Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa SenatorsFeb 8, 2022

FinalTuesday, Feb 8, 2022· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

3

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	3	3		CAR	14	15	16	45
OTT	2	2	0	4		OTT	12	12	7	31

: CAR 77OTT 55
: CAR 3.28OTT 2.67
PP goals: CAR 0OTT 0
Hits: CAR 36OTT 29
Blocks: CAR 15OTT 20
PIM: CAR 12OTT 10
: CAR 48%OTT 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Carolina Hurricanes 4–3

Ottawa Senators beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–3 at home. Brady Tkachuk (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 45 shots and stopped 42 (.933), +13 against a season average of 31.7; the win.

Points
Brady Tkachuk had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 21:05.Tkachuk
Points
Nick Holden had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:48.Holden
Points
Tim Stützle had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:44.Stützle
Goalie
Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 45 shots and stopped 42 (.933), +13 against a season average of 31.7; the win.Forsberg
New line
New look for CAR: Aho–Necas–Svechnikov skated 5:34 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (56% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Aho Necas Svechnikov
Usage
Tony DeAngelo (CAR) played 23:48, +4:03 up on his 19:45 season average over 63 games.DeAngelo
Usage
Sebastian Aho (CAR) played 22:38, +3:44 up on his 18:54 season average over 78 games.Aho
Usage
Connor Brown (OTT) played 23:01, +3:00 up on his 20:01 season average over 63 games.Brown

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · OTT 55 · CAR 77

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 48% of the game, OTT 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	OTT
	64	44
	2.70	2.10
	2.62	1.95
	11	8
	1	2
	18	16
	−0.042	+0.043
	48%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Niederreiter – Fast
7:3773% CF
L2Stepan – Leivo – Lorentz
7:3536% CF
L3Trocheck – Martinook – Jarvis
5:3792% CF
L4Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
5:3456% CF
D1Slavin – DeAngelo
12:1368% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
12:0455% CF
D3Smith – Bear
7:4263% CF

PP1Niederreiter – Trocheck – DeAngelo – Aho – Svechnikov
5:1793% CF
PP2Staal – Fast – Slavin – Necas – Jarvis
0:28
PK1FAho – Necas
2:45
PK2FStaal – Fast
1:28
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:30
PK2DSlavin – Bear
2:14

Current CAR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Gaudette – Tkachuk – Stützle
6:3831% CF
L2Ennis – Tierney – Kastelic
6:3750% CF
L3Brown – Paul – Formenton
6:2556% CF
L4Watson – Sanford – Gambrell
6:1927% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
11:5117% CF
D2Brown – Brannstrom
11:0256% CF
D3Holden – Zub
10:3450% CF

PP1Brown – Chabot – Formenton – Tkachuk – Stützle
6:15100% CF
PP2Ennis – Tierney – Sanford – Gaudette – Brannstrom
0:35100% CF
PK1FWatson – Paul
3:52
PK2FBrown – Formenton
1:04
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
2:20
PK2DBrown – Zub
0:21

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:11
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Tim Stützle, Nick Holden)deflected0.02 xG
CAR: Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, NecasOTT: Brown, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle
CAR 0 – 1 OTT
8:27
OTTAlex Formenton (Connor Brown, Nick Paul)snap0.17 xG
CAR: Stepan, Leivo, Skjei, Pesce, LorentzOTT: Holden, Brown, Paul, Formenton, Zub
CAR 0 – 2 OTT

2nd period

0:40
OTTBrady Tkachuk (Tim Stützle, Nick Holden)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, SvechnikovOTT: Holden, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub
CAR 0 – 3 OTT
2:54
OTTChris Tierneysnap0.08 xG
CAR: Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Svechnikov, JarvisOTT: Holden, Tierney, Paul, Sanford, Zub
CAR 0 – 4 OTT

3rd period

2:07
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Sebastian Aho, Jaccob Slavin)backhand0.34 xG
CAR: Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Necas, SvechnikovOTT: Watson, Sanford, Zaitsev, Gambrell, Zub
CAR 1 – 4 OTT
13:54
CARBrendan Smith (Nino Niederreiter, Jordan Staal)slap0.03 xG
CAR: Staal, Smith, Niederreiter, Fast, BearOTT: Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev, Formenton
CAR 2 – 4 OTT
18:48
CARVincent Trocheck (Tony DeAngelo)snap0.09 xG
CAR: Staal, Trocheck, Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, SvechnikovOTT: Holden, Watson, Paul, Tkachuk, Zub
CAR 3 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.34	6	0	0	17:42	—	—	78	82
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	1	0	4	14:51	—	—	75	81
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.20	3	0	0	13:16	—	—	69	78
Steven Lorentz C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:54	—	—	33	11
Derek Stepan C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	9:08	—	—	31	10
Josh Leivo L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:23	—	—	33	10
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.39	3	0	2	20:15	—	—	68	51
Seth Jarvis R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	1	0	0	12:36	—	—	74	63
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	2	0	0	10:17	—	—	71	87
Sebastian Aho C	L4	0	1	1	0	5	0.41	2	2	0	22:38	—	—	56	60
Andrei Svechnikov R	L4	1	0	1	0	6	0.81	1	1	0	19:09	—	—	50	35
Martin Necas C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	3	0	16:10	—	—	57	58
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.23	0	2	0	25:23	—	—	64	64
Tony DeAngelo D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	0	1	4	23:48	—	—	68	76
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	4	0	0	22:36	—	—	52	43
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	-3	4	0.05	2	4	0	19:38	—	—	53	53
Brendan Smith D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.08	4	0	0	11:59	—	—	62	59
Ethan Bear D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	11:02	—	—	56	53

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	L	31	27	4	.871	2.67	57:14

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	2	0	2	+1	7	0.55	3	2	0	21:05	—	—	28	23
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.02	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	46	35
Adam Gaudette R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	8:53	—	—	29	26
Chris Tierney C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	0	0	0	11:44	—	—	55	57
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	62	84
Mark Kastelic C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	1	2	9:01	—	—	42	77
Connor Brown R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.27	0	1	0	23:01	—	—	39	61
Alex Formenton L	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.67	1	1	2	17:38	—	—	48	71
Nick Paul L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	54	65
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.22	2	0	0	14:12	—	—	33	31
Zachary Sanford L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	13:57	—	—	31	17
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	3	0	0	10:43	—	—	27	23
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	2	2	2	23:21	—	—	26	14
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	6	4	0	20:02	—	—	21	16
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	1	0	2	16:04	—	—	52	42
Joshua Brown D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	1	0	14:36	—	—	56	56
Artem Zub D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	0	19:26	—	—	44	50
Nick Holden D	D3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.04	2	5	2	18:48	—	—	49	64

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	W	45	42	3	.933	3.28	59:52

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.