Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 1, 2023

FinalWednesday, Feb 1, 2023· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	3	0	2	5		CAR	17	12	5	34
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	9	8	13	30

: CAR 57BUF 53
: CAR 3.84BUF 2.98
PP goals: CAR 1BUF 0
Hits: CAR 12BUF 8
Blocks: CAR 11BUF 16
PIM: CAR 8BUF 4
: CAR 62%BUF 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes rout Buffalo Sabres 5–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–1 at BUF. Stefan Noesen (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 1:54 together.

Points
Stefan Noesen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 10:28.Noesen
Points
Jalen Chatfield had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:09.Chatfield
Points
Jesperi Kotkaniemi had 2 assists (2 points) in 13:52.Kotkaniemi
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 1:54 together.Noesen Skjei Teravainen Aho Svechnikov
Usage
Jalen Chatfield (CAR) played 22:09, +8:08 up on his 14:01 season average over 77 games.Chatfield
Usage
Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) played 13:20, −4:47 down on his 18:07 season average over 63 games.Svechnikov
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 2.98 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 14:53, −7:26 down on his 22:19 season average over 54 games.Samuelsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · BUF 53 · CAR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 41% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	56	50
	2.69	2.46
	2.59	2.39
	12	10
	5	2
	13	16
	+0.109	−0.109
	41%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
13:4948% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
10:1077% CF
L3Necas – Kotkaniemi – Svechnikov
7:2953% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
6:4552% CF
D1Burns – Chatfield
16:5260% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
13:5548% CF
D3de Haan – Coghlan
13:1952% CF

PP1Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
1:54100% CF
PP2Burns – Stastny – Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
1:10100% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:21
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:53
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:09
PK2DBurns – de Haan
2:01

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:5573% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
7:4830% CF
L3Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
7:3931% CF
L4Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
4:5045% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
10:3928% CF
D2Samuelsson – Lyubushkin
6:0414% CF
D3Bryson – Dahlin
5:0975% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
3:16100% CF
PP2Okposo – Cozens – Quinn – Peterka – Power
2:56100% CF
PK1FJost – Cozens
1:12
PK2FGirgensons – Tuch
0:34
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
1:12
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:29

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:35
CARSebastian AhoPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov)tip-in0.21 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Teravainen, Aho, SvechnikovBUF: Jost, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Cozens
CAR 1 – 0 BUF
10:05
CARStefan Noesen (Martin Necas, Jesperi Kotkaniemi)wrist0.23 xG
CAR: Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Necas, KotkaniemiBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin
CAR 2 – 0 BUF
12:47
CARBrent Burns (Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Jalen Chatfield)snap0.10 xG
CAR: Burns, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, SvechnikovBUF: Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Peterka
CAR 3 – 0 BUF
14:45
BUFAlex Tuch (Henri Jokiharju)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, SvechnikovBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power
CAR 3 – 1 BUF

3rd period

10:30
CARDerek Stepan (Stefan Noesen, Jalen Chatfield)wrist0.21 xG
CAR: Burns, Stastny, Stepan, Noesen, ChatfieldBUF: Jost, Jokiharju, Quinn, Peterka, Power
CAR 4 – 1 BUF
18:19
CARJordan MartinookEN (Jordan Staal)wrist0.60 xG
CAR: Staal, Skjei, Martinook, PesceBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power
CAR 5 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Martinook L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.75	1	1	0	19:23	—	—	48	36
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.49	3	2	0	18:41	—	—	46	35
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	17:42	—	—	46	33
Sebastian Aho C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	77	77
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	15:21	—	—	79	78
Seth Jarvis R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	1	0	14:17	—	—	69	70
Martin Necas C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	14:04	—	—	57	66
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:52	—	—	40	46
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.54	0	2	0	13:20	—	—	46	51
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	2	1	0	11:10	—	—	57	57
Stefan Noesen R	L4	1	1	2	+2	1	0.23	3	0	0	10:28	—	—	55	66
Derek Stepan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	4	0.26	0	0	0	10:12	—	—	48	46
Brent Burns D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	0	2	23:30	—	—	56	54
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.00	0	0	4	22:09	—	—	58	53
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	19:57	—	—	50	56
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	2	1	2	19:43	—	—	47	51
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	18:30	—	—	48	44
Dylan Coghlan D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	13:46	—	—	52	49

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	2.98	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Peyton Krebs C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	2	0	17:35	—	—	76	82
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.33	1	0	0	16:41	—	—	53	59
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	1	1	0	12:34	—	—	75	98
Alex Tuch R	L2	1	0	1	-2	4	0.56	0	2	0	19:16	—	—	42	31
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.40	0	1	0	17:16	—	—	37	34
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	2	11:16	—	—	32	7
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	1	0	18:54	—	—	48	54
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	0	1	0	17:23	—	—	44	60
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	12:22	—	—	25	23
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.60	0	1	0	14:39	—	—	61	58
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:55	—	—	48	45
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	13:21	—	—	47	55
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	0	0	22:45	—	—	40	39
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	20:19	—	—	44	48
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:53	—	—	19	18
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	14:01	—	—	33	11
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	0	0	26:51	—	—	63	70
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:08	—	—	63	72

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	33	29	4	.879	2.84	58:39

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.