.07	0	0	0	24:13	—	—	69	57
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.29	0	1	0	22:02	—	—	65	58
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	1	1	2	-1	4	0.28	0	0	0	14:57	—	—	70	53
Sean Walker D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	2	14:06	—	—	69	64

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	L	21	18	4	.857	3.27	57:17

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.23	0	1	0	19:58	—	—	37	78
John Tavares C	L1	1	1	2	+3	3	0.29	2	1	0	18:42	—	—	27	54
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	2	1	3	+3	2	1.51	0	0	0	15:38	—	—	33	80
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	26	35
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	1.44	1	1	0	19:14	—	—	39	68
Matthew Knies L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.44	2	2	0	16:50	—	—	24	28
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	33	34
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	4	0	2	12:40	—	—	26	19
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	0	11:28	—	—	27	24
David Kampf C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.31	0	1	2	11:57	—	—	19	31
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	3	1	0	9:17	—	—	27	40
Alex Steeves C	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.26	2	0	0	9:04	—	—	40	54
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	2	2	0	24:31	—	—	37	65
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	0	2	0	22:22	—	—	32	64
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:04	—	—	29	33
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	19:41	—	—	30	30
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	1	0	16:20	—	—	25	50
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	3	2	13:35	—	—	26	52

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	3.65	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Pontus Holmberg (TOR) 1st 3:29 · unassisted · Rebound · carried in · 2.8 mph shot · 5.6 s from entry to goal.

Pontus Holmberg · 1st 3:29 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 2.8 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 5.6 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Steeves · 1st 2:50 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 64.0 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

David Kampf · 1st 6:39 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 37.9 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 1st 15:06 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 20.3 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 8.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 12:25 · CAR

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 24.6 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 14:46 · CAR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 49.9 mph
Distance: 35 ft
Entry to goal: 5.4 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 15:06 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.2 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 6.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:37 · TOR EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.3 mph
Distance: 33 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 19:40 · TOR EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 22.7 mph
Distance: 16 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.