Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresJan 15, 2025

FinalWednesday, Jan 15, 2025· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	11	18	8	37
BUF	1	2	1	4		BUF	11	13	1	25

: CAR 92BUF 52
: CAR 3.04BUF 3.79
PP goals: CAR 0BUF 0
Hits: CAR 11BUF 16
Blocks: CAR 12BUF 25
PIM: CAR 2BUF 6
: CAR 50%BUF 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2 at home. Ryan McLeod (BUF) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for BUF: Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak skated 10:14 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Ryan McLeod had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 17:06.McLeod
Points
Brent Burns had 2 assists (2 points) on 8 shots in 22:46.Burns
Points
Jason Zucker had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:01.Zucker
New line
New look for BUF: Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak skated 10:14 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lafferty Malenstyn Kozak
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +10 against a season average of 27.1; the win.Luukkonen
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Cozens–Peterka skated 5:23 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (6.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Cozens Peterka
New line
New look for BUF: Zucker–Thompson–McLeod skated 6:26 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (38.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Zucker Thompson McLeod
New line
New look for CAR: Necas–Kotkaniemi–Jaaska skated 5:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Necas Kotkaniemi Jaaska

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 144 of 144 attempts · BUF 52 · CAR 92

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 45% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	90	49
	2.39	2.19
	2.29	2.12
	13	10
	7	4
	23	25
	+0.021	−0.021
	45%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Roslovic – Jarvis
10:4061% CF
L2Staal – Martinook – Svechnikov
8:5458% CF
L3Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jaaska
5:1044% CF
L4Robinson – Drury – Blake
4:47100% CF
D1Burns – Slavin
16:0861% CF
D2Orlov – Chatfield
10:0964% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Walker
6:5647% CF

PP1Gostisbehere – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov – Jarvis
3:5770% CF
PP2Burns – Roslovic – Kotkaniemi – Drury – Blake
1:5883% CF
PK1FAho – Jarvis
0:44
PK2FStaal – Martinook
0:39
PK1DBurns – Slavin
1:21
PK2DOrlov – Chatfield
0:23

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Lafferty – Malenstyn – Kozak
10:1425% CF
L2Krebs – Quinn – Benson
8:0760% CF
L3Zucker – Thompson – McLeod
6:2638% CF
L4Tuch – Cozens – Peterka
5:236% CF
D1Clifton – Samuelsson
11:3336% CF
D2Dahlin – Byram
9:2237% CF
D3Jokiharju – Power
9:1439% CF

PP1Zucker – Thompson – Dahlin – Quinn – Peterka
1:2275% CF
PP2Tuch – Byram – Cozens – Power – Benson
0:21100% CF
PK1FTuch – McLeod
1:46
PK2FLafferty – Malenstyn
0:31
PK1DByram – Power
2:53
PK2DClifton – Samuelsson
2:24

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.39	0	0	0	20:40	—	—	60	31
Seth Jarvis R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	0	0	0	19:37	—	—	54	27
Jack Roslovic C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.31	0	1	0	15:15	—	—	61	34
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	3	0	0	19:56	—	—	65	71
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.31	2	0	0	13:47	—	—	73	73
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	3	0	0	11:36	—	—	63	67
Martin Necas C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	19:33	—	—	50	54
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.34	0	0	0	15:39	—	—	44	52
Juha Jaaska L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	2	0	0	10:43	—	—	71	71
Jack Drury C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	0	0	0	14:10	—	—	84	68
Jackson Blake R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	0	0	13:11	—	—	83	85
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	12:04	—	—	67	59
Brent Burns D	D1	0	2	2	0	8	0.10	0	1	0	22:46	—	—	61	48
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	20:39	—	—	64	52
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	2	0	19:29	—	—	68	76
Jalen Chatfield D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	73	39
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.14	0	2	0	19:44	—	—	61	16
Sean Walker D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	4	2	15:19	—	—	61	55

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	24	21	3	.875	2.38	57:43

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Beck Malenstyn L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	4	1	0	15:05	—	—	26	26
Sam Lafferty C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	1	0	2	13:25	—	—	23	32
Tyson Kozak C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	4	0	12:16	—	—	22	22
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	0	1	0	14:18	—	—	65	79
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	53	70
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	1	0	12:55	—	—	61	78
Ryan McLeod C	L3	3	0	3	+3	3	1.66	0	2	2	17:06	—	—	46	64
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.14	1	2	0	16:01	—	—	30	43
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.69	1	1	0	15:00	—	—	33	36
Alex Tuch R	L4	0	1	1	+2	3	0.21	1	4	0	18:44	—	—	37	56
Dylan Cozens C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	13:38	—	—	18	23
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	+2	2	0.12	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	34	57
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	3	0	19:55	—	—	33	29
Connor Clifton D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	4	1	2	16:37	—	—	32	17
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.11	0	3	0	21:34	—	—	32	76
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	21:23	—	—	37	48
Owen Power D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	1	0	23:10	—	—	44	60
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	15:53	—	—	33	67

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.04	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Ryan McLeod (BUF EN) 3rd 19:36 · assists Tage Thompson, Jason Zucker · Point shot · 49.8 mph shot.

Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:36 · BUF EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 2
Shot: 49.8 mph
Distance: 140 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan McLeod · 1st 0:43 · BUF

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 62.4 mph
Distance: 35 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 8:18 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 79.3 mph
Distance: 32 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan McLeod · 2nd 19:56 · BUF

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 12.4 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 3:45 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 48.9 mph
Distance: 62 ft
Entry to goal: 7.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Martin Necas · 3rd 16:50 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 62.1 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresJan 15, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Carolina Hurricanes

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:36 · BUF EN

Ryan McLeod · 1st 0:43 · BUF

Dylan Cozens · 2nd 8:18 · BUF

Ryan McLeod · 2nd 19:56 · BUF

Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 3:45 · CAR

Martin Necas · 3rd 16:50 · CAR