Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsApr 6, 2023

FinalThursday, Apr 6, 2023· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	0	0		CAR	14	12	7	33
NSH	2	0	1	3		NSH	8	6	9	23

: CAR 74NSH 35
: CAR 1.77NSH 2.16
PP goals: CAR 0NSH 0
Hits: CAR 14NSH 14
Blocks: CAR 3NSH 26
PIM: CAR 2NSH 4
: CAR 39%NSH 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0

Nashville Predators beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 at home. Mark Jankowski (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for CAR: Stepan–Drury–Jarvis skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (78.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mark Jankowski had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:29.Jankowski
Points
Spencer Stastney had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:25.Stastney
New line
New look for CAR: Stepan–Drury–Jarvis skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (78.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stepan Drury Jarvis
New line
New look for CAR: Teravainen–Aho–Necas skated 8:31 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (68.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Teravainen Aho Necas
New line
New look for NSH: Jankowski–McCarron–Sanford skated 9:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (31.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski McCarron Sanford
Luck
CAR scored 0 goals on 1.77 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Dante Fabbro (NSH) played 21:33, +4:09 up on his 17:24 season average over 78 games.Fabbro
Usage
Cal Foote (NSH) played 20:31, +5:30 up on his 15:01 season average over 49 games.Foote

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · NSH 35 · CAR 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 40% of the game, NSH 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	86	38
	2.13	1.82
	2.07	1.81
	13	8
	6	5
	23	11
	−0.076	+0.077
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
10:1567% CF
L2Noesen – Puljujarvi – Kotkaniemi
9:2177% CF
L3Teravainen – Aho – Necas
8:3168% CF
L4Stepan – Drury – Jarvis
6:4479% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
16:2574% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
15:4767% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
14:3368% CF

PP1Burns – Staal – Gostisbehere – Aho – Necas
1:51
PP2Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
1:2750% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
1:21
PK2FFast – Teravainen
0:35
PK1DBurns – Slavin
0:58
PK2DSkjei – Pesce
0:58

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Novak – Sherwood – Evangelista
14:1321% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Asplund
11:5547% CF
L3Glass – Tomasino – Afanasyev
10:4717% CF
L4Jankowski – McCarron – Sanford
9:1431% CF
D1McDonagh – Fabbro
16:4244% CF
D2Foote – Stastney
15:1329% CF
D3Barrie – Livingstone
15:129% CF

PP1Barrie – Novak – Glass – Tomasino – Evangelista
1:20
PP2Trenin – Asplund – Fabbro – Sherwood – Tomasino
0:24
PK1FSissons – Trenin
2:06
PK2FJankowski – McCarron
1:39
PK1DMcDonagh – Fabbro
1:56
PK2DFoote – Stastney
1:49

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:47
NSHMark JankowskiSH (Spencer Stastney)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Kotkaniemi, JarvisNSH: Jankowski, McCarron, Foote, Stastney
CAR 0 – 1 NSH
10:47
NSHMichael McCarron (Mark Jankowski, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Puljujarvi, KotkaniemiNSH: McDonagh, Jankowski, McCarron, Sanford, Fabbro
CAR 0 – 2 NSH

3rd period

17:16
NSHDante FabbroEN (Spencer Stastney)wrist0.38 xG
CAR: Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Aho, Drury, JarvisNSH: Jankowski, McCarron, Sanford, Fabbro, Stastney
CAR 0 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	68	45
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	17:20	—	—	64	41
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	1	0.14	2	0	0	14:06	—	—	64	41
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	-2	3	0.30	2	0	0	16:19	—	—	81	63
Stefan Noesen R	L2	-3	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:09	—	—	77	52
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L2	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	11:56	—	—	80	64
Sebastian Aho C	L3	-1	1	0.14	0	0	2	16:58	—	—	63	50
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	-1	2	0.08	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	66	54
Martin Necas C	L3	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	63	52
Seth Jarvis R	L4	-2	2	0.02	0	1	0	16:24	—	—	72	61
Jack Drury C	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:32	—	—	64	72
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:59	—	—	71	88
Brent Burns D	D1	-1	7	0.15	1	1	0	22:56	—	—	73	54
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	-1	0	0.16	1	0	0	21:03	—	—	72	59
Brett Pesce D	D2	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	66	44
Brady Skjei D	D2	-2	5	0.14	1	0	0	19:51	—	—	68	46
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	18:20	—	—	67	57
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0.04	1	0	0	16:13	—	—	70	78

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	22	20	2	.909	1.78	59:27

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Luke Evangelista R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	2	17:04	—	—	27	45
Tommy Novak C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	2	0	17:03	—	—	28	42
Kiefer Sherwood L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	1	1	2	16:41	—	—	28	42
Yakov Trenin C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	16:37	—	—	39	73
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	3	0	16:15	—	—	41	77
Rasmus Asplund C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	1	0	13:53	—	—	40	81
Philip Tomasino R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	14:39	—	—	26	23
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	24	28
Egor Afanasyev L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	1	0	12:35	—	—	24	39
Mark Jankowski L	L4	1	1	2	+3	2	0.26	0	0	0	13:29	—	—	30	35
Michael McCarron C	L4	1	0	1	+3	2	0.02	2	0	0	13:22	—	—	35	58
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	12:05	—	—	38	60
Dante Fabbro D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.38	3	3	0	21:33	—	—	47	74
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	2	0	20:48	—	—	49	75
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	20:31	—	—	32	43
Spencer Stastney D	D2	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:25	—	—	31	40
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	2	1	0	20:17	—	—	17	24
Jake Livingstone D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	11	17

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	33	33	0	.1000	1.77	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.