Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 20, 2026

Final / OTFriday, Mar 20, 2026· Scotiabank Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	0	3	0	1	4		CAR	8	17	10	1	36
TOR	1	1	1	0	3		TOR	4	11	11	0	26

: CAR 77TOR 43
: CAR 3.92TOR 2.49
PP goals: CAR 1TOR 0
Hits: CAR 20TOR 21
Blocks: CAR 11TOR 21
PIM: CAR 4TOR 10
: CAR 48%TOR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in overtime at TOR. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for TOR: Domi–Nylander–Knies skated 9:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Matias Maccelli had 2 assists (2 points) in 12:59.Maccelli
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:47.Aho
Points
Seth Jarvis had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:56.Jarvis
New line
New look for TOR: Domi–Nylander–Knies skated 9:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Domi Nylander Knies
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 32 (.889), +5 against a season average of 31.3; the overtime loss.Woll
New line
New look for TOR: Joshua–Groulx–Maccelli skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Joshua Groulx Maccelli
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Robertson–Cowan skated 6:54 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Robertson Cowan
Usage
Alexander Nikishin (CAR) played 14:23, −3:51 down on his 18:14 season average over 80 games.Nikishin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · TOR 43 · CAR 77

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 45% of the game, TOR 16%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against CAR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	TOR
	64	46
	2.27	2.30
	2.15	2.26
	16	7
	1	5
	20	14
	+0.005	−0.005
	45%	16%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Martinook – Ehlers
11:3559% CF
L2Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
9:5647% CF
L3Hall – Stankoven – Blake
9:2269% CF
L4Jankowski – Carrier – Robinson
7:1444% CF
D1Slavin – Chatfield
17:5055% CF
D2Walker – Miller
15:2059% CF
D3Reilly – Nikishin
7:2672% CF

PP1Hall – Miller – Stankoven – Blake
4:26
PP2Staal – Ehlers – Aho – Jarvis – Nikishin
3:19100% CF
PK1FAho – Jarvis
1:08
PK2FStaal – Martinook
1:04
PK1DChatfield – Miller
0:48
PK2DSlavin – Nikishin
0:33

Current CAR line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Domi – Nylander – Knies
9:4638% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Lorentz – Quillan
7:2238% CF
L3Joshua – Groulx – Maccelli
7:0033% CF
L4Tavares – Robertson – Cowan
6:5438% CF
D1Stecher – Benoit
13:5823% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – McCabe
10:4456% CF
D3Rielly – Carlo
8:2748% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Maccelli – Knies
1:440% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Joshua – Robertson – Cowan
0:32
PK1FGroulx – Knies
3:04
PK2FJarnkrok – Lorentz
2:46
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
2:13
PK2DStecher – Benoit
1:59

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.41	4	2	0	18:03	—	—	59	30
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	2	0	0	18:00	—	—	63	27
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:31	—	—	59	30
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	2	2	0	2	0.32	0	0	0	18:47	—	—	57	54
Seth Jarvis R	L2	0	2	2	0	2	0.42	0	0	0	17:56	—	—	52	54
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	1	0	14:36	—	—	50	53
Taylor Hall L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	1	0	0	17:39	—	—	67	72
Jackson Blake R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.52	0	1	0	17:07	—	—	66	69
Logan Stankoven C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.48	0	0	0	16:32	—	—	62	67
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	10:40	—	—	50	9
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	5	0	0	9:32	—	—	42	6
Eric Robinson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.37	2	1	0	8:25	—	—	55	25
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	23:58	—	—	49	23
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	22:07	—	—	59	47
K'Andre Miller D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	0	0	0	23:58	—	—	58	64
Sean Walker D	D2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.28	2	3	2	20:42	—	—	54	64
Alexander Nikishin D	D3	1	0	1	0	4	0.18	0	0	2	14:23	—	—	71	52
Mike Reilly D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	9:07	—	—	68	53

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brandon Bussi(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	2.49	60:41

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.25	0	1	0	20:39	—	—	48	62
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	20:01	—	—	35	31
Max Domi C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	54	56
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	50	46
Steven Lorentz C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	3	2	0	12:18	—	—	50	47
Jacob Quillan C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:12	—	—	47	40
Bo Groulx C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	2	1	0	15:53	—	—	26	38
Matias Maccelli L	L3	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:59	—	—	41	55
Dakota Joshua C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.53	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	33	43
John Tavares C	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.27	4	0	0	16:12	—	—	40	77
Easton Cowan R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	1	2	12:21	—	—	46	69
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	1	2	10:39	—	—	40	63
Troy Stecher D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	3	0	21:41	—	—	29	35
Simon Benoit D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	3	0	21:28	—	—	21	29
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.06	0	1	0	22:55	—	—	67	72
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	1	0	2	18:01	—	—	46	70
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	4	0	18:33	—	—	39	44
Brandon Carlo D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	2	1	4	16:24	—	—	53	49

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	O	36	32	4	.889	3.92	60:41

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Eric Robinson (CAR PS) 2nd 12:35 · unassisted · Odd-man rush · carried in · 1-on-0 at the blue line · 19.7 mph shot · 2.2 s from entry to goal.

Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:35 · CAR PS

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.7 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 2.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dakota Joshua · 1st 11:48 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 0
Shot: 40.1 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jordan Staal · 2nd 5:57 · CAR PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 24.8 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 2nd 13:47 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 27.6 mph
Distance: 11 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

K'Andre Miller · 2nd 17:40 · CAR SH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 39.9 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 3rd 13:50 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 3.8 mph
Distance: 5 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alexander Nikishin · OT 0:41 · CAR

Play: cycle
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 50.3 mph
Distance: 36 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 20, 2026

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Carolina Hurricanes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:35 · CAR PS

Dakota Joshua · 1st 11:48 · TOR

Jordan Staal · 2nd 5:57 · CAR PP

John Tavares · 2nd 13:47 · TOR

K'Andre Miller · 2nd 17:40 · CAR SH

William Nylander · 3rd 13:50 · TOR

Alexander Nikishin · OT 0:41 · CAR