Carolina Hurricanes vs. Nashville PredatorsDec 27, 2023

FinalWednesday, Dec 27, 2023· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	3	0	5		CAR	9	10	6	25
NSH	0	2	0	2		NSH	11	17	9	37

: CAR 54NSH 53
: CAR 4.78NSH 3.71
PP goals: CAR 3NSH 1
Hits: CAR 23NSH 37
Blocks: CAR 10NSH 17
PIM: CAR 8NSH 12
: CAR 63%NSH 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at NSH. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 3A. CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 3 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 5:29 together.

Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 18:33.Aho
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 3 power-play goals on 10 attempts in 5:29 together.Burns Bunting Aho Svechnikov Jarvis
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:59.Svechnikov
Points
Brent Burns had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:31.Burns
Points
Ryan O'Reilly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:54.O'Reilly
Points
Seth Jarvis had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:38.Jarvis
New line
New look for CAR: Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov skated 8:08 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (45% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Teravainen Aho Svechnikov
Goalie
Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +12 against a season average of 24.5; the win.Kochetkov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · NSH 53 · CAR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 38% of the game, NSH 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	NSH
	48	45
	4.16	2.78
	3.76	2.66
	14	10
	7	5
	10	11
	+0.073	−0.073
	38%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Bunting – Necas – Kotkaniemi
9:0344% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
8:0845% CF
L3Staal – Martinook – Jarvis
8:0145% CF
L4Fast – Noesen – Drury
7:0182% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
14:0446% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
13:2955% CF
D3Orlov – Chatfield
12:4345% CF

PP1Burns – Bunting – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
5:2991% CF
PP2Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Necas – Drury
1:4867% CF
PK1FStaal – Jarvis
2:00
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:22
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:43
PK2DBurns – Slavin
2:06

Current CAR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
9:1252% CF
L2Novak – Sherwood – Evangelista
7:3750% CF
L3Sissons – Glass – Parssinen
7:2133% CF
L4McCarron – Tomasino – Smith
5:2750% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
7:5357% CF
D2Lauzon – Carrier
5:5960% CF
D3Schenn – Fabbro
4:2870% CF

PP1Josi – Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg – Sissons
3:57100% CF
PP2McDonagh – Novak – Tomasino – Parssinen – Evangelista
1:44100% CF
PK1FSissons – Smith
2:02
PK2FO'Reilly – McCarron
1:17
PK1DMcDonagh – Lauzon
2:58
PK2DCarrier – Fabbro
1:53

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:50
CARSebastian AhoPP (Brent Burns, Seth Jarvis)deflected0.06 xG
CAR: Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, JarvisNSH: McDonagh, Schenn, O'Reilly, Smith
CAR 1 – 0 NSH
15:08
CARBrent BurnsPP (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)snap0.07 xG
CAR: Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, JarvisNSH: Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier, Glass
CAR 2 – 0 NSH

2nd period

1:18
NSHGustav Nyquist (Ryan O'Reilly)backhand0.23 xG
CAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier
CAR 2 – 1 NSH
3:44
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Sebastian Aho)snap0.31 xG
CAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, SvechnikovNSH: Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier, Glass, Parssinen
CAR 3 – 1 NSH
5:08
NSHRyan O'ReillyPP (Colton Sissons, Roman Josi)backhand0.32 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Slavin, JarvisNSH: Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons, Novak
CAR 3 – 2 NSH
9:56
CARJack Drury (Jesper Fast, Stefan Noesen)backhand0.69 xG
CAR: Fast, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, DruryNSH: Josi, Forsberg, Fabbro, Glass, Tomasino
CAR 4 – 2 NSH
17:54
CARSeth JarvisPP (Michael Bunting, Sebastian Aho)tip-in0.04 xG
CAR: Burns, Bunting, Aho, Svechnikov, JarvisNSH: McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Smith
CAR 5 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	17:25	—	—	43	56
Martin Necas C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	3	0	0	16:53	—	—	48	76
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	1	2	11:47	—	—	44	68
Sebastian Aho C	L2	1	3	4	0	2	0.35	0	0	2	18:33	—	—	44	28
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.51	1	0	0	17:59	—	—	44	31
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	50	34
Seth Jarvis R	L3	1	1	2	0	1	0.04	3	0	0	17:38	—	—	42	66
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.97	2	1	0	14:29	—	—	47	75
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.63	7	0	0	13:11	—	—	47	67
Jack Drury C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.92	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	77	97
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	3	0	0	13:08	—	—	78	97
Jesper Fast R	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:54	—	—	69	90
Brent Burns D	D1	1	1	2	0	5	0.28	1	1	2	22:31	—	—	45	63
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	4	0	19:13	—	—	50	68
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	21:36	—	—	54	55
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:37	—	—	57	58
Dmitry Orlov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:52	—	—	54	63
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	14:03	—	—	46	35

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.71	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	1	2	+1	5	1.08	0	0	0	20:54	—	—	52	53
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.62	0	2	0	17:58	—	—	47	45
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.31	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	52	54
Tommy Novak C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	14:44	—	—	56	51
Luke Evangelista R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	0	0	4	13:51	—	—	47	53
Kiefer Sherwood L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	12:46	—	—	52	50
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.29	3	2	0	19:17	—	—	33	26
Juuso Parssinen C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.43	4	0	0	13:56	—	—	54	42
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.23	3	0	4	11:24	—	—	36	19
Cole Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	13:48	—	—	53	16
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	0	13:16	—	—	50	19
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	44	11
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.09	1	3	0	25:01	—	—	44	36
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	0	0	22:10	—	—	57	55
Jeremy Lauzon D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	7	0	2	18:38	—	—	37	31
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	16:10	—	—	59	64
Dante Fabbro D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	4	2	0	16:51	—	—	46	27
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	4	3	0	15:01	—	—	52	48

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	19	14	5	.737	2.46	40:00
Yaroslav Askarov	—	6	6	0	.1000	1.82	16:40

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Sebastian Aho (CAR PP) 1st 9:50 · assists Brent Burns, Seth Jarvis · Deflection · 56.7 mph shot.

Sebastian Aho · 1st 9:50 · CAR PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 3
Shot: 56.7 mph
Distance: 31 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brent Burns · 1st 15:08 · CAR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 67.4 mph
Distance: 47 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 1:18 · NSH

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 21.0 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 3:44 · CAR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 35.6 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 5.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 5:08 · NSH PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 3
Shot: 28.0 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Drury · 2nd 9:56 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.7 mph
Distance: 10 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:54 · CAR PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 20.7 mph
Distance: 3 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.