Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresApr 8, 2023

FinalSaturday, Apr 8, 2023· KeyBank Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	1	0	3		CAR	12	10	12	34
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	6	12	12	30

: CAR 70BUF 46
: CAR 3.66BUF 2.75
PP goals: CAR 0BUF 1
Hits: CAR 20BUF 25
Blocks: CAR 5BUF 15
PIM: CAR 6BUF 4
: CAR 57%BUF 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Carolina Hurricanes 4–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 at home. Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 3:19 together.

Points
Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 25:32.Dahlin
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:56.Mittelstadt
Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 18:45.Skinner
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 3:19 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
New line
New look for CAR: Teravainen–Aho–Puljujarvi skated 11:50 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Teravainen Aho Puljujarvi
New line
New look for CAR: Necas–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis skated 11:08 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Necas Kotkaniemi Jarvis
Usage
Tyson Jost (BUF) played 5:57, −7:24 down on his 13:21 season average over 70 games.Jost
Usage
Jesse Puljujarvi (CAR) played 16:42, +4:32 up on his 12:10 season average over 74 games.Puljujarvi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · BUF 46 · CAR 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 45% of the game, BUF 19%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	74	49
	3.69	2.82
	3.55	2.70
	23	10
	5	8
	12	12
	+0.079	−0.079
	45%	19%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Puljujarvi
11:5054% CF
L2Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
11:0858% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Martinook
9:3359% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Drury
5:0786% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
16:2163% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
15:2944% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
12:0874% CF

PP1Burns – Teravainen – Aho – Necas – Jarvis
2:10100% CF
PP2Skjei – Gostisbehere – Puljujarvi – Kotkaniemi – Drury
1:50100% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
2:06
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:50
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:38
PK2DBurns – Slavin
2:22

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt
11:5454% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:5948% CF
L3Greenway – Thompson – Cozens
8:4927% CF
L4Jost – Quinn – Peterka
3:590% CF
D1Jokiharju – Samuelsson
9:2926% CF
D2Dahlin – Power
9:1357% CF
D3Stillman – Lyubushkin
5:0436% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:19100% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka – Power
2:010% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Cozens
1:48
PK2FTuch – Quinn
0:58
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
1:30
PK2DDahlin – Power
1:12

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:00
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Jeff Skinner, Rasmus Dahlin)backhand0.17 xG
CAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, PuljujarviBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin
CAR 0 – 1 BUF
14:34
CARSeth Jarvis (Jesperi Kotkaniemi)wrist0.19 xG
CAR: Gostisbehere, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi, JarvisBUF: Jost, Stillman, Lyubushkin, Quinn, Peterka
CAR 1 – 1 BUF
14:56
CARJesper Fast (Jordan Staal, Jordan Martinook)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, PesceBUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power
CAR 2 – 1 BUF

2nd period

4:04
BUFRasmus DahlinPP (Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Burns, Staal, Martinook, SlavinBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens
CAR 2 – 2 BUF
11:04
CARSebastian Aho (Teuvo Teravainen, Jesse Puljujarvi)snap0.14 xG
CAR: Burns, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, PuljujarviBUF: Jost, Jokiharju, Quinn, Peterka, Power
CAR 3 – 2 BUF
18:18
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Power)snap0.16 xG
CAR: Burns, Stastny, Skjei, Puljujarvi, DruryBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power
CAR 3 – 3 BUF

3rd period

6:15
BUFTage Thompson (Dylan Cozens)snap0.17 xG
CAR: Skjei, Pesce, Necas, Kotkaniemi, JarvisBUF: Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens
CAR 3 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.58	3	0	0	20:59	—	—	59	56
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.22	0	0	0	19:58	—	—	54	56
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.44	4	0	0	16:42	—	—	55	52
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	18:16	—	—	57	59
Seth Jarvis R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.46	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	60	60
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.55	1	0	2	16:49	—	—	61	61
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	0	0	15:17	—	—	60	55
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.42	3	0	0	15:10	—	—	65	57
Jesper Fast R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	64	56
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	0	1	0	10:28	—	—	67	50
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	6:30	—	—	67	45
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:11	—	—	86	100
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	1	0	24:38	—	—	66	64
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	22:06	—	—	63	67
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	2	1	0	22:37	—	—	45	43
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	2	0	19:08	—	—	49	49
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:33	—	—	77	61
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	2	13:01	—	—	74	60

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	2.75	57:37

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.08	2	1	0	21:22	—	—	54	60
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	2	2	+2	6	0.61	0	0	2	18:45	—	—	55	60
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	0.53	0	1	0	17:56	—	—	56	62
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	0	0	16:36	—	—	46	40
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	0	0	15:37	—	—	44	41
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	1	2	0	14:50	—	—	44	43
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	19:15	—	—	31	35
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.54	3	0	0	16:08	—	—	32	36
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	0	0	14:11	—	—	29	27
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:35	—	—	18	21
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:11	—	—	10	28
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:57	—	—	0	0
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	24:47	—	—	31	40
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.09	3	4	0	23:46	—	—	29	42
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	1	2	3	+2	3	0.15	2	4	0	25:32	—	—	53	55
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	23:26	—	—	44	41
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	35	28
Riley Stillman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	7:36	—	—	41	51

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devon Levi(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	3.66	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.