Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 25, 2024

Final / SOSunday, Feb 25, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	1	0	1	0	0	2		CAR	10	7	13	2	32
BUF	0	1	1	0	1	3		BUF	8	12	11	1	32

: CAR 76BUF 81
: CAR 2.74BUF 3.54
PP goals: CAR 1BUF 1
Hits: CAR 14BUF 23
Blocks: CAR 25BUF 23
PIM: CAR 4BUF 4
: CAR 63%BUF 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 in a shootout at home. Martin Necas (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF scored 2 goals on 3.54 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Martin Necas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:04.Necas
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.54 expected goals (81 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 31:43, +6:22 up on his 25:21 season average over 80 games.Dahlin
Usage
Dylan Cozens (BUF) played 20:53, +3:42 up on his 17:11 season average over 78 games.Cozens
Usage
Erik Johnson (BUF) played 10:12, −4:20 down on his 14:32 season average over 66 games.Johnson
Usage
Dmitry Orlov (CAR) played 21:14, +3:58 up on his 17:16 season average over 81 games.Orlov
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 22:51, +3:55 up on his 18:56 season average over 73 games.Jokiharju
Usage
Jacob Bryson (BUF) played 18:35, +4:01 up on his 14:34 season average over 35 games.Bryson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 157 of 157 attempts · BUF 81 · CAR 76

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 24% of the game, BUF 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	78	86
	2.74	2.71
	2.63	2.64
	14	14
	10	6
	10	12
	+0.051	−0.051
	24%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Bunting – Necas – Drury
11:3966% CF
L2Fast – Aho – Svechnikov
9:4242% CF
L3Noesen – Teravainen – Kotkaniemi
8:4658% CF
L4Staal – Martinook – Jarvis
7:5537% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
16:0149% CF
D2Orlov – Pesce
14:4466% CF
D3Skjei – DeAngelo
12:2541% CF

PP1Burns – Bunting – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
1:38100% CF
PP2Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Necas – Drury
0:59100% CF
PK1FStaal – Jarvis
0:49
PK2FTeravainen – Martinook
0:39
PK1DOrlov – Pesce
1:49
PK2DBurns – Slavin
1:22

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
13:1955% CF
L2Greenway – Mittelstadt – Cozens
12:4640% CF
L3Krebs – Peterka – Benson
11:0263% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Robinson
7:5346% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
17:4663% CF
D2Clifton – Bryson
10:1350% CF
D3Johnson – Power
5:5743% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:2780% CF
PP2Okposo – Greenway – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Krebs
0:56
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
2:21
PK2FTuch – Benson
0:16
PK1DJohnson – Power
2:21
PK2DClifton – Bryson
0:16

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: CAR 2 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.31	0	2	0	19:04	—	—	61	55
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	58	55
Jack Drury C	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	0	1	0	15:39	—	—	56	46
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	21:09	—	—	33	56
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.44	3	3	0	18:52	—	—	39	57
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	3	2	0	14:30	—	—	43	65
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	16:21	—	—	52	59
Stefan Noesen R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	11:33	—	—	48	63
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:12	—	—	57	77
Seth Jarvis R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	3	0	16:49	—	—	29	9
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	1	0	14:38	—	—	42	26
Jordan Staal C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	2	13:45	—	—	43	30
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	2	0	22:28	—	—	45	44
Brent Burns D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	0	20:55	—	—	49	42
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	1	3	0	21:48	—	—	60	54
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	0	0	21:14	—	—	54	64
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	3	2	20:46	—	—	38	44
Tony DeAngelo D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	15:46	—	—	36	57

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Spencer Martin(start)	O	32	30	2	.938	3.54	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	4	0	0	20:33	—	—	53	71
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	0	5	1.25	0	1	0	18:35	—	—	61	74
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.41	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	62	70
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.12	5	0	0	20:53	—	—	43	30
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	0	1	0	20:06	—	—	44	25
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	2	3	0	18:55	—	—	41	25
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:02	—	—	60	70
Zach Benson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	1	1	0	14:28	—	—	63	65
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:56	—	—	65	66
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:52	—	—	52	37
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	0	9:59	—	—	47	34
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	0	9:54	—	—	45	31
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.50	1	4	4	31:43	—	—	62	59
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	3	0	22:51	—	—	57	62
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	18:35	—	—	45	37
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:21	—	—	53	65
Owen Power D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.21	1	2	0	23:05	—	—	51	41
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	10:12	—	—	36	33

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	2.74	65:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Tony DeAngelo (CAR) 1st 2:40 · assists Michael Bunting, Martin Necas · Rush · carried in · 44.4 mph shot · 5.9 s from entry to goal.

Tony DeAngelo · 1st 2:40 · CAR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 44.4 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 5.9 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 6:27 · BUF PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 29.6 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Martin Necas · 3rd 14:42 · CAR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 52.7 mph
Distance: 38 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Owen Power · 3rd 15:55 · BUF

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 19.5 mph
Distance: 53 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 25, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Carolina Hurricanes

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Tony DeAngelo · 1st 2:40 · CAR

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 6:27 · BUF PP

Martin Necas · 3rd 14:42 · CAR PP

Owen Power · 3rd 15:55 · BUF